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Tag Archives: negative interest rates
Rewardless Risk
Rewardless Risk Faramir: Then farewell! But if I should return, think better of me. Denethor: That depends on the manner of your return. – J.R.R. Tolkien “The Lord of the Rings” (1954) I’m going full-nerd with the “Lord of the Rings” introduction to today’s Epsilon Theory note, but I think this scene — where Denethor, the […]
Negative Interest Rates Already in Fed’s Official Scenario
Negative Interest Rates Already in Fed’s Official Scenario But forget QE-4. The Germans, with Teutonic precision, call them “Punishment Interest.” Negative interest rates are spreading from the ECB’s negative deposit rate across the bond market and to some savings accounts in the Eurozone. The idea is to enrich existing bond holders and flog savers until […]
Who Warned “Be Careful What You Wish For… If Interest Rates Go Negative”
Who Warned “Be Careful What You Wish For… If Interest Rates Go Negative” Now that the Bank of Japan has joined other central banks such as Denmark, Sweden, the ECB, and Switzerland into pushing its rates into what until just two years ago was considered the monetary twilight zone below the zero bound, and in […]
Citi On Why Negative Rates Are Like Potato Chips: “No One Can Have Just One”
Citi On Why Negative Rates Are Like Potato Chips: “No One Can Have Just One” Now that Japan has let the negative rates genie out of the bottle, or as DB put it, ‘opened the Pandora’s Box‘ and in the process unleashed the latest global “silent bank run” and capital flight, prepare to hear a […]
Death Throes Of The Bull
Death Throes Of The Bull The fast money and robo-machines keep trying to ignite stock rallies, but they all fizzle because bad karma is beginning to infect the casino. That is, apprehension is growing among whatever adults are left on Wall Street that 84 months of ZIRP and $3.5 trillion of Fed balance sheet expansion, aka money printing, […]
The Bank of Japan – Ringing in the Endgame?
The Bank of Japan – Ringing in the Endgame? Let’s Do More of What Doesn’t Work It is the Keynesian mantra: the fact that the policies recommended by Keynesians and monetarists, i.e., deficit spending and money printing, routinely fail to bring about the desired results is not seen as proof that they simply don’t work. […]
The Disturbing Reasons Why The Bank Of Japan Stunned Everyone With Negative Rates
The Disturbing Reasons Why The Bank Of Japan Stunned Everyone With Negative Rates As we noted earlier, in a paradoxical U-turn, one which caught everyone by surprise as a result of Kuroda’s own promise just one week ago not to engage in NIRP… … and two months after the ECB’s December 3 disappointing announcement led to a historic surge in the […]
Fed Vice Chair Explains Why The Fed Is Still Obsessing With Negative Interest Rates
Fed Vice Chair Explains Why The Fed Is Still Obsessing With Negative Interest Rates Two months ago, and roughly 6 weeks before the Fed’s first rate hike in 9 years, Janet Yellen warned that if the “outlook worsened, the fed might weight negative rates” adding that “negative rates could help encourage banks to lend.” Moments ago, in […]
Will 2016 Bring Another 2008-Type Crash? Pt. 1
Will 2016 Bring Another 2008-Type Crash? Pt. 1 The world is lurching towards another Crash. Japan, which has been ground zero for Keynesian insanity, is back in technical recession. This comes after the Bank of Japan launched the single largest QE program in history: a QE program equal to 25% of GDP launched in April 2013. This […]
“Perverse, Unpredictable Effects” of Negative Interest Rates: Mortgage Rates Soar in Switzerland
“Perverse, Unpredictable Effects” of Negative Interest Rates: Mortgage Rates Soar in Switzerland The unintended consequences of NIRP. Negative interest rates – called “punishment interest” in Germany – have morphed from sheer impossibility to solid reality in Europe. Having seen how they work, the Bank of Canada has invoked them now, and Fed Chair Janet Yellen, has put them “on the […]
Are Negative Rates Fueling Deflation?
Are Negative Rates Fueling Deflation? Those in power never understand markets. They are very myopic in their view of the world. The assumption that lowering interest rates will “stimulate” the economy has NEVER worked, not even once. Nevertheless, they assume they can manipulate society in the Marxist-Keynesian ideal world, but what if they are wrong? By lowering […]
Stephen Poloz Considers Negative Interest Rates
Stephen Poloz Considers Negative Interest Rates Price controls on interest rates are the latest fad. A 100-year-trend that’s picked up steam in the last 15 years, where central banks have been confident enough to blatantly ignore the supply and demand for loans and keep rates as low as possible. How low can you go? For […]
Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits
Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits Back in September in “How Mario Draghi Can Force The Swiss National Bank To Go ‘Nuclear On Depositors,” we discussed the implications of the ECB’s (likely) decision to plunge further into NIRP-dom at the bank’s December meeting. In short, DM central banks – with the […]
They’re coming for your cash
They’re coming for your cash It might sound like a conspiracy theory spun by right-wing crazies. But judging by the increasing desperation of governments to reboot the world economy, it just might happen. “It” is the recall or confiscation of cash, i.e., dollars, euros, pounds, etc., in physical form. And a key justification that those […]
