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The Future Ain’t What It Used To Be

© Rangizzz | Dreamstime.com The Future Ain’t What It Used To Be Looks like we’re in for a much rockier ride than many expect This marks our our 10th year of doing this.  And by “this”, we mean using data, logic and reason to support the very basic conclusion that infinite growth on a finite […]

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Peter Schiff: There’s A BIG Problem With The Economy, ‘Americans Are BROKE’

Peter Schiff: There’s A BIG Problem With The Economy, ‘Americans Are BROKE’ Financial analyst Peter Schiff says there’s a big problem with the economy even though the mainstream media is reporting that rising interest rates are a good thing.  The problem, however, is that Americans are broke, and those interest rates could have a major […]

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The Global Economy’s Wile E. Coyote Moment

The Global Economy’s Wile E. Coyote Moment Economies and markets may already be plunging off a cliff. Always behind. Photographer: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Our prediction last year of a global growth downturn was based on our 20-Country Long Leading Index, which, in 2016, foresaw the synchronized global growth upturn that the consensus only started to […]

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An Inflation Indicator to Watch, Part 3

An Inflation Indicator to Watch, Part 3 “During the 1980s and 1990s, most industrial-country central banks were able to cage, if not entirely tame, the inflation dragon.” —Ben Bernanke Ben Bernanke began his oft-cited “helicopter speech” in 2002 with a few kind words about his peers, including the excerpt above. Speaking for central bankers, he […]

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Broken Promises

Broken Promises Demanding More Debt Consumer debt, corporate debt, and government debt are all going up.  But that’s not all.  Margin debt – debt that investors borrow against their portfolio to buy more stocks – has hit a record of $642.8 billion.  What in the world are people thinking? A blow-off in margin debt mirroring the […]

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The Status Quo Will Reign

The Status Quo Will Reign This month’s stock market correction is still fresh in everyone’s mind. Many have even begun to wonder if the era of dark money was truly over. How will the recent correction affect the Fed’s dark money policies? The consensus explanation for the correction was that inflation was rising and that would […]

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An Inflation Indicator to Watch, Part 1

An Inflation Indicator to Watch, Part 1 “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.” —Milton Friedman Have you ever questioned Milton Friedman’s famous claim about inflation? Ever heard anyone else question it? Unless you read obscure stuff written for the academic community, you’re probably not used to Friedman’s quote being challenged. And that’s despite […]

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U.S. Public Debt Surges By $175 Billion In One Day

U.S. Public Debt Surges By $175 Billion In One Day After the U.S. Government passed the new budget and debt increase, with the President’s signature and blessing, happy days are here again.  Or are they?  As long as the U.S. Government can add debt, then the Global Financial and Economic Ponzi Scheme can continue a […]

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Global Debt Crisis II Cometh

Global Debt Crisis II Cometh – Global debt ‘area of weakness’ and could ‘induce financial panic’ – King warns – Global debt to GDP now 40 per cent higher than it was a decade ago – BIS warn – Global non-financial corporate debt grew by 15% to 96% of GDP in the past six years […]

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Conflict between Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Conflict between Fiscal & Monetary Policy We are moving into a crisis of monumental proportions. There has been a serious fundamental problem infecting economic policy on a global scale. This conflict has been between monetary and fiscal policy. While central banks engaged in Quantitative Easing, governments have done nothing but reap the benefits of low-interest rates. This […]

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The Liquidity Punch Bowl

THE LIQUIDITY PUNCH BOWL It is appropriate with the inauguration of this weekly column to look at the “Big Picture”. The biggest risk to world stock markets, and asset prices in general, in 2018 is that G7 central banks (led by the Federal Reserve) are finally attempting to normalise monetary policy nine years after the […]

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Message from Planet Japan: The good times never last forever

Message from Planet Japan: The good times never last forever After having traveled to more than 120 countries in my life, the only person I know who’s been to more places than I have is Jim Rogers. Jim is a legend– a phenomenal investor, author, and all-around great guy. (His book Adventure Capitalist is a […]

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Flying Blind, Part 2: The Destruction Of Honest Price Discovery And Its Consequences

Flying Blind, Part 2: The Destruction Of Honest Price Discovery And Its Consequences In Part 1 we noted that the real evil of Bubble Finance is not merely that it leads to bubble crashes, of which there is surely a doozy just around the bend; or that speculators get the painful deserts they fully deserve, which is coming big time, too; or even […]

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Measuring The Equity Bubble – “You Are Here”

Measuring The Equity Bubble – “You Are Here” On best revisions for GDP and earnings in 2018 after Tax reform, the S&P is now less expensive than before, at just 57% above historical average… In this brief note, we wanted to update our value indicator for the S&P, after the steep consensus upgrades to US earnings and […]

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Loonie Tumbles After Dovish Bank of Canada Hikes By 25bps, Warns Of NAFTA Uncertainty

Loonie Tumbles After Dovish Bank of Canada Hikes By 25bps, Warns Of NAFTA Uncertainty As expected by a broad majority of economists, the Bank of Canada just hiked its overnight rate by 25bps to 1.25%, the first hike by a G-7 central bank in 2018. In raising the rate, the BoC said that “recent data […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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