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The US Bond Market is far Larger than the Stock Market: If Even Part of it Blows, it’ll Dig a Magnificent Crater
The US Bond Market is far Larger than the Stock Market: If Even Part of it Blows, it’ll Dig a Magnificent Crater “So, if rates rise, we get nervous. If rates fall, we get nervous. If rates stay the same, we get nervous. When don’t we get nervous? Raise the rates already! We are talking […]
A Question of Money – Interest – Bankers
A Question of Money – Interest – Bankers QUESTION: Mr Armstrong, interesting article today, the story of the store of value (at least long term) has always confused me. One can look at saving accounts also as an asset as it yields the interest payment and one relinquishes the access to the money. No difference […]
FED LUNACY IS TO BLAME FOR THE COMING CRASH
FED LUNACY IS TO BLAME FOR THE COMING CRASH This week John Hussman’s pondering about the state of our markets is as clear and concise as it’s ever been. He starts off by describing the difference between an economy operating at a low level versus a high level. He’s essentially describing a 2% GDP economy […]
First Default By U.S. Commonwealth In History: Puerto Rico Makes Only 1% Of Required Debt Payment
First Default By U.S. Commonwealth In History: Puerto Rico Makes Only 1% Of Required Debt Payment Over the weekend Puerto Rico was supposed to make a modest principal and interest payment of some $58 million due on Public Finance Corp. bonds, which however few expected would be satisfied. As a reminder, on Friday, Victor Suarez, […]
Acrid Smell of Burned Fingers Wafts through the Bond Market
Acrid Smell of Burned Fingers Wafts through the Bond Market Commodities had once again an ugly week. Copper hit the lowest level since June 2009. Gold dropped below $1,100 an ounce. Other metals dropped too. Agricultural commodities fell; corn plunged nearly 7% for the week. Crude oil swooned, with West Texas Intermediate dropping nearly 7% […]
UBS’s Puerto Rico Bond Funds Implode, “Collateral Value” Drops to Zero, Investors Screwed
UBS’s Puerto Rico Bond Funds Implode, “Collateral Value” Drops to Zero, Investors Screwed “We believe that the probability of default is approaching 100 percent, and that losses given default are substantial,” Moody’s wrote on Wednesday about Puerto Rico’s $72 billion in bonds that were stuffed into numerous conservative-sounding bond funds spread across America’s retirement portfolios. […]
How Fascist Capitalism Functions: The Case of Greece
How Fascist Capitalism Functions: The Case of Greece There is democratic capitalism, and there is fascist capitalism. What we have today is fascist capitalism; and the following will explain how it works, using as an example the case of Greece. Mark Whitehouse at Bloomberg headlined on 27 June 2015, “If Greece Defaults, Europe’s Taxpayers Lose,” and presented […]
In A World Of Artificial Liquidity – Cash Is King
In A World Of Artificial Liquidity – Cash Is King And you’d better have some stashed out of the system Global central banks are afraid. Before Greece tried to stand up to the Troika, they were merely worried. Now it’s clear that no matter what they tell themselves and the world about the necessity or […]
The Global Credit Market Is Now A Lit Powderkeg
The Global Credit Market Is Now A Lit Powderkeg And markets are totally unprepared The financial markets have had a bit of a tough time going anywhere this year. The S&P 500 has been caught in a 6% trading band all year, capped on the upside by a 3% gain and on the downside by […]
The Liquidity Crisis Intensifies: ‘Prepare For A Bear Market In Bonds’
The Liquidity Crisis Intensifies: ‘Prepare For A Bear Market In Bonds’ Are we about to witness trillions of dollars of “paper wealth” vaporize into thin air? During the next financial crisis, a lot of “wealthy” investors are going to be in for a very rude awakening. The truth is that securities are only worth what […]
Wave of Defaults, Bankruptcies Spook Bond Investors
Wave of Defaults, Bankruptcies Spook Bond Investors First things first: Investor desperation for yield, any discernible yield no matter what the risks, and blind confidence that all this will work out somehow are waning. Now questions pop up here and there, and investors are beginning to open their eyes just a tad amid waves of […]
Credit Market Warning: Long-awaited signs of danger are materalizing
Credit Market Warning: Long-awaited signs of danger are materalizing There are large signs of stress now present in the credit markets. You might not know it from today’s multi-generationally low interest rates, but other key measures such as liquidity and volatility are flashing worrying signs. Look, we all know that this centrally planned experiment forcing financial assets […]
The Economic Depression In Greece Deepens As Tsipras Prepares To Deliver ‘The Great No’
The Economic Depression In Greece Deepens As Tsipras Prepares To Deliver ‘The Great No’ As Greece plunges even deeper into economic chaos, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras says that his government is prepared to respond to the demands of the EU and the IMF with “the great no” and that his party will accept responsibility […]
As Goes The Credit Market, So Goes The World
As Goes The Credit Market, So Goes The World When confidence cracks, we’ll see it there first During the prior economic cycle of 2003-2007, one question I asked again and again was: Is the US running on a business cycle or a credit cycle? That question was prompted by a series of data I have tracked […]
QE Breeds Instability
QE Breeds Instability Central bankers have promised ad nauseum to keep rates low for long periods of time. And they have delivered. Their claim is that this helps the economy recover, but that is just a silly idea. What it does do is help create the illusion of a recovering economy. But that is mostly […]
