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Oil Price Crash Was Not Saudi Arabia’s Fault
Oil Price Crash Was Not Saudi Arabia’s Fault Quite simply, the Saudis want to maintain their market share, but their means to control that are dwindling. The whole internet is jam-packed with analysis portraying Saudi Arabia and OPEC as villains for the oil price collapse. On a closer look, however, the Saudi’s could have taken […]
Shale Set To Decline Substantially This Year
Shale Set To Decline Substantially This Year U.S. shale has weathered the oil crash better than many expected, but the stubborn persistence of low prices through 2016 could amount to the “straw breaking the camel’s back” for shale production. The International Energy Agency released its Medium Term Oil Market Report on February 22 at the IHS CERA […]
Schlumberger’s Terrifying Moment Of Truth About The US Energy Sector
Schlumberger’s Terrifying Moment Of Truth About The US Energy Sector Having laid off 10,000 employees (and boosted his share buyback program by $10 billion – because that has worked out so well in the past), it appears Schlumberger CEO Paal Kibsgaard unleashes some very uncomfortable truthiness on his audience this morning during the earnings call, […]
A Glimpse Of Things To Come: Bankrupt Shale Producers “Can’t Give Their Assets Away”
A Glimpse Of Things To Come: Bankrupt Shale Producers “Can’t Give Their Assets Away” Over the course of the last several weeks, we’ve spent quite a bit of time sounding the alarm bells on America’s growing list of bankrupt oil and gas drillers. We’ve also been keen to point out that the long list of […]
Why We May Never See $100-a-Barrel Oil Again
Why We May Never See $100-a-Barrel Oil Again ‘Race for What’s Left’ author surveys geopolitical fortunes in aftermath of a pricequake. Pricequake: Recent turmoil could spell doom — not just for ‘tough oil’ projects now underway — but for some over-extended companies (and governments) that own them. Oil barrel photo via Shutterstock. As 2015 drew […]
You Can Either Surf, or You Can Fight
You Can Either Surf, or You Can Fight Kilgore: Smell that? You smell that? Lance: What? Kilgore: Napalm, son. Nothing else in the world smells like that. – “Apocalypse Now” (1979) Hello, hello, hello, how low? [x3] – Nirvana, “Smells Like Teen Spirit” (1991) Outside the bus the smell of sulfur hit Bond with sickening force. It was a […]
As Rig Count Plunges, Has U.S. Oil Reached Its Capitulation Point?
As Rig Count Plunges, Has U.S. Oil Reached Its Capitulation Point? The big drop in rig count for the week that ended last Friday points to capitulation by U.S. shale drillers. The total land rig count fell by 37 rigs and the horizontal rig count fell by 30 rigs (Figure 1). Figure 1. U.S. shale play […]
The Financial Crisis Of 2016 Rolls On – China, Oil, Copper And Junk Bonds All Continue To Crash
The Financial Crisis Of 2016 Rolls On – China, Oil, Copper And Junk Bonds All Continue To Crash Never before have we seen a year start like this. On Monday, Chinese stocks crashed once again. The Shanghai Composite Index plummeted another 5.29 percent, and this comes on the heels of two historic single day crashes last […]
Why The U.S. Can’t Be Called A ‘Swing Producer’
Why The U.S. Can’t Be Called A ‘Swing Producer’ Daniel Yergin and other experts say that U.S. tight oil is the swing oil producer of the world. They are wrong. It is preposterous to say that the world’s largest oil importer is also its swing producer. There are two types of oil producers in the world: those who […]
The Shale Defaults Begin Here: Banks Quietly Shrink These 25 Companies’ Credit Facilities
The Shale Defaults Begin Here: Banks Quietly Shrink These 25 Companies’ Credit Facilities Everyone knows that at $35/barrel oil, virtually every US shale company is cash flow negative and is therefore burning through cash and other forms of liquidity such as bank revolvers and term loans, just as everyone knows that should oil remain at […]
What Comes After The Commodities Bust?
What Comes After The Commodities Bust? The days of E&P companies using external debt financing to fuel growth have most likely come to a close. The one thing executives should have learned in 2015 is that Wall Street can for long periods of time remain disconnected from fundamentals and can swing to extremes. Another lesson […]
Shale Gas Rig Count Could Implode Here If Prices Don’t Rebound
Shale Gas Rig Count Could Implode Here If Prices Don’t Rebound The Haynesville Shale play needs $6.50 gas prices to break even. With natural gas prices just above $2/Mcf (thousand cubic feet), we question the shale gas business model that has 31 rigs drilling wells in that play that cost $8-10 million each to sell gas at […]
Oil Prices Testing August Lows As Inventories Swell
Oil Prices Testing August Lows As Inventories Swell As Mike D from the Beastie Boys turns fifty today, WTI is trying to fight for its right to party on in forty-dollardom. (but failing). Brent is being more successful in trying to ‘get it together’, holding somewhat steady, but the ongoing swelling-inventory, tanker traffic-jammed nature of […]
Presenting BofA’s “Number One Black Swan Event For The Global Oil Market In 2016”
Presenting BofA’s “Number One Black Swan Event For The Global Oil Market In 2016” We’ve spent quite a bit of time this year talking about Saudi Arabia’s rather precarious financial situation. To be sure, the move to artificially suppress crude prices has at least partly served the kingdom’s interests in terms of market share and […]
