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Say Goodbye To Cheap Oil… For Now

Say Goodbye To Cheap Oil… For Now Oil prices will be much higher over the next few years than previously thought, according to a new report from Barclays. The investment bank significantly raised its pricing forecast for 2020 and 2025 in its annual medium-term oil report. Barclays expects Brent to average $75 per barrel in […]

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Rising Supply Will Keep Oil Prices Rangebound

Rising Supply Will Keep Oil Prices Rangebound Rising oil production from various parts of the globe could keep oil prices “range-bound” for the rest of this year. During the second quarter, fears of supply shortages began to mount, as OPEC disruptions combined with strong demand and shrinking inventories to push prices up significantly. More recently, […]

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The Real Reason Behind The Next Oil Squeeze

The Real Reason Behind The Next Oil Squeeze The last quarter has seen increased volatility in oil prices, an increase that I attribute to the growing tensions in international markets as fears of a global trade war intensify. The headlines seem to get starker by the day, and markets loathe this type of uncertainty. (Click […]

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Is A Supply Crunch In Oil Markets Inevitable?

Is A Supply Crunch In Oil Markets Inevitable? The oil industry is more profitable than at any time in years, yet the industry could fail to supply enough oil to meet global demand in just a few years’ time. A series of second quarter earnings reports over the past two weeks has revealed surging profits […]

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Tight Oil Markets Are Ignoring Supply Risk

Tight Oil Markets Are Ignoring Supply Risk The global oil market is once again in flux as geopolitics and regional conflicts take an increasingly heavy toll on oil supplies. Since the OPEC meeting in Vienna, warning signs that oil markets are heading for a shortage in supply, due to low spare production capacity and growing […]

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The 4 Key Chokepoints For Oil

The 4 Key Chokepoints For Oil While everyone has been watching the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tension between the U.S. and Iran, a chokepoint on the other side of the Arabian Peninsula is now at the center of the action. Saudi Arabia temporarily halted all oil shipments through the Bab al-Mandeb strait after Saudi […]

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Spare Capacity: The Biggest Mystery In Oil Markets

Spare Capacity: The Biggest Mystery In Oil Markets With around 2.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) of Iranian supply targeted by the Trump administration, how will the oil market cope with the losses? Is there enough supply capacity to make up for the shortfall? There is a great deal of debate about the true extent […]

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Permian Bottlenecks Come At The Worst Moment

Permian Bottlenecks Come At The Worst Moment The growing number of supply outages around the world are causing the oil market to become a lot more volatile, putting extra emphasis on every barrel that does or does not make it to market. That makes the infrastructure bottlenecks in West Texas a global concern. There is […]

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The Saudis Won’t Prevent The Next Oil Shock

The Saudis Won’t Prevent The Next Oil Shock Saudi Arabia is starting to panic, and is growing concerned that the growing number of supply disruptions around the world could cause oil prices to spike. Saudi Arabia is moving quickly to head off a supply crunch, aiming to dramatically ramp up production to a record high […]

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Europe Is Awash With Oil Stored On Ships

Europe Is Awash With Oil Stored On Ships While many analysts and agencies have already called the end of the global oil glut, oil held in floating storage in Europe is at an at least 18-month-high, also due to the booming U.S. oil exports that have displaced some of the traditional crude oil routes in […]

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It’s The Demand, Stupid! Is China About To Burst The Black Gold Bubble?

It’s The Demand, Stupid! Is China About To Burst The Black Gold Bubble? For months we have heard about how the oil market’s over-supply ‘glut’ has been removed thanks to OPEC/NOPEC’s production cut deal and the narrative of ‘global synchronous recovery’ has buoyed the demand side of the equation – sending crude prices to four […]

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OPEC’s Dilemma: Demand Destruction Or Production Boost

OPEC’s Dilemma: Demand Destruction Or Production Boost The early signs of discontent and demand destruction could be forcing OPEC’s hand, but increasing production carries its own risks. OPEC and Russia are considering raising oil production in a few weeks’ time, and while much of the focus has (rightly) been on the supply outages in Venezuela […]

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The Double-Edged Sword Of High Oil Prices

The Double-Edged Sword Of High Oil Prices Rising oil prices were seen last year as a positive result of growing global growth and recovery, but a combination of factors is turning this benign view into a more sinister scenario. On the supply side, the combined efforts of OPEC and Russia, leaky as the agreement has […]

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OPEC: The Oil Glut Is Gone

OPEC: The Oil Glut Is Gone OPEC said that the global oil supply surplus has nearly been eliminated, although the group is shifting its sights on lack of investment in upstream supply. In OPEC’s May Oil Market Report, the group noted that non-OPEC supply continues to grow at a rapid rate, adding 0.87 million barrels […]

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Could Oil Hit $100?

Could Oil Hit $100? Oil prices have continued their climb following a week of bullish news, and with geopolitical tensions reaching a boiling point, prices are poised to head even higher. (Click to enlarge) (Click to enlarge) (Click to enlarge) (Click to enlarge) (Click to enlarge) (Click to enlarge) Friday, May 11, 2018 Iran continues […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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