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Government Watchdog Warns Market Crash Risk Rising: “One-Sixth Of All Hedge Funds Are 15x Leveraged”
Government Watchdog Warns Market Crash Risk Rising: “One-Sixth Of All Hedge Funds Are 15x Leveraged” One wonders if the Fed ever reads the reports issued by the Office of Financial Stability, which does a surprisingly good job of laying out the risks facing the market at any one time, which incidentally are far greater than […]
The Greatest Fear Today: The Lack of Fear
The Greatest Fear Today: The Lack of Fear Market crashes often happen not when everyone is worried about them, but when no one is worried about them. Complacency and overconfidence are good leading indicators of an overvalued market set for a correction or worse. Prominent magazine covers are notorious for declaring a boundless bull market […]
Second Crash Warning From The IMF – This Time It’s About Vol
Second Crash Warning From The IMF – This Time It’s About Vol Another week, another warning regarding financial crash scenarios from those keen minds at the IMF. In “Here Is The IMF’s Global Financial Crash Scenario” last week, we highlighted the institution’s surprisingly candid discussion hidden away in its latest Financial Stability Report “Rising Medium-Term […]
Are You Infuriated Yet?
Are You Infuriated Yet? You should be. I certainly am… More and more, I’m encountering people who are simply infuriated with how our “leaders” are running (or to put it more accurately, ruining) things right now. And I share that fury. It’s perfectly normal human response to be infuriated when an outside agent hurts you, […]
A Stock Market Panic Like 1987 Could Happen Again
Frenzied traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 19, 1987. CreditJim Wilson/The New York Times A Stock Market Panic Like 1987 Could Happen Again Oct. 19, 1987, was one of the worst days in stock market history. Thirty years later, it would be comforting to believe it couldn’t happen again. Yet […]
BofA Lists 10 Triggers For The Next Crash: “It’s Coming Between Thanksgiving And Valentine’s Day”
BofA Lists 10 Triggers For The Next Crash: “It’s Coming Between Thanksgiving And Valentine’s Day” Back in mid-July, BofA’s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett predicted that the “most dangerous moment for market will come in 3 or 4 months.” Well, we are now “between 3 and 4” months since the forecast fate and the most […]
The Crash Of ’87 Remembered: “It Was Clear The Acapulco Cliff-Dive Was On For Monday”
The Crash Of ’87 Remembered: “It Was Clear The Acapulco Cliff-Dive Was On For Monday” “The markets in a panic are like a country during a coup, and seen in retrospect that is how they were that day,” wrote a young Salomon bond salesmena named Michael Lewis, of the chaos he witnessed. “One small group […]
DARPA Asks HFT Traders How Hackers Will Crash The Market
DARPA Asks HFT Traders How Hackers Will Crash The Market Having been responsible for the biggest flash crashes in recent years, it is no surprise that when it comes to the market’s growing structural vulnerabilities, high frequency traders have emerged as the primary authority on how to crash the market in the blink of an […]
1987, 1997, 2007… Just How Crash-Prone are Years Ending in 7?
1987, 1997, 2007… Just How Crash-Prone are Years Ending in 7? Bad Reputation Years ending in 7, such as the current year 2017, have a bad reputation among stock market participants. Large price declines tend to occur quite frequently in these years. Sliding down the steep slope of the cursed year. [PT] Just think of […]
Could Market Complexity Trigger The Next Crash?
Could Market Complexity Trigger The Next Crash? Complex systems are all around us. By one definition, a complex system is any system that features a large number of interacting components (agents, processes, etc.) whose aggregate activity is nonlinear (not derivable from the summations of the activity of individual components) and typically exhibits hierarchical self-organization under […]
Asset Markets, The Sports Illustrated Jinx, And The Dodgers
Asset Markets, The Sports Illustrated Jinx, And The Dodgers Why do stocks and assets markets crash? Why is there is a Sports Illustrated jinx and magazine cover stories often signal a sign of a top or bottom of the subject being portrayed? Regression to the mean, or, more simply, just moving back to the long-run averages. […]
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn How watching the right indicators will avoid disaster The planet-sized egos of rock & roll performers are legendary. Few things symbolize this better than the outrageous requests they often make when on tour. These requests are referred to as “riders”, and appear in the contract a tour […]
Bill Blain: “I’ve Got October 12th As The Day The Big Equity Crash Occurs”
Bill Blain: “I’ve Got October 12th As The Day The Big Equity Crash Occurs” Submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners The big risk? The ECB taper… what follows? “It will not always be summer; build barns.” Today’s sermon is about complacency. Yesterday, I read in a Fixed Income analyst comment something about the: “robust […]
Better A Year Early Than A Day Too Late
livelifehappy.com Better A Year Early Than A Day Too Late Preparation only has value if it’s done in advance He who hesitates is lost. ~proverb Change, especially a collapse scenario, often happens quite fast. So fast that there’s little to no time to react in the short frenzy between “before” and “after”. This is true […]
