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Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports ‘Canary’ Crashes
Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports ‘Canary’ Crashes In the latest sign that the slowdown in China and the global trade war is weighing on global commerce, South Korea’s exports fell in December. The 1.2% YoY decline was dramatically below the +2.5% YoY expected and missed even the most pessimistic forecast (which was still […]
America’s Technology and Sanctions War Will End, by Bifurcating the Global Economy
America’s Technology and Sanctions War Will End, by Bifurcating the Global Economy “The true reason behind the US-China ‘trade’ war has little to do with actual trade … What is really at the basis of the ongoing civilizational conflict between the US and China … are China’s ambitions to be a leader in next-generation technology, […]
“Jarring” FedEx Outlook Cut Suggests “Severe Global Recession”
“Jarring” FedEx Outlook Cut Suggests “Severe Global Recession” FedEx shares tumbled 7% after what Morgan Stanley called a “jarring” cut to its annual forecasts, suggesting global growth is slowing far more than most expect, and prompting expectations of an “uber-dovish hike” by the Fed. The global logistics bellwether slashed its outlook just three months after […]
Gold – A Perfect Storm For 2019
Gold – A Perfect Storm For 2019 This article is an overview of the principal factors likely to drive the gold price in 2019. It looks at the global factors that have developed in 2018 for both gold and the dollar, how geopolitics are likely to evolve, the economic outlook and how it is worsened […]
The Trade War Distraction: Huawei And Linchpin Theory
The Trade War Distraction: Huawei And Linchpin Theory Since the beginning of this year, I have been warning that trade tariffs initiated by Donald Trump would develop into a full-blown trade war with China, and perhaps other nations, and that the timing of this trade war is rather suspicious. Suspicious how? Almost every instance of […]
Blain: “I Think The Global Trade War Is Now A Shooting War”
Blain: “I Think The Global Trade War Is Now A Shooting War” Blain’s Morning Porridge submitted by Bill Blain “Why So Serious?” I think the Global Trade War is now a shooting war. A few weeks ago one of my very smart CIO contacts warned me the real story of the year isn’t just the […]
The Ghost of Christmas Present
The Ghost of Christmas Present Apparently one additional world leader turned up in Buenos Aires without fanfare this weekend. The General Secretary of the North Pole, known popularly as Santa Claus, took his latest-model hypersonic sleigh to the G-20 Meeting, and made sure that the global financial elite would find their Christmas stockings stuffed with […]
Eric Peters: “America Has Begun To Use Its Economic And Military Might To Take What It Wants”
Eric Peters: “America Has Begun To Use Its Economic And Military Might To Take What It Wants” Stockholm:“How should we think about inflation?” asked the Strategic Asset Allocation Committee. “Is inflation something that should have been much lower were it not for such low interest rates and so much QE? Because if that is so, […]
G20 and the financial war
G20 and the financial war This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America’s use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China’s unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a […]
G20 Summit, Top Agenda Item: Bye-Bye American Empire
G20 Summit, Top Agenda Item: Bye-Bye American Empire The G20 summits are nominally about how the world’s biggest national economies can cooperate to boost global growth. This year’s gathering – more than ever – shows, however, that rivalry between the US and China is center stage. Zeroing in further still, the rivalry is an expression […]
Food Crisis In The Making: Farm Bankruptcies Reach Horrifying Levels
Food Crisis In The Making: Farm Bankruptcies Reach Horrifying Levels We are amidst a food crisis. Farms in the United States Midwest are filing for chapter 12 bankruptcy at an alarming rate. And many are saying president Donald Trump’s trade war is taking the most blame. We hate to say we told you so, but […]
China Ambassador Warns Of “Dire Consequences” If No Deal, Hints At “All Out” War
China Ambassador Warns Of “Dire Consequences” If No Deal, Hints At “All Out” War Earlier today, Trump’s chief economic advisor Larry Kudlow poured cold water on expectations for an imminent resolution of the US-China trade war when he said that negotiations in the run up to this week’s G-20 talks “haven’t yielded any progress”, and unless something […]
Connected and vulnerable: Climate change, trade wars and the networked world
Connected and vulnerable: Climate change, trade wars and the networked world The increasing connectedness of the global economic system has long been touted as the path to greater prosperity and peaceful relations among nations and their peoples. There’s just one hitch: Complex systems have more points of failure and also hidden risks that only surface […]
