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“No Deal”: Tsipras Says Creditors Did Not Accept Greek Proposal
“No Deal”: Tsipras Says Creditors Did Not Accept Greek Proposal Who could have possibly foreseen that the IMF would throw up all over the Greek “proposal”… aside from this post here “Why The IMF Will Reject The Latest Greek Proposal In Just Two Numbers” yesterday afternoon of course. In any event, moments ago Bloomberg reported that just […]
Bond Markets Herald an End to Cheap Government Debt
Bond Markets Herald an End to Cheap Government Debt Bond markets got choppy at the end of April, when institutional investors began lining up to bet against the market. Since then the situation has gotten worse for bond holders, as spiking yields in Germany, and even US Treasuries, have created a rush for the exit […]
QE Breeds Instability
QE Breeds Instability Central bankers have promised ad nauseum to keep rates low for long periods of time. And they have delivered. Their claim is that this helps the economy recover, but that is just a silly idea. What it does do is help create the illusion of a recovering economy. But that is mostly […]
Stay Out Of Harm’s Way—-The Casino Is Fixing To Blow
Stay Out Of Harm’s Way—-The Casino Is Fixing To Blow Shock waves have been rumbling through the global bond market in the last few days. On April 17 the yield on the 10-year German bund pierced through the 5bps level, but yesterday it tagged 100bps. That amounted to a 20X move in 39 trading days. It also amounted to total annihilation if you […]
Get Used to Selloffs, Central Bankers Say as They Fret about the Terrifying Moment When Liquidity Evaporates
Get Used to Selloffs, Central Bankers Say as They Fret about the Terrifying Moment When Liquidity Evaporates Axel Weber, president of the Bundesbank and member of the ECB’s Governing Council until he quit both in 2011 to protest the ECB’s bond purchases, quickly landed a new gig: chairman of UBS. WHIRR went the revolving door. From this […]
Mario Draghi’s Slippery Downward Slope
Mario Draghi’s Slippery Downward Slope Mario Draghi made another huge faux pas Thursday, but it looks like the entire world press has become immune to them, because it happens all the time, because they don’t realize what it means, and because they have a message if not a mission to sell. But still, none of […]
Is Mario Draghi Stupid, Crooked Or What?
Is Mario Draghi Stupid, Crooked Or What? Europe is surely at the top of the heap among today’s raging financial market lunacy. It seems that Ireland has now broken into the negative interest rate club, investment grade multinationals are flocking to issue 1% debt on the euro-bond markets and, if yield is your thing, you can get all of 3.72% on the Merrill […]
The Committee To Destroy The World
The Committee To Destroy The World Last month, the world mourned the death of beloved actor Leonard Nimoy. Mr. Nimoy, of course, was renowned for his portrayal of the iconic character Mr. Spock on the 1960s television series Star Trek. One of the most memorable Star Trek inventions was the transporter that allowed human beings […]
Dumping American Junk in Europe, Draghi Asked for it
Dumping American Junk in Europe, Draghi Asked for it This is just the beginning, a new trend that may well turn into the next craze. ECB President Mario Draghi, in his infinite wisdom, asked for it: he’d driven the ECB deposit rate deeper into the negative, to -0.2%, and has promised to buy €60 billion […]
The Unraveling Is Gathering Speed
The Unraveling Is Gathering Speed Debt saturation and debt fatigue = diminishing returns on central bank tricks. Does anyone else have the feeling that things are not just unraveling, but that the unraveling is gathering speed? Though quantifying this perception is more interpretative than statistical, I think we can look at the ongoing debt crisis […]
After Pillaging Pensions, Greece Raids Utilities To Repay Troika; Bonds Plunge As Bank Run Accelerates
After Pillaging Pensions, Greece Raids Utilities To Repay Troika; Bonds Plunge As Bank Run Accelerates Following yesterday’s news that the ECB is now running simulationson what a Grexit would mean for Greek bond prices (spoiler alert: “fundamentals” suggest a 95% loss), overnight we got more confirmation that Mario Draghi continues to tighten the screws on the […]
It’s What Jesus Would Do, Right?
It’s What Jesus Would Do, Right? On the day that Mario Draghi opened the ECB’s overly opulent new €1.3 billion palatial building(s) in Frankfurt, which led to fierce and fiery protests with hundreds arrested, amongst others from the Blockupy movement, and the IMF for some reason found it necessary to tell the eurozone that Greece […]
A Black Swan Lands In Southern Austria: The Ripple Effects Of “Mini-Greece Going Off In The Heartland Of Europe”
A Black Swan Lands In Southern Austria: The Ripple Effects Of “Mini-Greece Going Off In The Heartland Of Europe” By far the most notable news of the past week, which has still gone largely unnoticed by the greater investing community whose focus instead was on whether algos would ramp the Nasdaq to 5000, and keep the S&P […]
Europe, The Morally Bankrupt Union
Europe, The Morally Bankrupt Union The European Union is busy accomplishing something truly extraordinary: it is fast becoming such a spectacular failure that people don’t even recognize it as one. People have no idea, they just think: this can’t possibly be true, and they continue with their day. They should think again. Because the Grand […]
ECB Will Cut Rates To Minus 3%: JP Morgan
ECB Will Cut Rates To Minus 3%: JP Morgan A running theme here over the past several weeks has been that the ECB’s €1.1 trillion foray into quantitative easing will be severely hindered by a laundry list of constraints (some of which were unwittingly self-imposed). Another topic we’ve covered exhaustively is the idea that the world’s central […]
