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“Secret” Norwegian Report Details ISIS-Turkey Oil Trade As UN Vows To “Cut Off” Terrorist “Funding Sources”

“Secret” Norwegian Report Details ISIS-Turkey Oil Trade As UN Vows To “Cut Off” Terrorist “Funding Sources “The resolution gives us more flexibility to go after those who are helping Isil [Isis], whether to move funds, to store funds or to earn funds”. That’s from Adam Szubin, undersecretary for terrorism and financial intelligence at the US […]

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Suicides In Alberta Soar In Wake Of Canada’s Oilpatch Depression

Suicides In Alberta Soar In Wake Of Canada’s Oilpatch Depression Over the past year, we have extensively chronicled the tragic story of Alberta – Canada’s once booming oilpatch – disintegrate slowly at first, then very fast, into an economic and financial wasteland: “Canada Crude Contagion: Calgary Home Prices Drop Most In 2 Years” “Canada’s Biggest […]

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Russia Presents Detailed Evidence Of ISIS-Turkey Oil Trade

Russia Presents Detailed Evidence Of ISIS-Turkey Oil Trade On Monday, Turkey’s sultan President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said something funny. In the wake of Vladimir Putin’s contention that Russia has additional proof of Turkey’s participation in Islamic State’s illicit crude trade, Erdogan said he would resign if anyone could prove the accusations. Now obviously, conclusive evidence that Ankara is […]

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Did Mario Draghi Just Leak The Bazooka? Two-Tiered NIRP System May Presage Big Rate Cut

Did Mario Draghi Just Leak The Bazooka? Two-Tiered NIRP System May Presage Big Rate Cut Back in September (and on several subsequent occasions), we discussed the implications of a further cut to the ECB’s depo rate. A plunge further into NIRP-dom would have serious consequences for the Riksbank, the SNB, the Nationalbank, and the Norges Bank. In […]

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2-Mile Long Stretch Of Iraqi Oil Tankers Bound For U.S. Shores

2-Mile Long Stretch Of Iraqi Oil Tankers Bound For U.S. Shores After some initial excitement, November has seen crude oil prices collapse back towards cycle lows amid demand doubts (e.g. slumping China oil imports, overflowing Chinese oil capacity, plunging China Industrial Production) and supply concerns (e.g. inventories soaring). However, an even bigger problem looms that […]

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The Biggest Threat To Oil Prices: 2-Mile Long Stretch Of Iraq Oil Tankers Headed For The U.S.

The Biggest Threat To Oil Prices: 2-Mile Long Stretch Of Iraq Oil Tankers Headed For The U.S. After some initial excitement, November has seen crude oil prices collapse back towards cycle lows amid demand doubts (e.g. sllumping China oil imports, overflowing Chinese oil capacity, plunging China Industrial Production) and supply concerns (e.g. inventories soaring). However, […]

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“It’s A Bloodbath” – Here Is The Biggest Casualty Of Canada’s Recession

“It’s A Bloodbath” – Here Is The Biggest Casualty Of Canada’s Recession In the past year, we have extensively profiled the collapse of ground zero of Canada’s oil industry, Calgary, as a result of the plunge in the price of oil, in posts such as the following: “Canada Crude Contagion: Calgary Home Prices Drop Most […]

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Venezuela Default Countdown Begins: After Selling Billions In Gold, Caracas Raids $467 Million In IMF Reserves

Venezuela Default Countdown Begins: After Selling Billions In Gold, Caracas Raids $467 Million In IMF Reserves In late October, when describing Venezuela’s desperate steps to keep itself afloat for a few more months, we reported that in order to fund $3.5 billion bond payments in early November, Maduro’s government had engaged in something that is the very […]

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Global Trade In Freefall: China Container Freight At Record Low; Rail Traffic Tumbles, Trucking Slows Down

Global Trade In Freefall: China Container Freight At Record Low; Rail Traffic Tumbles, Trucking Slows Down Over the past year we have regularly contended that a far greater threat to the global economy than either corporate earnings, currency devaluations, rate cuts (or hikes), reserve outflow, or even the stock market, is the sudden, global trade […]

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Forget China: This Extremely “Developed” Country Just Suffered Its Biggest Money Outflow Ever

Forget China: This Extremely “Developed” Country Just Suffered Its Biggest Money Outflow Ever While understandably all eyes have been fixed on every monthly capital outflow update from China (even the ones that the Politburo is clearly massaging), few have noticed that one of the biggest total outflows currently in the global developed economy is taking place right in America’s own […]

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Saudis Poke The Russian Bear, Start Oil War In Eastern Europe

Saudis Poke The Russian Bear, Start Oil War In Eastern Europe Any weakening of Russian support for Mr. Assad could be one of the first signs that the recent tumult in the oil market is having an impact on global statecraft. Saudi officials have said publicly that the price of oil reflects only global supply […]

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Australia Is “Going Down Under”: “The Bubble Is About To Burst”, RBS Warns

Australia Is “Going Down Under”: “The Bubble Is About To Burst”, RBS Warns Thanks to a variety of idiosyncratic political crises and country-specific stumbling blocks, Brazil, Turkey, Malaysia, and to a lesser extent Russia, have received the lion’s share of coverage when it comes to assessing the EM damage wrought by the comically bad combination […]

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What’s The Worst That Could Happen?

What’s The Worst That Could Happen? Via ConvergEx’s Nicholas Colas, The 30 stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average currently trade for an average of 14.8x next year’s consensus earnings.  But… Everyone knows Wall Street analysts are always too optimistic, so what if we just look at the lowest estimate for each company?  That “Worst Case […]

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Why It Really All Comes Down To The Death Of The Petrodollar

Why It Really All Comes Down To The Death Of The Petrodollar Last week, in the global currency war’s latest escalation, Kazakhstan instituted a free float for the tenge. The currency immediately plunged by some 25%. The rationale behind the move was clear enough. The plunge in crude prices along with the relative weakness of the Russian […]

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Asian Currency Crisis Continues As China Holds, Malaysia Folds, & Japan Heads For Quintuple Dip Recession

Asian Currency Crisis Continues As China Holds, Malaysia Folds, & Japan Heads For Quintuple Dip Recession Asia got off to an inauspicious start this evening with Japan printing a disappointing 1.6% drop in GDP – heading for its fifth recession in 6 years… so much for Abenomics, but, of course, Amari spewed forth some standard propaganda that […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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