Home » Posts tagged 'cpi' (Page 6)
Tag Archives: cpi
The CPI Understates Inflation Skewing Our Expectations
The CPI Understates Inflation Skewing Our Expectations The purpose of the consumer price index (CPI) is to reflect just how much inflation is eating into both our incomes and our savings. Consumer inflation has been estimated since the 1700s, by measuring price changes in a fixed-weight basket of goods. This method was seen as a […]
The Four Dimensions of the Fake Money Order
The Four Dimensions of the Fake Money Order A Good Story with Minor Imperfections “If you don’t know where you are going, any road will get you there,” is a quote that’s oft misattributed to Lewis Carrol. The fact that there is ambiguity about who is behind this quote on ambiguity seems fitting. For our purposes […]
Core Consumer Price Inflation Prints Hotter Than Expected
Core Consumer Price Inflation Prints Hotter Than Expected Having slowed and disappointed for the last two months, all eyes are on US consumer price index growth (which was expected to slow once again in June) this morning as the next Fed rate-cut narrative confirmation. The problem for rate-cut-hopers is that the picture is mixed at […]
No, Autos Are Not “Cheaper Now”
No, Autos Are Not “Cheaper Now” According to the BLS, inflation in the category of “New Vehicles” has been practically non-existent the past 21 years. Longtime readers know I’ve long turned a skeptical gaze at official calculations of inflation, offering real-world analyses such as The Burrito Index: Consumer Prices Have Soared 160% Since 2001 (August 1, 2016) […]
Loonie Spikes After Canadian Core Inflation Soars To 10-Year Highs
Loonie Spikes After Canadian Core Inflation Soars To 10-Year Highs Canadian inflation rose faster than expected in May across all eight major components, spiking the Loonie as it supports the BoC’s view that ‘the North’ is emerging from its growth slowdown (and Poloz argument that rates will need to go higher). The headline consumer price index jumped […]
Here’s The Proof: How The CPI Is Underrepresenting Food Inflation By 40%
Here’s The Proof: How The CPI Is Underrepresenting Food Inflation By 40% The “muzzle” on reported inflation has policymakers and analysts perplexed. As Joseph Carson, former director of economic research at Alliance Bernstein writes in his follow up to a “New Working Theory on Inflation“, numerous economic explanations and theories have been offered, and policymakers […]
Rate of Change
Rate of Change We’ve got to change our ornithological nomenclature. Hawks become doves because they are chickens underneath. Doves became hawks for reasons they don’t really understand. A fingers-crossed policy isn’t a robust one, so there really was no reason to expect the economy to be that way. In January 2019, especially the past few […]
The Arrival Of The Credit Crisis
The Arrival Of The Credit Crisis Those of us who closely follow the credit cycle should not be surprised by the current slide in equity markets. It was going to happen anyway. The timing had recently become apparent as well, and in early August I was able to write the following: “The timing for the […]
Inflation Surges In October; Media Blames Gas Prices
Inflation Surges In October; Media Blames Gas Prices A key measurement of inflation, The Consumer Price Index, rose 2.5% in October from a year earlier. The inflation was linked to rising gas prices by the media, but there’s more to it than just the cost of fuel. Rising inflation is actually also likely tied to […]
Will Your Retirement Efforts Achieve Escape Velocity?
Will Your Retirement Efforts Achieve Escape Velocity? Sadly, most of us will outlive our savings The concept of ‘retirement’, of enjoying decades of work-free leisure in your golden years, is a relatively new construct. It’s only been around for a few generations. In fact, the current version of the relaxed, golfing/RV-touring/country club retirement lifestyle only […]
The Coming Inflation Threat
The Coming Inflation Threat Falling asset inflation plus rising cost inflation equals stagflation. Inflation is a funny thing: we feel it virtually every day, but we’re told it doesn’t exist—the official inflation rate is around 2.5% over the past few years, a little higher when energy prices are going up and a little lower when […]
Peter Schiff Explains “What Happens Next” In 47 Words
Peter Schiff Explains “What Happens Next” In 47 Words Outspoken critic of The Fed and one of the few that can see through the endless barrage of bullshit to how this really ends, has laid out in a tweet “what happens next”… Likely sequence of events: 1. Bear market; 2. Recession; 3. Deficits explode; 4. […]
Amid Market Rout, Decade of “Financial Repression” Ends, Capital Preservation Suddenly is a Thing
Amid Market Rout, Decade of “Financial Repression” Ends, Capital Preservation Suddenly is a Thing This will dog the stock market going forward. Fixed-income investors – a financially conservative bunch buying Treasury securities, FDIC-insured CDs, and similar products that largely eliminate risk – have been getting crushed for a decade: Except for brief periods when inflation […]
Chairman Powell’s Bizarre Statement Ignores the Reality of Price Inflation
Chairman Powell’s Bizarre Statement Ignores the Reality of Price Inflation Inflation has been on the rise since late 2015. According to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure, the Fed has typically maintained the “target inflation” rate of 2%. But official inflation has moved well past that benchmark. It is currently nearing 3% while rising at […]
