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Bank of Japan & the Bond Crisis

Bank of Japan & the Bond Crisis  BoJ Statement 4-24-2019 The Great Financial Unknown is now upon us. After 10 years of Quantitative Easing, the European Central Bank (ECB) in Europe owns 40% of the national debts in the EU and it can neither sell them nor stop buying without creating a Panic in Interest […]

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China & Buying Gold – Why?

China & Buying Gold – Why?  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I believe you said at the WEC in 2017 that central banks will diversify and increase their gold reserves going into the currency crisis coming in 2021. China has continued to increase its gold reserves. You would please update on that development. Thank you PK ANSWER: Central banks […]

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ECB Inflationists are Crippling Europe

ECB Inflationists are Crippling Europe Last week, the ECB announced the reintroduction of targeted long-term refinancing operations for the third time. TLTRO-III is scheduled to start from next September. The idea is to make yet more money available for the banks at attractive rates on condition they increase their lending to non-financial entities. The policy […]

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Can the EU Survive the Next Financial Crisis?

Can the EU Survive the Next Financial Crisis? Despite the ECB’s subsidy of the Eurozone’s banking system, it remains in a sleepwalking state similar to the non-financial, non-crony-capitalist zombified economy. Gone are the heady days of investment banking. There is now a legacy of derivatives and regulators’ fines. Technology has made the over-extended branch network, […]

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A Week in the Life of a Topsy-Turvy Wildly Whirling World

A Week in the Life of a Topsy-Turvy Wildly Whirling World  Let’s review this past devilishly whacky week to see if we can divine the way the world is turning and why the markets are churning. It was 2019’s worst week in stocks and, well, just about everything economic all across this crazily spinning planet. […]

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Super Mario Draghi’s Day of Reckoning Has Arrived

Super Mario Draghi’s Day of Reckoning Has Arrived “Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro. And believe me, it will be enough.” — MARIO DRAGHI JULY 26TH 2012 No quote better defines Mario Draghi’s seven-plus years as the President of the European Central Bank than that quote. […]

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ECB Warns Slowdown Isn’t Temporary: Draghi Announces Bold Stimulus Plan

ECB Warns Slowdown Isn’t Temporary: Draghi Announces Bold Stimulus Plan Mario Draghi surprised even the doves with his bold new stimulus plan. It won’t help one iota. The Wall Street Journal reports ECB Reverses Course With New Stimulus Measures. The European Central Bank made a major policy reversal Thursday, unveiling plans for fresh measures to stimulate […]

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Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT

Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT December’s market instability and resulting Fed capitulation to the marketplace continue to reverberate. At this point, markets basically assume the Fed is well into the process of terminating policy normalization. Only a couple of months since completing its almost $3.0 TN stimulus program, markets now expect the ECB […]

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Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT

Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT December’s market instability and resulting Fed capitulation to the marketplace continue to reverberate. At this point, markets basically assume the Fed is well into the process of terminating policy normalization. Only a couple of months since completing its almost $3.0 TN stimulus program, markets now expect the ECB […]

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Central Bank Balance Sheet Reductions–Will Anyone Follow the Fed?

CENTRAL BANK BALANCE SHEET REDUCTIONS – WILL ANYONE FOLLOW THE FED? The next wave of QE will be different, credit spreads will be controlled The Federal Reserve may continue to tighten but few other CB’s can follow ECB balance sheet reduction might occur if a crisis does not arrive first Interest rates are likely to […]

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Blain: It Feels Like A Liquidity Storm Is Coming Soon

Blain: It Feels Like A Liquidity Storm Is Coming Soon I note with some delight Bernie Sanders plans to stand for US President. One of my US chums sent me the story of the Half-a-Bernie sign propped up against a wall. Someone had cut it neatly in two and left the wooden handle affixed to […]

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How the Euro Enabled Europe’s Debt Bubbles

How the Euro Enabled Europe’s Debt Bubbles It’s the twentieth anniversary of the euro’s existence, and far from being celebrated, it is being blamed for many — if not all — of the Eurozone’s ills.  However, the euro cannot be blamed for the monetary and policy failures of the ECB, national central banks and politicians. […]

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The ECB’s Quantitative Easing was a Failure–Here is What it Actually Did

THE ECB’S QUANTITATIVE EASING WAS A FAILURE — HERE IS WHAT IT ACTUALLY DID The main reason why the ECB quantitative easing program has failed is that it started from a wrong diagnosis of the eurozone’s problem. That the European problem was a demand and liquidity issue, not due to years of excess. The ECB […]

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The Tragedy Of The Euro

The Tragedy Of The Euro After two decades, the euro’s minders look set to drive the Eurozone into deep trouble. December was the last month of the ECB’s monthly purchases of government debt. A softening global economy will increase government deficits unexpectedly. The consequence will be a new cycle of sharply rising bond yields for […]

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Italy’s New Government Eats Its Words, Joins Bank Bailout Club

Italy’s New Government Eats Its Words, Joins Bank Bailout Club Well, that didn’t take long. And whatever happened to the Eurozone’s new bail-in rule? Italy’s government, in its eighth month in power, has already bailed out a bankrupt bank, mid-sized Banca Carige, with public funds. If approved by European Commission and the ECB, it will […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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