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Investors Do Not See “Transitory” Inflation
Investors Do Not See “Transitory” Inflation The Federal Reserve and European Central Bank repeat that the recent inflationary spike is “transitory”. The problem is that investors do not buy it. Inflation is always a monetary phenomenon, and this time is not different. What central banks call transitory effects, and the impact of supply chains are not the real drivers […]
Why Global Inflation Is About To Go Into Overdrive
Why Global Inflation Is About To Go Into Overdrive If you think inflation is already blistering hot – as most companies and survey respondents clearly do – and the worst case been largely priced in, with little inflationary upside left, think again. As Bloomberg notes, last week saw the Bloomberg Agriculture Spot Index rise by the most […]
Producer Prices Surge. Germany, China, other Countries Are Now Exporting Inflation, Adding to US Inflation Pressures
Producer Prices Surge. Germany, China, other Countries Are Now Exporting Inflation, Adding to US Inflation Pressures Central banks still brush it off as just “temporary.” Producer prices of German industrial products in March rose by 0.9% from February, after having risen by 0.7% in February from January, and after having spiked by 1.4% in January […]
Uh Oh: Consumer Price Inflation Heating Up Fast
Uh Oh: Consumer Price Inflation Heating Up Fast Anna Shvets Back in September 2020, we reported on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s inability to see a “hidden” inflation offset in energy that camouflaged the rise in overall inflation. That “hidden” inflation offset has now vanished, and inflation appears to be heating up quickly. Anyone can see it. Robert Wenzel wrote […]
Inflation, real interest rates revisited
Inflation, real interest rates revisited Gold prices ticked higher on Tuesday after inflation data showed US consumer prices rose in March for the fourth straight month and inflation hit its highest level in 2.5 years. Gold for June delivery climbed $8.50, or half a percent, to $1,741.20 an ounce, and spot gold at time of […]
Dollar’s Purchasing Power Drops Sharply to Record Low, But It’s a Lot Worse than CPI Shows
Dollar’s Purchasing Power Drops Sharply to Record Low, But It’s a Lot Worse than CPI Shows If the homeownership component in CPI mirrors the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, CPI would jump 5.1%! Not to speak of new & used vehicle prices, which I nevertheless speak of. The Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in March compared […]
Producer Prices Blow Out
Producer Prices Blow Out And companies have been reporting that they’re able to pass on those surging costs. So here we go with inflation. Inflation that producers are experiencing is now blowing out. The surging input costs and the ability to pass on those higher input costs that have been reported by company executives as […]
Wrong… Again
Wrong… Again The Federal Reserve met last week and voted to keep interest rates unchanged. What a shock! The Fed also gave an upbeat forecast of economic growth, predicting that the U.S. economy will grow 6.5% this year, its highest rate in nearly 40 years. Its December 2020 forecast projected 4.2% growth. The Fed also […]
House Price Inflation in CPI is of Course Complete Baloney, but it Accounts for 1/4 of Total CPI
House Price Inflation in CPI is of Course Complete Baloney, but it Accounts for 1/4 of Total CPI With actual house price inflation based on market data, overall CPI would have jumped by 3.7%. Lifting the cover on the deception to keep CPI low. For most Americans, housing costs are the largest item in their […]
Rabobank: Inflation Is Being “Hidden” Because Belief In Our Whole Fantasy System Is Collapsing
Rabobank: Inflation Is Being “Hidden” Because Belief In Our Whole Fantasy System Is Collapsing Because Orcs “And as if in answer there came from far away another note. Horns, horns, horns, in dark Mindolluin’s sides they dimly echoed. Great horns of the north wildly blowing. Rohan had come at last.” Today is going to be […]
Dollar’s Purchasing Power Drops to Record Low, Despite Aggressive “Hedonic Quality Adjustments”
Dollar’s Purchasing Power Drops to Record Low, Despite Aggressive “Hedonic Quality Adjustments” Spiking prices for new and used vehicles under the microscope. The “Purchasing Power of the Consumer Dollar” – part of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index data released today – is the politically incorrect mirror image of inflation in consumer prices, as […]
BoE Keeps Policy Unchanged, Tells Banks To Start Preparing For Negative Rates “If Necessary” But Sees Spike In Inflation
BoE Keeps Policy Unchanged, Tells Banks To Start Preparing For Negative Rates “If Necessary” But Sees Spike In Inflation The Bank of England kept its stimulus program unchanged on Thursday. The BoE maintained its Bank Rate at 0.1% and left the size of its total asset purchase programme at 895 billion pounds in a unanimous decision, […]
Soaring Food & Energy Costs Spark Rebound In Producer Prices
Soaring Food & Energy Costs Spark Rebound In Producer Prices Producer Prices rebounded MoM in May with headline Final Demand PPI rising 0.4% (against +0.1% exp) but it left PPI YoY still down 0.8%… Some serious dispersion in the various sector’s price swings… This rebound was driven by a record surge in food prices… Two-thirds of […]
A Word About the Current Chaos in Prices and Inflation
A Word About the Current Chaos in Prices and Inflation Some prices collapsed, others skyrocketed, and the Consumer Price Index went haywire. Here’s what I’m seeing beyond the near term — and it’s not “deflation.” Amid soaring prices of meat, beverages, fruit, veggies, and other food at home, and surging costs of personal goods, medical […]
The Problem is Not Deflation, It’s Attempts to Prevent It
The Problem is Not Deflation, It’s Attempts to Prevent It Let’s investigate the Fed’s effort to prevent price deflation. Here’s a Tweet that caught my eye. Real Vision✔@RealVision · May 1, 2020 “We’re about to have deflation and the market hasn’t figure it out yet… when it does, the Fed is going to shit itself.” @hendry_hugh @raoulGMIhttps://rvtv.io/3aWzxf4 […]
