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How To Spot A Bubble

How To Spot A Bubble We’ve been entertaining ourselves to no end the past couple days with a ‘vast array’ of articles that purport to provide us with ‘expert’ opinion on the question of whether we are witnessing a bubble or not. Got the views of Goldman’s David Kostin, Robert Shiller, Jeremy Grantham, Jeremy Siegel, […]

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“It’s A Coup D’Etat,” David Stockman Warns “Central Banks Are Out Of Control”

“It’s A Coup D’Etat,” David Stockman Warns “Central Banks Are Out Of Control” We’re all about to be taken to the woodshed, warns David Stockman in this excellent interview. The huge wealth disparity is “not because of some flaw in capitalism, or Reagan tax cuts, or even the greed of Wall Street; the problem is central […]

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Is the Fed Going to Raise Mortgage Interest Rates?

Is the Fed Going to Raise Mortgage Interest Rates? The Interest Rate Guessing Game Seldom does a day go by without some guru offering his or her prediction on when the Fed is going to raise rates.  They all come with scholarly theories supporting their prediction.  It sounds like a fun game.  I want to […]

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The Collapse Of The Petrodollar: Oil Exporters Are Dumping US Assets At A Record Pace

The Collapse Of The Petrodollar: Oil Exporters Are Dumping US Assets At A Record Pace Back in November we chronicled the (quiet) death of the Petrodollar, the system that has buttressed USD hegemony for decades by ensuring that oil producers recycled their dollar proceeds into still more USD assets creating a very convenient (if your printing press […]

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The Six Too Big To Fail Banks In The U.S. Have 278 TRILLION Dollars Of Exposure To Derivatives

The Six Too Big To Fail Banks In The U.S. Have 278 TRILLION Dollars Of Exposure To Derivatives The very same people that caused the last economic crisis have created a 278 TRILLION dollar derivatives time bomb that could go off at any moment.  When this absolutely colossal bubble does implode, we are going to be faced […]

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It’s Just a Question of Whose Capital Will Be Destroyed

It’s Just a Question of Whose Capital Will Be Destroyed The amount of money investors have plowed into startups has reached record highs. In 2014, investors of all kinds, from angels and VCs to big asset managers, invested $48.35 billion in startups, “only” the third highest year on record, but the highest since the crazy […]

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Short Term Gains And Long Term Disaster

Short Term Gains And Long Term Disaster About a month ago, Japan’s giant GPIF pension fund announced it had started doing in Q4 2014, what PM Abe had long asked it to: shift a large(r) portion of its investment portfolio from bonds to stocks. No more safe assets for the world’s largest pension fund, or […]

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“They Just Want The Money!” The IRS Can Now Seize Accounts On Suspicion Alone | Zero Hedge

“They Just Want The Money!” The IRS Can Now Seize Accounts On Suspicion Alone | Zero Hedge. How can this happen?” Ms. Hinders said in a recent interview. “Who takes your money before they prove that you’ve done anything wrong with it?” The federal government does. *  *  * The topic of civil asset forfeiture has been high on […]

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Don’t Be Distracted by the Pass Rate in ECB’s Bank Exams – Bloomberg

Don’t Be Distracted by the Pass Rate in ECB’s Bank Exams – Bloomberg. For investors, the European Central Bank’s yearlong evaluation of the region’s banks isn’t just about who passes and who fails. The bigger question will be how much the ECB marks down lenders’ capital during its balance sheet inspection known as the asset quality […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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