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From Bling to Plonk – An Update on the Debt Mountain
From Bling to Plonk – An Update on the Debt Mountain Serenely Grows the Debtberg We mentioned in a recent post that we would soon return to the topic of credit spreads and exotic structured products. One reason for doing so are the many surprises investors faced in the 2008 crisis. Readers may e.g. remember […]
Haunted by Ghosts of the Old Eastern Bloc
Haunted by Ghosts of the Old Eastern Bloc Ridiculous Minutia Jerome Powell, the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve, just completed his third week on the job. He’s hardly had enough time to learn how to operate the office coffee maker, let alone the all-in-one printer. He still doesn’t know what roach coach menu items […]
When Budget Deficits Will Really Go Vertical
When Budget Deficits Will Really Go Vertical Mnuchin Gets It United States Secretary of Treasury Steven Mnuchin has a sweet gig. He writes rubber checks to pay the nation’s bills. Yet, somehow, the rubber checks don’t bounce. Instead, like magic, they clear. How this all works, considering the nation’s technically insolvent, we don’t quite understand. […]
What Kind of Stock Market Purge Is This?
What Kind of Stock Market Purge Is This? Actions and Reactions Down markets, like up markets, are both dazzling and delightful. The shock and awe of near back-to-back 1,000 point Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) free-falls is indeed spectacular. There are many reasons to revel in it. Today we shall share a few. To begin, losing money […]
Why I Own Gold and Gold Mining Companies – An Interview With Jayant Bandari
Why I Own Gold and Gold Mining Companies – An Interview With Jayant Bandari Opportunities in the Junior Mining Sector Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable has recently interviewed Jayant Bandari, the publisher of Capitalism and Morality and a frequent contributor to this site. The topics discussed include currencies, bitcoin, gold and above all junior […]
“Strong Dollar”, “Weak Dollar” – What About a Gold-Backed Dollar?
“Strong Dollar”, “Weak Dollar” – What About a Gold-Backed Dollar? Contradictory Palaver The recent hullabaloo among President Trump’s top monetary officials about the Administration’s “dollar policy” is just the start of what will likely be the first of many contradictory pronouncements and reversals which will take place in the coming months and years as the […]
Several Simple Suppositions and Suspicions for 2018
Several Simple Suppositions and Suspicions for 2018 A New Year of Symbiotic Disharmony The New Year is nearly here. The slate’s been wiped clean. New hopes, new dreams, and new fantasies, are all within reach. Today is the day to make a double-fisted grab for them. Without question, 2018 will be the year in which […]
Gold and Gold Stocks – Patterns, Cycles and Insider Activity, Part 1
Gold and Gold Stocks – Patterns, Cycles and Insider Activity, Part 1 Repeating Patterns and Positioning A noteworthy confluence of patterns in gold and gold stocks is in evidence this year. At the close of trading on December 26, the HUI Index has given a (tentative) buy signal by completing a unique chart pattern, which […]
How the Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2
How the Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2 Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc). There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE margin debt […]
The Rug Yank Phase of Fed Policy
The Rug Yank Phase of Fed Policy Bogus Jobs Pay Big Bucks The political differences of today’s two leading parties are not over ultimate questions of principle. Rather, they are over opposing answers to the question of how a goal can be achieved with the least sacrifice. For lawmakers, the goal is to promise the […]
The Zealous Pursuit of State-Sponsored Collapse
The Zealous Pursuit of State-Sponsored Collapse When Bakers Go Fishing Government intervention into a nation’s economy is as foolish as attempting to control the sun’s rise and fall by law or force. But that doesn’t mean governments don’t meddle each and every day with the best – and worst – of intentions. The United States […]
Business Cycles and Inflation, Part II
Business Cycles and Inflation, Part II Early Warning Signals in a Fragile System [ed note: here is Part 1; if you have missed it, best go there and start reading from the beginning] We recently received the following charts via email with a query whether they should worry stock market investors. They show two short […]
The Downright Sinister Rearrangement of Riches
The Downright Sinister Rearrangement of Riches Simple Classifications Let’s begin with facts. Cold hard unadorned facts. Water boils at 212 degrees Fahrenheit at standard atmospheric pressure. Squaring the circle using a compass and straightedge is impossible. The sun is a star. The sun is not just a star, it is a benevolent star. Look, it […]
Falling Interest Rates
Falling Interest Rates Amassing Unproductive Debt Last week, we discussed the marginal productivity of debt. This is how much each newly-borrowed dollar adds to GDP. And ever since the interest rate began its falling trend in 1981, marginal productivity of debt has tightly correlated with interest. The lower the interest rate, the less productive additional […]
