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Iran Unleashes Oil Flood, Will Quintuple Crude Revenue In 2016
Iran Unleashes Oil Flood, Will Quintuple Crude Revenue In 2016 On Saturday, Iran marked what President Hassan Rouhani called a “golden page” in the country’s history when the IAEA ruled that Tehran had stuck to its commitments under last year’s nuclear accord. Moments after the ruling was handed down, the US and the EU each […]
(Re-)Covering Oil and War
(Re-)Covering Oil and War The first thing that popped into our minds on Tuesday when WTI oil briefly broached $30 for its first $20 handle in many years, was that this should be triggering a Gawdawful amount of bets, $30 being such an obvious number. Which in turn would of necessity lead to a -brief- […]
For Commodities, This Is The Next Great Depression
For Commodities, This Is The Next Great Depression While the “sell in 1973, and go away” plan had worked out for some in the commodity space, the destruction of the last decade has only one historical comparison… the middle of The Great Depression. The 10-year rolling annualized return for commodities is -5.1% – the lowest since 1938… During the same period […]
Bob Janjuah Warns The Bubble Implosion Can’t Be “Fixed” This Time
Bob Janjuah Warns The Bubble Implosion Can’t Be “Fixed” This Time Having correctly foreseen in September that “China’s devaluations are not over yet” it appears Nomura’s infamous ‘bear’ Bob Janjuah has also nailed The Fed’s subsequent actions (hiking rates into a fundamentally weakening economy in a desperate bid to “convince markets that strong growth and inflation are on their […]
A Disturbing Warning From UBS: “Buy Gold” Because A 30% Bear Market Is Coming
A Disturbing Warning From UBS: “Buy Gold” Because A 30% Bear Market Is Coming As Wall Street axioms (Santa rally, January effect, as goes January etc.) are rapidly falling by the wayside at the start of 2016, following a chaotic but return-less 2015, the UBS analysts who correctly forecast last year’s volatility are out with […]
The Incredible Shrinking Benefits Of Massive Japanese Money Printing
The Incredible Shrinking Benefits Of Massive Japanese Money Printing Excerpted from JPMorgan CIO Michael Cembalest 2016 Outlook, Something is wrong with this picture. In the US and Japan, corporate profits sank during the global financial crisis. In the US, the profit recovery was accompanied by a recovery in household income. In Japan, however, corporate profits […]
The Credit Crunch Is Back: Banks Scramble To Collateralize Loans To Record Levels
The Credit Crunch Is Back: Banks Scramble To Collateralize Loans To Record Levels One of the biggest quandaries of this cycle for the US economy has been the amount and growth of commercial bank loans. Virtually non-existent for the first three years of the centrally-planned new normal, something changed in 2012 at which point US […]
The Keynesian Recovery Meme Is About To Get Mugged, Part 1
The Keynesian Recovery Meme Is About To Get Mugged, Part 1 Yellen said at least one thing of importance last week, but not in a good way. She confessed to the frightening truth that the FOMC formulates its policies and actions based on forecasts of future economic developments. My point is not simply that our monetary politburo couldn’t […]
Canada Just Warned That Negative Interest Rates Are Coming
Canada Just Warned That Negative Interest Rates Are Coming Moments ago, the Bank of Canada’s chief finally said what we had been patiently waiting for over the past several months: admission that Europe’s experiment with negative rates is about to cross the Atlantic. From Market News: BOC POLOZ: NOW SEES EFFECTIVE LOWER BOUND FOR POLICY RATE […]
Global Trade In Freefall: China Container Freight At Record Low; Rail Traffic Tumbles, Trucking Slows Down
Global Trade In Freefall: China Container Freight At Record Low; Rail Traffic Tumbles, Trucking Slows Down Over the past year we have regularly contended that a far greater threat to the global economy than either corporate earnings, currency devaluations, rate cuts (or hikes), reserve outflow, or even the stock market, is the sudden, global trade […]
Bubbles and Backlashes
Bubbles and Backlashes Image: trialsanderrors/Flickr CC. Financial markets have been turbulent as of late with no end in sight. A sagging global economy could overwhelm America’s recovery efforts with toxic effects on key climate change and clean energy initiatives now underway. The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to postpone an interest rate hike is but one reflection […]
The G-30 Group Of Central Bankers Warn They Can “No Longer Save The World”
The G-30 Group Of Central Bankers Warn They Can “No Longer Save The World” In a detailed report by the Group of Thirty, central bankers warned that ZIRP and money printing were not sufficient to revive economic growth and risked becoming semi-permanent measures. As Reuters reports, the flow of easy money has inflated asset prices like stocks and […]
“We Should Have Known Something Was Wrong”
“We Should Have Known Something Was Wrong” Remember when stuff such as the following was written exclusively on “conspiracy” tin-foil blogs by deranged lunatics who could not appreciate the brilliance of the neo-Keynesian system and central-planning by academics, in all its glory? Good times. Here is Bank of America’s Athanasios Vamvakidis channeling Tyler Durden circa […]
Failure to Launch
Failure to Launch The popular belief that the U.S. economy has been steadily recovering has endured months of disappointing data without losing much of its appeal. A deep bench of excuses, ranging from the weather to the Chinese economy, has been called on to justify why the economy hasn’t built up any noticeable steam, and […]
