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Gold: Still Misunderstood
Gold: Still Misunderstood Myths That Just Won’t Die Gold just had its best quarter in 30 years. Not surprisingly, gold bears are coming out of the woodwork en masse in the mainstream media and the analyst community (see e.g. this recent write-up by Mish on the Goldman Sachs analyst who has been screaming “short gold” since right before it started […]
The Path to the Final Crisis
The Path to the Final Crisis Reader Questions on Negative Interest Rates Our reader L from Mumbai has mailed us a number of questions about the negative interest rate regime and its possible consequences. Since these questions are probably of general interest, we have decided to reply to them in this post. The NIRP club […]
The Pitfalls of Currency Manipulation – A History of Interventionist Failure
The Pitfalls of Currency Manipulation – A History of Interventionist Failure The G-20 and Policy Coordination Readers may recall that the last G20 pow-wow (see “The Gasbag Gabfest” for details) featured an uncharacteristic lack of grandiose announcements, a fact we welcomed with great relief. The previously announced “900 plans” which were supposedly going to create […]
US Money Supply and Debt – Early Warning Signs Remain Operative
US Money Supply and Debt – Early Warning Signs Remain Operative Still Slowing Down Year-end distortions have begun to slowly come out of the data, and while broad true US money supply growth remains fairly brisk, it has begun to slow again relative to January’s y/y growth rate, to 7.8% from 8.32%. So far it […]
The Monetary Base, Buybacks and the Stock Market
The Monetary Base, Buybacks and the Stock Market A Useful Leading Indicator? We often see charts comparing the S&P 500 to the growth in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, or more specifically, to assets held by the Fed. There is undeniably a close correlation between the two, but it has struck us as not very […]
Draghobert the Terrible Strikes Again
Draghobert the Terrible Strikes Again A Whiff of Panic Ahead of Thursday’s ECB meeting, there was a widespread consensus that Europe’s chief printing press supervisor would make up for the alleged “mistake” of under-delivering on monetary lunacy last time around. Therefore, a sizable dose of fresh absurdities had to be expected, with only small disagreements on […]
Mr. MORE!
Mr. MORE! The Man with the Inflation Plan Proving beyond a shadow of doubt that Keynesian absurdity knows no bounds, Larry Summers has graced the FT – one of the West’s premier establishment propaganda mouthpieces advocating central economic planning as practiced by modern-day regulatory democracies – with yet another cringe-worthy editorial. Larry Summers – it […]
European Disunion
European Disunion Greece vs. Austria: Non-Friendly Acts Two days ago we came across a headline at Reuters, informing us that “Greece rages at neighbors as fears migrants could be halted”. Say what? What the hell is this supposed to mean? Is this even English? Possibly Reuters employs the same headline editor as Bloomberg….he or she is definitely […]
Australia’s Housing Bubble: In the Grip of Insanity
Australia’s Housing Bubble: In the Grip of Insanity Perverse Incentives We haven’t written about Australia’s residential real estate bubble for some time (readers may want to check out last year’s post “Australia’s Bubble Trouble”, which contains numerous relevant charts and data). Property auction in Sidney Our friend Jonathan Tepper of Variant Perception has recently visited […]
“Stimulus Hopes” – a Dog that Ain’t Hunting no More
“Stimulus Hopes” – a Dog that Ain’t Hunting no More A Rebound in Stocks Begins Given that a very sharp downturn in so-called “risk assets” is well underway globally, but not yet fully confirmed by US big cap indexes, we are keeping an eye out for confirmation. This is to say, we are looking for events, market […]
This Time Is Different!
This Time Is Different! Experts Agree: It Is Not 2008 If someone were to ask us what year it was, we would probably politely answer that it was 2016, curious to find out whether the inquirer was a) very confused, b) had only recently awoken from a coma and was still unsure of his when-abouts, or c) […]
Softening up the Rubes – the War on Cash Continues
Softening up the Rubes – the War on Cash Continues More Anti-Cash Propaganda by Bloomberg Former NYC mayor Bloomberg is probably one of the worst nannycrats who ever strode upon the US political scene. No-one has done more to take the fun out of New York than this man (we have chronicled the efforts of […]
The Bank of Japan – Ringing in the Endgame?
The Bank of Japan – Ringing in the Endgame? Let’s Do More of What Doesn’t Work It is the Keynesian mantra: the fact that the policies recommended by Keynesians and monetarists, i.e., deficit spending and money printing, routinely fail to bring about the desired results is not seen as proof that they simply don’t work. […]
The FOMC Decision: The Boxed in Fed
The FOMC Decision: The Boxed in Fed An Imaginary Bogeyman What’s a Keynesian monetary quack to do when the economy and markets fail to remain “on message” within a few weeks of grandiose declarations that this time, printing truckloads of money has somehow “worked”, in defiance of centuries of experience, and in blatant violation of sound theory? […]
Stocks, the Economy and the Money Supply – What to Watch
Stocks, the Economy and the Money Supply – What to Watch The Stock Market and Economic Data In previous articles we have occasionally discussed the interaction between economic indicators and the stock market. Among the topics we have touched upon: for one thing, the capitalization-weighted indexes can hardly be called “leading indicators” of the economy […]
