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Weekly Commentary: Approaching the 10-year Anniversary

Weekly Commentary: Approaching the 10-year Anniversary We’re rapidly Approaching the 10-year Anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis. Exactly one decade ago to the day (September 7, 2008), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were placed into government receivership. And for at least a decade, there has been nothing more than talk of reforming the government-sponsored-enterprises. It’s […]

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After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of?

After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of? If the world’s economies still need central bank life support to survive, they aren’t healthy–they’re barely clinging to life. The “recovery”/Bull Market is in its 10th year, and yet central banks are still tiptoeing around as if the tiniest misstep will cause the […]

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10 Years Later–No Lessons Learned

10 YEARS LATER – NO LESSONS LEARNED “A variety of investors provided capital to financial companies, with which they made irresponsible loans and took excessive risks. These activities resulted in real losses, which have largely wiped out the shareholder equity of the companies. But behind that shareholder equity is bondholder money, and so much of […]

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We Are All Lab Rats In The Largest-Ever Monetary Experiment In Human History

We Are All Lab Rats In The Largest-Ever Monetary Experiment In Human History And how do things usually work out for the rat? There are ample warning signs that another serious financial crisis is on the way. These warning signs are being soundly ignored by the majority, though. Perhaps understandably so. After 10 years of […]

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Bernanke, Geithner & Paulson Warn: “We’ve Forgotten The Lessons Of The Financial Crisis”

Bernanke, Geithner & Paulson Warn: “We’ve Forgotten The Lessons Of The Financial Crisis” Late last month, the Fed declared that six of the country’s biggest banks needed to scale back their plans for returning cash to shareholders to strengthen their capital buffers, a striking reminder that banks shouldn’t be overeager to put the legacy of […]

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Weekly Commentary: BIS Annual Economic Report (for posterity)

Weekly Commentary: BIS Annual Economic Report (for posterity) With attention focused on unfolding trade wars and summer vacations, the release of the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) Annual Report garnered scant notice (with the exception of Gillian Tett’s Thursday FT article, “Holiday Trading Lull Flashes Red for Financiers”). From the BIS: “It is now 10 […]

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Inflation or Employment

INFLATION OR EMPLOYMENT Inflationary fears are growing and US rates continue to rise Employment has become more flexible since the crisis of 2008/2009 Commodity prices have risen but from multi-year lows During the next recession job losses will rapidly temper inflationary pressures Given the official policy response to the Great Financial Recession – a mixture […]

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Party On, Dudes

Party On, Dudes As of this week, the shale oil miracle launched US oil production above the 1970 previous-all-time record at just over ten million barrels a day. Techno-rapturists are celebrating what seems to be a blindingly bright new golden age of energy greatness. Independent oil analyst Art Berman, who made the podcast rounds the […]

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It’s Looking A Lot Like 2008 Now…

It’s Looking A Lot Like 2008 Now… Did today’s market plunge mark the start of the next crash? Economic and market conditions are eerily like they were in late 2007/early 2008. Remember back then? Everything was going great. Home prices were soaring. Jobs were plentiful. The great cultural marketing machine was busy proclaiming that a […]

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Will Monetary Policy Trigger Another Financial Crisis?

Getty Images Will Monetary Policy Trigger Another Financial Crisis? Sustained unconventional monetary policies in the years after the 2008 global financial crisis created the conditions for the second-longest bull market in history. But they also may have sown the seeds of the next financial crisis, which might take root as central banks continue to normalize […]

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Doug Noland: There Will Be No Way Out When This Market Bubble Bursts

Doug Noland: There Will Be No Way Out When This Market Bubble Bursts Financial assets will become toxic to hold This week Doug Noland joins the podcast to discuss what he refers to as the “granddaddy of all bubbles”. Noland, a 30-year market analyst and specialist in credit cycles, currently works at McAlvany Wealth Management and […]

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1987, 1997, 2007… Just How Crash-Prone are Years Ending in 7?

1987, 1997, 2007… Just How Crash-Prone are Years Ending in 7? Bad Reputation Years ending in 7, such as the current year 2017, have a bad reputation among stock market participants. Large price declines tend to occur quite frequently in these years. Sliding down the steep slope of the cursed year. [PT] Just think of […]

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Why There Will Be No 11th Hour Debt Ceiling Deal

Why There Will Be No 11th Hour Debt Ceiling Deal A new milestone on the American populaces’ collective pursuit of insolvency was reached this week.  According to a reportpublished on Tuesday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, total U.S. household debt jumped to a new record high of $12.84 trillion during the second […]

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World Out Of Whack: Iceland, You Won’t Believe It

World Out Of Whack: Iceland, You Won’t Believe It The developed world is going to hell and probably deserves it. Today, I’m going to show you what should have been done both during and post the GFC. That it wasn’t, and now almost certainly won’t, is a problem for us all but that’s a story for another […]

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Bank Loan Creation Crashes At Fastest Pace Since The Financial Crisis

Bank Loan Creation Crashes At Fastest Pace Since The Financial Crisis Last weekend, after looking at the latest H.8 statement by the Fed, we noted something concerning: total loans and leases by U.S. commercial banks were rising at an annual pace of about 4.6%, based on weekly Fed data. That is down from a 6.4% pace for […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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