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Debt & the Point of No Return

Debt & the Point of No Return  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; First I want to thank you for coming to Europe this year. It has been some time since your Berlin Conference. My question is simple. How can the ECB tell countries to reduce their debt when as you say nobody ever pays off the debt? Is […]

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A Week in the Life of a Topsy-Turvy Wildly Whirling World

A Week in the Life of a Topsy-Turvy Wildly Whirling World  Let’s review this past devilishly whacky week to see if we can divine the way the world is turning and why the markets are churning. It was 2019’s worst week in stocks and, well, just about everything economic all across this crazily spinning planet. […]

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Super Mario Draghi’s Day of Reckoning Has Arrived

Super Mario Draghi’s Day of Reckoning Has Arrived “Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro. And believe me, it will be enough.” — MARIO DRAGHI JULY 26TH 2012 No quote better defines Mario Draghi’s seven-plus years as the President of the European Central Bank than that quote. […]

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ECB Warns Slowdown Isn’t Temporary: Draghi Announces Bold Stimulus Plan

ECB Warns Slowdown Isn’t Temporary: Draghi Announces Bold Stimulus Plan Mario Draghi surprised even the doves with his bold new stimulus plan. It won’t help one iota. The Wall Street Journal reports ECB Reverses Course With New Stimulus Measures. The European Central Bank made a major policy reversal Thursday, unveiling plans for fresh measures to stimulate […]

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Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT

Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT December’s market instability and resulting Fed capitulation to the marketplace continue to reverberate. At this point, markets basically assume the Fed is well into the process of terminating policy normalization. Only a couple of months since completing its almost $3.0 TN stimulus program, markets now expect the ECB […]

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Blain: It Feels Like A Liquidity Storm Is Coming Soon

Blain: It Feels Like A Liquidity Storm Is Coming Soon I note with some delight Bernie Sanders plans to stand for US President. One of my US chums sent me the story of the Half-a-Bernie sign propped up against a wall. Someone had cut it neatly in two and left the wooden handle affixed to […]

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How the Euro Enabled Europe’s Debt Bubbles

How the Euro Enabled Europe’s Debt Bubbles It’s the twentieth anniversary of the euro’s existence, and far from being celebrated, it is being blamed for many — if not all — of the Eurozone’s ills.  However, the euro cannot be blamed for the monetary and policy failures of the ECB, national central banks and politicians. […]

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The ECB’s Quantitative Easing was a Failure–Here is What it Actually Did

THE ECB’S QUANTITATIVE EASING WAS A FAILURE — HERE IS WHAT IT ACTUALLY DID The main reason why the ECB quantitative easing program has failed is that it started from a wrong diagnosis of the eurozone’s problem. That the European problem was a demand and liquidity issue, not due to years of excess. The ECB […]

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The Tragedy Of The Euro

The Tragedy Of The Euro After two decades, the euro’s minders look set to drive the Eurozone into deep trouble. December was the last month of the ECB’s monthly purchases of government debt. A softening global economy will increase government deficits unexpectedly. The consequence will be a new cycle of sharply rising bond yields for […]

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Italy’s New Government Eats Its Words, Joins Bank Bailout Club

Italy’s New Government Eats Its Words, Joins Bank Bailout Club Well, that didn’t take long. And whatever happened to the Eurozone’s new bail-in rule? Italy’s government, in its eighth month in power, has already bailed out a bankrupt bank, mid-sized Banca Carige, with public funds. If approved by European Commission and the ECB, it will […]

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We Are Entering The “Quantitative Failure” Narrative

We Are Entering The “Quantitative Failure” Narrative For a decade, the world brushed off any concerns about soaring global debt under the rug for a simple reason: between the Fed, the ECB and the BOJ, there was always a buyer of last resort, providing an implicit or, increasingly explicit backstop to bond prices, in the […]

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The Eurozone Is in a Danger Zone

The Eurozone Is in a Danger Zone It is easy to conclude the EU, and the Eurozone in particular, is a financial and systemic time-bomb waiting to happen. Most commentary has focused on problems that are routinely patched over, such as Greece, Italy, or the impending rescue of Deutsche Bank. This is a mistake. The […]

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The Ugly Truth

The Ugly Truth For years critics of central bank policy have been dismissed as negative nellies, but the ugly truth is staring us all in the face: Market advances remain a game of artificial liquidity and central bank jawboning and not organic growth and now the jig is up. As I’ve been saying for a […]

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ECB Takes “Unprecedented” Step Of Putting Italy’s Banca Carige In Administration

ECB Takes “Unprecedented” Step Of Putting Italy’s Banca Carige In Administration Investors who had hoped that the resolution of Italy’s budget showdown with the EU would mark an end to a volatile period for Italian bonds and stocks were disappointed Wednesday when fears about an Italian banking crisis reemerged after the ECB appointed a slate […]

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Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Inflationism

Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Inflationism December 13 – Financial Times (Chris Giles and Claire Jones): “When the European Central Bank switches off its money-printing press at the turn of this year and stops buying fresh assets, it will mark the end of a decade-long global experiment in how to stave off economic meltdowns. Quantitative […]

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