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Not Even Goldman Has Any Clue How The BOJ Will “Control” The Yield Curve
Not Even Goldman Has Any Clue How The BOJ Will “Control” The Yield Curve The biggest news overnight, and certainly far bigger than this afternoon’s non-event from Janet Yellen, was the significant change in monetary policy announced by the BOJ which (belatedly) unveiled its re-revised “QQE”… this time “with Yield Curve Control” (or “QQEWYCC“), a […]
Time to Get Real: Part I
Time to Get Real: Part I In a world where fair value is a central bank veiled enigma it’s frankly a challenge to keep things real, but I’ll have a go at it in what will be a 3 part series covering central banks, the underlying fundamental picture, and a technical assessment of charts. In this part I’ll be covering […]
A Convocation of Interventionists – Part 1
A Convocation of Interventionists – Part 1 Modern Economics – It’s All About Central Planning We are hereby delivering a somewhat belated comment on the meeting of monetary central planners and their courtier economists at Jackson Hole. Luckily timing is not really an issue in this context. Central bank headquarters: the Fed’s Eccles building, the […]
Will Japan Be the First to Test the Limits of Quantitative Easing?
WILL JAPAN BE THE FIRST TO TEST THE LIMITS OF QUANTITATIVE EASING? The Japanese stock market peaked in December 1989, marking the end of a period of economic expansion which briefly saw Japan eclipse the USA to become the world’s largest economy. Since its zenith, Japan has struggled. I wrote about this topic, in relation […]
Bank of Japan: The Limits of Monetary Tinkering
Bank of Japan: The Limits of Monetary Tinkering Damned If You Do… After waking up on Thursday, we quickly glanced at the overnight market action in Asia and noticed that the Nikkei had tanked rather noticeably. Our first thought upon seeing this was “must be the yen” – and so it was: June yen futures, […]
Quantitative to Qualitative–Is Unelected Nationalisation Next?
QUANTITATIVE TO QUALITATIVE – IS UNELECTED NATIONALISATION NEXT? Last year, in a paper entitled The Stock Market Crash Really Did Cause the Great Recession – Roger Farmer of UCLA argued that the collapse in the stock market was the cause of the Great Recession:- In November of 2008 the Federal Reserve more than doubled the monetary base […]
Steen Jakobsen: The End Of The Debt Cycle
Steen Jakobsen: The End Of The Debt Cycle As transformational as the fall of the Berlin Wall As we’ve been watching closely, something is wrong with the big banks. Their shares have lost 25-33% of their market value since the beginning of the year. What’s going on? The turmoil seems greatest in Europe, where bank […]
Are Asian Central Bankers Even Crazier Than Our Own?
Are Asian Central Bankers Even Crazier Than Our Own? That the world’s central bankers get a lot of things wrong, deliberately or not, and have done so for years now, is nothing new. But that they do things that result in the exact opposite of what they ostensibly aim for, and predictably so, perhaps is. […]
The Negative Rates Club
The Negative Rates Club BRUSSELS – For the better part of a decade, central banks have been making only limited headway in curbing powerful global deflationary forces. Since 2008, the US Federal Reserve has maintained zero interest rates, while pursuing multiple waves of unprecedented balance-sheet expansion through large-scale bond purchases. The Bank of England, the […]
Negative-Interest-Rate Effect already Dead, Central Banks Lost Control over Stocks
Negative-Interest-Rate Effect already Dead, Central Banks Lost Control over Stocks And there’s a bitter irony. The Bank of Japan’s surprise Negative-Interest-Rate party for stocks set a new record: it lasted only two days. Today a week ago, the Bank of Japan shocked markets into action. As the economy has deteriorated despite years of zero-interest-rate policy […]
Citi On Why Negative Rates Are Like Potato Chips: “No One Can Have Just One”
Citi On Why Negative Rates Are Like Potato Chips: “No One Can Have Just One” Now that Japan has let the negative rates genie out of the bottle, or as DB put it, ‘opened the Pandora’s Box‘ and in the process unleashed the latest global “silent bank run” and capital flight, prepare to hear a […]
Austrians Get (Some) Mainstream Credibility
AUSTRIANS GET (SOME) MAINSTREAM CREDIBILITY Well, well: who would have believed it. First the Bank for International Settlements comes out with a paper that links credit booms to the boom-bust business cycle, then Britain’s Adam Smith Institute publishes a paper by Anthony Evans [Editor’s note: Anthony is a Founding Fellow of The Cobden Centre] that […]
Billary Buddy Marc Lasry’s Last Rodeo——The Jig Is Up On 25 Years Of Bottom Fisher Bailouts
Billary Buddy Marc Lasry’s Last Rodeo——The Jig Is Up On 25 Years Of Bottom Fisher Bailouts As the Fed’s third and last bubble of this century heads for its splatter spot, the stench of desperate crony capitalism fills the air. You can count hedge fund mogul and Billary Buddy, Marc Lasry, among the upchucking financiers. […]
Europe’s Biggest Bank Dares To Ask: Is The Fed Preparing For A “Controlled Demolition”
Europe’s Biggest Bank Dares To Ask: Is The Fed Preparing For A “Controlled Demolition” Why did we focus so much attention yesterday on a post in which the IMF confirmed what we had said since last October, namely that the BOJ’s days of ravenous debt monetization are coming to a tapering end as soon as 2017 (as […]
Both ECB And BOJ Warn More QE May Be Response To Chinese Currency War
Both ECB And BOJ Warn More QE May Be Response To Chinese Currency War Minutes from the ECB’s most recent policy meeting reveal that Mario Draghi and company have a number of concerns about the pace of economic growth in the euroarea and about the outlook for inflation which, much to the governing council’s surprise, […]
