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Central Banks Are Out of Tricks
Central Banks Are Out of Tricks Once the power to manage expectations has been lost, the central bank bag of tricks is empty. No one knows precisely how and when the global unraveling will impact their corner of the planet, but we do know one thing with absolute certainty: central banks are out of tricks. […]
The Chart That Explains Everything
The Chart That Explains Everything Why is the economy barely growing after seven years of zero rates and easy money? Why are wages and incomes sagging when stock and bond prices have gone through the roof? Why are stocks experiencing such extreme volatility when the Fed increased rates by a mere quarter of a percent? […]
Discovery
Discovery It looks like 2016 will be the year that humanfolk learn that the stuff they value was not worth as much as they thought it was. It will be a harrowing process because a great many humans are abandoning ownership of things that are rapidly losing value — e.g. stocks on the Shanghai exchange […]
2016 – the BIG SHIFT
2016 – the BIG SHIFT As we close 2015 and begin a new year, the markets generally closed flat to neutral with a warning that as we approach the political year from hell being 2017, this is by no means going to be a walk through the park. We are more likely than not going […]
The Catastrophic Threat of Bail-Ins
The Catastrophic Threat of Bail-Ins It has now been more than two and a half years since the Cyprus Steal , the first “bail-in” perpetrated in the Western world, occurred. Before reviewing the history of this newest financial atrocity, it is necessary to define the terms. The term “bail-in” describes a scenario in which a bank confiscates private property […]
Government Influence Over Asset Prices Growing
Government Influence Over Asset Prices Growing Where most analysis on oil markets tends to fall short is on the depth of analysis vs. reading headlines and group think, the latter of which is heavily shaped by misinformed media and government propaganda. The facts are OECD stocks have fell in October, not increased. That runs against […]
Is Judgment Day At Hand?
Is Judgment Day At Hand? What is Judgment Day? It is like ancient times that the Feds, under Greenspan, somehow decided that US needed to follow a zero interest rate policy, a policy now known as the ZIRP. It was 2008 when Bernanke gave birth to the term Quantitative Easing, QE. QE was followed by Operation […]
Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation
Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation Some things you CAN see coming, in life and certainly in finance. Quite a few things, actually. Once you understand we’re on a long term downward path, also both in life and in finance, and you’re not exclusively looking at short term gains, it all sort of falls […]
Dying Petrodollar Ripples Through Markets As Asset Managers Bemoan Loss Of Saudi Bid
Dying Petrodollar Ripples Through Markets As Asset Managers Bemoan Loss Of Saudi Bid One of the key things to understand about China’s liquidation of hundreds of billions in US paper is that far from being a country-specific phenomenon, it actually marks the continuation of something that’s been taking place in other emerging markets for some […]
What the Heck’s Happening to the Global Stock Markets?
What the Heck’s Happening to the Global Stock Markets? According to our soothsayers, when the Fed decided to keep interest rates where they’ve been since 2008, at near zero, rather than raise them, it should have triggered a big stock-market rally. But that’s not what happened. Or rather, it triggered some rallies, but soon the […]
Taxation & Its Role in the Destruction of Our Economy
QUESTION: Thank you for your fascinating blog. I thoroughly enjoy reading your analysis on social, political, financial and historical topics. i would like to make a couple points with questions and get your analysis or feedback on these. First point: You describe that post 2015.75 (Big Bang), you expect a peak in bonds (safe haven) that […]
“It’s A Tipping Point” Marc Faber Warns “There Are No Safe Assets Anymore”
“It’s A Tipping Point” Marc Faber Warns “There Are No Safe Assets Anymore” Markets have “reached some kind of a tipping point,” warns Marc Faber in this brief Bloomberg TV interview. Simply put, he explains, “because of modern central banking and repeated interventions with monetary policy, in other words, with QE, all around the world by […]
Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble: When Authorities Buy Assets to Prop Up Markets
Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble: When Authorities Buy Assets to Prop Up Markets The Central Planners who thought that buying shares to prop up the stock bubble was an excellent fix are about to find out the true meaning of toil and trouble. The actual line from Shakespeare’s Macbeth is double, double, toil and trouble, fire burn, and […]
Our Phantom Economy
Our Phantom Economy Those who believe that phantom recoveries and phantom metrics can be substituted for reality are in for a shock in the next downturn. Stripped of artifice, there are only two kinds of media stories: those that support the status quo narrative, and those that are skeptical of that narrative. What is the status […]
