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Why The U.S. Is Suddenly Buying A Lot More Saudi Oil
Why The U.S. Is Suddenly Buying A Lot More Saudi Oil For a few months now, OPEC has been boosting production to ease concerns about high oil prices amid expected supply losses from Venezuela and Iran. The cartel’s largest producer and exporter, Saudi Arabia, has been specifically targeting an increase in crude oil exports to […]
Emerging Market Contagion Threatens Oil Market
Emerging Market Contagion Threatens Oil Market The emerging market currency crisis is not over yet, and could yet morph into a broader contagion that threatens to drag down oil demand. Last week, Argentina’s peso fell by around 20 percent in just a few days, taking year-to-date losses over 50 percent. The central bank frantically hiked […]
Why The Saudis Are Still Dominating Oil Markets
Why The Saudis Are Still Dominating Oil Markets Saudi Arabia is still clearly in control of the oil market. The narrative that decisively took hold over the oil market in August was one of cracks in emerging market demand, concerns over the health of the global economy and fears over the fallout from the U.S.-China […]
Oil Markets Are In For A Bumpy Ride
Oil Markets Are In For A Bumpy Ride The always-volatile oil market is set for even more volatility over the next two years as investors and speculators try to make sense of the conflicting market forces determining the pace of demand growth and global oil supply. Over the past month, the two key themes have […]
The “Weakest” EIA Report In Years
The “Weakest” EIA Report In Years The EIA just published one of the “weakest” weekly oil reports in years, which suggests troubled waters ahead for the global oil market. The timing of the report is not ideal, coming amidst a currency crisis in Turkey, which has raised fears of financial contagion in other emerging markets. […]
All-Time Low Spare Capacity Could Send Oil To $150
All-Time Low Spare Capacity Could Send Oil To $150 While the oil market and analysts are trying to guesstimate how much Iranian oil the U.S. sanctions will stifle later this year, they all agree that the return of the sanctions is the market’s key bullish driver as well as the largest ‘known unknown’ for oil […]
Is A Supply Crunch In Oil Markets Inevitable?
Is A Supply Crunch In Oil Markets Inevitable? The oil industry is more profitable than at any time in years, yet the industry could fail to supply enough oil to meet global demand in just a few years’ time. A series of second quarter earnings reports over the past two weeks has revealed surging profits […]
Saudi oil shipment halt: A potential watershed in the Yemen war
Saudi oil shipment halt: A potential watershed in the Yemen war A spike in oil prices as a result of a temporary halt in shipments through the strategic Bab el Mandeb strait may be short-lived, but the impact on Yemen’s three-year-old forgotten war is likely to put the devastating conflict on the front burner. The […]
Oil Jumps As Trump Asks Allies To Cut Off Iranian Oil
Oil Jumps As Trump Asks Allies To Cut Off Iranian Oil The Trump administration is going to extreme lengths to disrupt as much oil from Iran as possible, and the implications for the oil market could be severe. When the Obama administration sought to isolate Iran, it built an international coalition, put in place tight […]
Canada Bets On Trans Mountain Expansion To Sell Oil In Asia
Canada Bets On Trans Mountain Expansion To Sell Oil In Asia Canada may be the fourth largest producer and third largest exporter of oil in the world, but it has one sole customer of its oil—the United States. At the end of last month, Canada took a step toward ensuring that its oil would have […]
Oil Market Volatility Set To Soar This Month
Oil Market Volatility Set To Soar This Month After two months of an almost uninterrupted increase, crude oil is set for even more volatility on a string of political events that could see it either touch US$80 or even higher by the end of June or, conversely, slump to deep lows again. President Donald Trump […]
Expect Much Tighter Oil Markets
Expect Much Tighter Oil Markets As oil prices hover close to multi-year highs, Saudi’s Oil Minister has hit the wires saying that OPEC ‘shouldn’t be complacent and listen to some of the noise such as mission accomplished‘ . Just as we learned earlier in this economic cycle via ‘don’t fight the Fed’, we too should […]
A Crisis At The Heart Of U.S. Shale
A Crisis At The Heart Of U.S. Shale The bottlenecks in the Permian are starting to capture the attention of the oil market, raising the prospect that U.S. shale production does not live up to the hype. The frenzy in West Texas has predictably led to bottlenecks up and down the supply chain. Oil drillers […]
Saudi Officials Worried About Oil’s Future
Saudi Officials Worried About Oil’s Future Saudi government officials like talking to the media about oil. They invariably come across as upbeat, confident that the OPEC deal will achieve its goal of shrinking the global oversupply, and equally confident that U.S. shale will not seriously eat away at their oil revenues, however fast it grows. […]
Trade War Looms Over Oil Markets
Trade War Looms Over Oil Markets Oil prices, along with equities across the board, were dragged down on Monday over fears of a brewing trade war. China announced $3 billion of tariffs on U.S. goods, including pork and recycled aluminum. The move came as a retaliation to the Trump administration’s 25 percent tariff on steel […]
