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This Time IS Different, It Just Ends The Same
This Time IS Different, It Just Ends The Same This past weekend, I was in Florida with Chris Martenson and Nomi Prins discussing the current backdrop of the markets, economic cycles, and future outcomes. A bulk of the conversations centered around the current “everything bubble” that currently exists globally. Elevated valuations in stock prices, extremely […]
The Waiting Is The Hardest Part
BLOG imgflip.com The Waiting Is The Hardest Part Tom Petty’s anthem for today’s investors Man, what an awful stretch of events. When I penned last week’s article on tragedy, little did I expect something as horrible as the Las Vegas massacre would immediately follow. And nearly lost in the headlines was the untimely passing of […]
The Cardinal Sin Of Investing: Permanent Impairment Of Capital
Victor Moussa/Shutterstock The Cardinal Sin Of Investing: Permanent Impairment Of Capital How to avoid making it Last week we presented a parade of indicators published by Grant Williams and Lance Roberts that warned of an approaching market correction as well as a coming economic recession. The key message was: When smart analysts independently find the same […]
Weekend Reading: The “Real” Vampire Squid
Weekend Reading: The “Real” Vampire Squid First, it was Hurricane “Harvey” and an expected $180 billion in damages to the Texas coastline. Now, “Irma” is speeding her way to the Florida coastline dragging “Jose” in her wake. Those two hurricanes, depending on where they land will send damages higher by another $100 billion or more […]
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn How watching the right indicators will avoid disaster The planet-sized egos of rock & roll performers are legendary. Few things symbolize this better than the outrageous requests they often make when on tour. These requests are referred to as “riders”, and appear in the contract a tour […]
Weekend Reading: Harvey & The Broken Window Fallacy
Weekend Reading: Harvey & The Broken Window Fallacy As the waters recede from “Hurricane Harvey,” the rebuilding efforts begin. It will take quite some time before Houston fully recovers from the tragedy, but recover we will. Hopefully, lessons were learned by a city government that has avoided dealing with the drainage and flooding problems for […]
The Breaking Point & Death Of Keynes
The Breaking Point & Death Of Keynes You can almost hear the announcer for the movie trailer; “In a world stricken by financial crisis, a country plagued by spiraling deficits and cities on the verge of collapse – a war is being waged; gauntlet’s thrown down and at the heart of it all; two dead […]
Pension Crisis In U.S. and Globally Is Unavoidable
Pension Crisis In U.S. and Globally Is Unavoidable Pension Crisis In U.S. and Globally Is Unavoidable There is a really big crisis coming. Think about it this way. After 8 years and a 230% stock market advance the pension funds of Dallas, Chicago, and Houston are in severe trouble. But it isn’t just these municipalities […]
The Problem With Forecasts
The Problem With Forecasts The Problem With Forecasts We can’t predict the future – if it was actually possible fortune tellers would all win the lottery. They don’t, we can’t, and we aren’t going to try. However, this doesn’t stop the annual parade of Wall Street analysts from pegging 12-month price targets on the S&P 500 as […]
3 Things: Value Of Cash, 3rd Mandate, Yellen Channels Bernanke
3 Things: Value Of Cash, 3rd Mandate, Yellen Channels Bernanke El-Erian – The Value Of Cash My friend, Anora Mahmudova, recently wrote for MarketWatch about Mohamed El-Erian’s discussion on the importance of “cash” for investors. “At a breakfast meeting with reporters on Monday, the former Pacific Investment Management Company chief executive said central bank asset purchases have […]
Technically Speaking: The Real Value Of Cash
Technically Speaking: The Real Value Of Cash With the “inmates running the asylum” during a holiday-shortened trading week, the upward bias to the market is set to continue. However, as I addressed last week: “As we progress through the last two months of the year, historical tendencies suggest a bias to the upside. This is particularly the case given […]
Weekend Reading: Just A Correction, Or Something Else
Weekend Reading: Just A Correction, Or Something Else Earlier this week I posted two pieces of analysis with respect to the recent dive in the markets. The first discussed the possibility that this is just a correction within an ongoing bull market. The second delved into the possibility that a new cyclical bear market has begun. Only […]
