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Tag Archives: financial crisis
“Close To A Standstill”: IMF Warns Global Growth Will Be Cut To Lowest Since Lehman
“Close To A Standstill”: IMF Warns Global Growth Will Be Cut To Lowest Since Lehman Don’t expect any good news next week when the IMF holds its annual meeting and releases its latest World Economic Outlook report due on October 15. According to the IMF’s new head, Bulgarian Kristalina Georgieva, the monetary fund will again […]
America’s Debt Burden Will Fuel The Next Crisis
America’s Debt Burden Will Fuel The Next Crisis Just recently, Rex Nutting penned an opinion piece for MarketWatch entitled “Consumer Debt Is Not A Ticking Time Bomb.” His primary point is that low per-capita debt ratios and debt-to-dpi ratios show the consumer is quite healthy and won’t be the primary subject of the next crisis. To wit: […]
The Real Reason US Central Bankers Cannot Raise Interest Rates for the Rest of 2019
The Real Reason US Central Bankers Cannot Raise Interest Rates for the Rest of 2019 The real reason why the US Central Bank cannot raise interest rates can traced back to eight simple words – their response to the 2008 global financial crisis. US Central Bankers reached a crossroad of responsibility versus socialism for the […]
A Bank With 49 Trillion Dollars In Exposure To Derivatives Is Melting Down Right In Front Of Our Eyes
A Bank With 49 Trillion Dollars In Exposure To Derivatives Is Melting Down Right In Front Of Our Eyes Could it be possible that we are on the verge of the next “Lehman Brothers moment”? Deutsche Bank is the most important bank in all of Europe, it has 49 trillion dollars in exposure to derivatives, […]
Lagarde, the ECB and the next crisis
Lagarde, the ECB and the next crisis The appointment of Christine Lagarde as president of the ECB has been greeted with euphoria by financial markets. That reaction in itself should be a warning signal. When risky assets soar in the middle of a huge bubble due to a central bank appointment, the supervising entity should be concerned.Lagarde is […]
Goldman Warns Risk Of Market Crash Is Highest Since The Financial Crisis, Nearing 60%
Goldman Warns Risk Of Market Crash Is Highest Since The Financial Crisis, Nearing 60% A common refrain among the bullish talking heads on CNBC in recent months has been that whether one includes the Fed’s invisible hand in “price discovery”, or excludes it as so many naively continue to do, the result would be the same […]
Will A False Flag Iran War Cause A Financial Crisis?
Will A False Flag Iran War Cause A Financial Crisis? Just a couple of weeks ago the financial world’s biggest worry was the plunging price of oil. Supply was up, stockpiles were building and speculation was pointing towards $40 a barrel, a price at which the fracking/shale oil “miracle” would evaporate. A trillion dollars of […]
Global Economic Growth In Serious Trouble When U.S. Shale Oil Peaks & Declines
Global Economic Growth In Serious Trouble When U.S. Shale Oil Peaks & Declines The global economy would be in serious trouble if it weren’t for the rapid growth of U.S. shale oil production. Since the 2008 financial crisis, U.S. shale oil production has increased by more than 6 million barrels per day. Without these additional […]
The Next Financial Crisis Won’t Be Caused by Fraud: This Time Will Be Different
The Next Financial Crisis Won’t Be Caused by Fraud: This Time Will Be Different Extreme levels of debt and overvaluation characterize the entire global economy, and are not limited to any one nation or sector. Financial crises come in two flavors: fraud and credit-valuation over-reach. Fraud-based financial crises may differ in particulars, but they share […]
No Fix for Recession: Without a Financial Crisis, There’s No Central Bank Policy Fix
No Fix for Recession: Without a Financial Crisis, There’s No Central Bank Policy Fix There are no extreme “fixes” to secular declines in sales, profits, employment, tax revenues and asset prices. The saying “never let a crisis go to waste” embodies several truths worth pondering as the stock market nears new highs. One truth is that […]
What Went Wrong With Pensions — And Why The Whole World Should Be Worried
What Went Wrong With Pensions — And Why The Whole World Should Be Worried The past decade was a uniquely smooth stretch of financial highway. Pretty much every major asset class – stocks, bonds, real estate, fine art, you name it – did well, making it hard for conventional investors to lose money and easy […]
Just Before The Great Recession, Mountains Of Unsold Goods Piled Up In U.S. Warehouses – And Now It Is Happening Again
Just Before The Great Recession, Mountains Of Unsold Goods Piled Up In U.S. Warehouses – And Now It Is Happening Again When economic conditions initially begin to slow down, businesses continue to order goods like they normally would but those goods don’t sell as quickly as they previously did. As a result, inventory levels begin […]
Crisis after crisis: Why financial sector reform is not enough
Crisis after crisis: Why financial sector reform is not enough It is now clear that financial crises are not discrete events but are linked phenomena that have been unleashed on the globe ever since the financial markets were liberalized during the Reagan-Thatcher era in the early 1980’s. To take just the three most prominent crashes, […]
We’re Overdue for a Sell-Everything/No-Fed-Rescue Recession
We’re Overdue for a Sell-Everything/No-Fed-Rescue Recession We’re way overdue for a sell-everything recession, one that the Fed will only make worse by pursuing its usual policies of lowering interest rates and goosing easy money. As I noted last week, central banks, like generals, always fight the last war–until the war is lost. The global economy is […]
A World of Debt–Where Are the Risks?
A WORLD OF DEBT – WHERE ARE THE RISKS? Private debt has been the main source of rising debt to GDP ratios since 2008 Advanced economies have led the trend Emerging market debt increases have been dominated by China Credit spreads are a key indicator to watch in 2019 Since the financial crisis of 2008/2009 […]