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Tag Archives: economic contraction
The Burden of Denial
The Burden of Denial It occurred to me the other day that quite a few of the odder features of contemporary American culture make perfect sense if you assume that everybody knows exactly what’s wrong and what’s coming as our society rushes, pedal to the metal, toward its face-first collision with the brick wall of […]
Dismal January Rolls On For Now Total Global Trade
Dismal January Rolls On For Now Total Global Trade More bad news for the rest of the world, or at least the world’s economists, that has been anticipating the US economy as a means by which to expel negative economic forces. The idea of decoupling is not just something that suggests the US economy is […]
World’s Largest Container-Shipper Warns Global Trade Is Slowing Down
World’s Largest Container-Shipper Warns Global Trade Is Slowing Down While it will hardly come as a surprise to many, especially those who have followed the historic collapse of the Baltic Dry index to levels which, all else equal, signify a global depression of epic proportions… … and which led South Korea’s Hyundai Heavy Industries, the world’s […]
Global Cooling Alert: Brazil Headed For Worst Economy Since 1930-1931
Global Cooling Alert: Brazil Headed For Worst Economy Since 1930-1931 For all the debt crises, hyperinflation and boom-and-bust cycles Brazil’s economy has suffered in recent decades, the country hasn’t posted two consecutive years of contraction since the Great Depression. But if 2014’s fourth quarter was as bad as many economists think and their expectations for […]
If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand
If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand Crude oil futures have been quite volatile of late, particularly in the front months where even the slightest changes in expectations of whatever factor (rig counts, CEO comments, etc.) send WTI surging or tumbling by turn. Despite that, however, the outer years on the […]
It’s Official: Global Economy Back In Contraction For First Time Since 2012 According To Goldman
It’s Official: Global Economy Back In Contraction For First Time Since 2012 According To Goldman After spending the past year deteriorating with each passing month, as global acceleration dipped decidedly in the negative camp, the only thing that kept the Goldman Global Leading Indicator “swirlogram” somewhat buoyant was that “Growth” measured in absolute terms had […]
Birth Pangs Of The Coming Great Depression
Birth Pangs Of The Coming Great Depression The signs of the times are everywhere – all you have to do is open up your eyes and look at them. When a pregnant woman first goes into labor, the birth pangs are usually fairly moderate and are not that close together. But as the time for […]
The One Way Forward
The One Way Forward All things considered, 2015 just isn’t shaping up to be a good year for believers in business as usual. Since last week’s post here on The Archdruid Report, the anti-austerity party Syriza has swept the Greek elections, to the enthusiastic cheers of similar parties all over Europe and the discomfiture of the […]
Oil, Power and Psychopaths – The Automatic Earth
Oil, Power and Psychopaths – The Automatic Earth. Iran has a – very – long running dispute with the US about its nuclear technology. The US wants Assad (Bashar Al-Assad) out of Syria, while Iran and Russia support Assad (Russia’s sole proper base in the Middle East), who’s an Alawite (a Shi-ite branch), a people […]
The Elephant Dragon In The Room: China’s Hard Landing, In 21 Charts | Zero Hedge
The Elephant Dragon In The Room: China’s Hard Landing, In 21 Charts | Zero Hedge. Back in September, before the crude crash started in earnest driven far more by the relentless Chinese – and global – economic slowdown than anything OPEC may or may not have done (and whose output, as a reminder, hasn’t changed in years and […]
Occam’s Oil Razor: Oil Is Falling Hard Because World Demand Is Falling Hard | David Stockman’s Contra Corner
Occam’s Oil Razor: Oil Is Falling Hard Because World Demand Is Falling Hard | David Stockman’s Contra Corner. As my colleague Joe Calhoun continually reminds us, everything that happens has happened before. The ongoing “struggle” to define what is driving crude oil prices lower is perhaps another instance of a past “cycle” being reborn. With […]
Argentine Economy Contracts First Time Since 2012 After Default – Bloomberg
Argentine Economy Contracts First Time Since 2012 After Default – Bloomberg. Argentina’s economy contracted more than forecast in the third quarter after the South American nation defaulted on its debt for the second time in 13 years, forcing the government to crimp imports amid a shortage of dollars. Gross domestic product shrank 0.8 percent from […]
How increased inefficiency explains falling oil prices | Our Finite World
How increased inefficiency explains falling oil prices | Our Finite World. Since about 2001, several sectors of the economy have become increasingly inefficient, in the sense that it takes more resources to produce a given output, such as 1000 barrels of oil. I believe that this growing inefficiency explains both slowing world economic growth and […]
You Thought The Saudis Were Kidding? – The Automatic Earth
You Thought The Saudis Were Kidding? – The Automatic Earth. There are many things I don’t understand these days, and some are undoubtedly due to the limits of my brain power. But at the same time some are not. I’m the kind of person who can no longer believe that anyone would get excited over […]
Saudi Arabia Says Hard for OPEC to Give Up Oil-Market Share – Bloomberg
Saudi Arabia Says Hard for OPEC to Give Up Oil-Market Share – Bloomberg. Saudi Arabia and OPEC would find it “difficult, if not impossible” to give up market share by cutting crude production, the country’s oil minister said. Global oil markets are experiencing “temporary” instability caused mainly by a slowdown in the world economy, Oil […]
