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The Global Test Most Will Fail: Surviving the Bust That Inevitably Follows a Boom
The Global Test Most Will Fail: Surviving the Bust That Inevitably Follows a Boom Now that virtually every nation is entering the bust phase, all are being tested. Booms powered by credit, new markets and speculation are followed by busts as night follows day. This creates a very difficult test for every nation-state facing the inevitable […]
The Death Of Hopium
The Death Of Hopium Tech Bubble 3.0 is in the process of bursting As many readers know, I spent 13 years living and working in Silicon Valley before partnering up with Chris to start Peak Prosperity. I got my MBA at Stanford in 1999 when the dot-com bubble was at its zenith, and worked for […]
Global Financial Meltdown Coming? Clear Signs That The Great Derivatives Crisis Has Now Begun
Global Financial Meltdown Coming? Clear Signs That The Great Derivatives Crisis Has Now Begun Warren Buffett once referred to derivatives as “financial weapons of mass destruction“, and it was inevitable that they would begin to wreak havoc on our financial system at some point. While things may seem somewhat calm on Wall Street at the […]
The Peak in Government? A Low in Interest Rates?
The Peak in Government? A Low in Interest Rates? We have warned that capital is in a flight to quality, therefore creating the bubble in government paper. We also warned that the bond market on the long-term peaked in April/May and that we should expect a further rally in the short-end. This significant move has unfolded right […]
Why Capital Is Fleeing China: The Crushing Costs of Systemic Corruption
Why Capital Is Fleeing China: The Crushing Costs of Systemic Corruption What China will be left with a poisoned land stripped of talent and capital. Corruption isn’t just bribes and influence-peddling: it’s protecting the privileges of the few at the expense of the many. Rampant pollution is corruption writ large: the profits of the polluters are being protected […]
Here’s Why The Markets Have Suddenly Become So Turbulent
Here’s Why The Markets Have Suddenly Become So Turbulent A perfect storm of failing trends When stock markets are free-falling 10+% in a matter of days, it’s natural to seek some answers to the question “why now?” Some are saying it was all the result of high-frequency trading (HFT), while others point to China’s modest […]
The Economy is in Liquidation Mode
The Economy is in Liquidation Mode Capital Consumption If you’re an American over a certain age, you remember roller skating rinks (I have no idea if it caught on in other countries). This industry boomed in the 1970’s disco era. However, by the mid 1980’s, the fad was fading. Imagine running a rink company at […]
Cincinnati’s experiment with an economy that works for everyone
With the 2016 presidential campaigns underway, economic populism has taken center stage. Bernie Sanders, calling for a $1 trillion investment in a sustainable infrastructure jobs program along with publically funded health care and college education, has forced Hillary Clinton to offer vague support for similar measures, while even some Republican candidates, like Marco Rubio, have asserted the need to stop the “fall […]
Once Burned, Twice Shy? Utica Shale Touted to Investors As Shale Drillers Continue Posting Losses
Once Burned, Twice Shy? Utica Shale Touted to Investors As Shale Drillers Continue Posting Losses For the past several weeks, the drilling industry — hammered by bad financial results — has begun promoting its next big thing: the Utica shale, generating the sort of headlines you might have seen five years ago, when the shale […]
New currencies and their relationship with fiat currency
New currencies and their relationship with fiat currency Complementary Currencies aim to work alongside the pound or the dollar. Classically they seek to broker exchanges of underused resources with unfulfilled need, and facilitate activity in niches neglected by the mainstream economy. They do much good work and are worthy of support. Intentional Currency designs on […]
In A World Of Artificial Liquidity – Cash Is King
In A World Of Artificial Liquidity – Cash Is King And you’d better have some stashed out of the system Global central banks are afraid. Before Greece tried to stand up to the Troika, they were merely worried. Now it’s clear that no matter what they tell themselves and the world about the necessity or […]
Is the slowdown in productivity growth a result of energy costs?
Is the slowdown in productivity growth a result of energy costs? Slowing productivity growth in the United States has been in the news in recent months. It has become a concern to policymakers because they believe it is one of the primary contributors to a middle-class economic squeeze according to the annual report of the White […]
US Economic Output – “Ugly, but Fleeting”?
US Economic Output – “Ugly, but Fleeting”? On the Uselessness of Aggregate Economic Statistics We actually hate talking about GDP. It mainly measures consumption and leaves out the bulk of the economy’s production structure – which has led to the completely erroneous, but often repeated notion that “the consumer represents 70% of economic activity”. In […]
The School of Globalism
The School of Globalism “…we may be headed into a world where capital is abundant, deflationary pressures are substantial and demand could be in short supply for quite some time.” —Lawrence Summers, former Secretary of the Treasury Professor Summers must be reading Ben Bernanke’s new blog. Or maybe he’s writing it for walking-around money. At […]
It’s Just a Question of Whose Capital Will Be Destroyed
It’s Just a Question of Whose Capital Will Be Destroyed The amount of money investors have plowed into startups has reached record highs. In 2014, investors of all kinds, from angels and VCs to big asset managers, invested $48.35 billion in startups, “only” the third highest year on record, but the highest since the crazy […]
