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Italian Stocks, Bonds Collapse After EU Rejects Rome’s Budget Plans

Italian Stocks, Bonds Collapse After EU Rejects Rome’s Budget Plans Italian stocks tumbled with the FTSE MIB dropping 2.3% – the worst performer among major European markets on Monday – and hitting its lowest level since April 2017, while the country’s bonds plunged to the lowest level since February 2014 amid what now appears to […]

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“Waiting For The World To End” – Bond Rout Bodes Badly For Exuberant Equity Investors

“Waiting For The World To End” – Bond Rout Bodes Badly For Exuberant Equity Investors It was a tough week for stock market investors but the primary driver of the chaotic crumble in small caps and tech stocks was not one of the usual suspects and even for those who consider themselves ‘hedged’ or balanced […]

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China Cuts Reserve Ratio, Releases 1.2 Trillion Yuan Amid Rising Trade War, Record Defaults

China Cuts Reserve Ratio, Releases 1.2 Trillion Yuan Amid Rising Trade War, Record Defaults China’s central bank announced it would cut the Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) for most banks by 1.0% effective October 15 for the fourth time in 2018, a little over three months after the PBOC announced a similar cut on June 24, […]

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Macquarie: “There Is A Growing Possibility That The Plot Might Go Terribly Wrong”

Macquarie: “There Is A Growing Possibility That The Plot Might Go Terribly Wrong” EMs in the crosshairs: Between war games, fake news and bonds From military exercises to trade wars, the fury is intensifying. At the same time, global liquidity is compressing while rates are rising. Growing uncertainty, contracting liquidity & rising cost of capital […]

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Think You’re Prepared For The Next Crisis? Think Again.

BLOG Think You’re Prepared For The Next Crisis? Think Again. Even the best-laid preparations have failure points No plan of operations extends with any certainty beyond the first contact with the main hostile force. ~ Helmuth von Moltke the Elder Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth. ~ Mike Tyson Scottish […]

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The “VaR Shock” Is Back: Global Bonds Lose $880 Billion In One Week

The “VaR Shock” Is Back: Global Bonds Lose $880 Billion In One Week Markets were in turmoil, S&P futures were locked limit down as traders panicked, the establishment political system was in chaos and global bond portfolios were about to suffer a near record $1.2 trillion in losses in just a few days. All this […]

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We Just Witnessed The Biggest U.S. Bond Crash In Nearly 2 Years – What Does This Mean For The Stock Market?

We Just Witnessed The Biggest U.S. Bond Crash In Nearly 2 Years – What Does This Mean For The Stock Market? U.S. bonds have not fallen like this since Donald Trump’s stunning election victory in November 2016.  Could this be a sign that big trouble is on the horizon for the stock market?  It seems […]

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“Monster Move” In Treasuries Unleashes Global Market Rout

“Monster Move” In Treasuries Unleashes Global Market Rout A sea of red has greeted stock traders across the world this morning after what one analyst called “monster moves” in U.S. Treasury yields. The bond rout that sent 10Y Treasury yields to the highest since May 2011 promoted by stronger than expected US economic data, and which […]

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Gold in the “Everything Bubble”: Effective Diversification?

Gold in the “Everything Bubble”: Effective Diversification? What do you do when nearly all asset classes are overvalued? Diversification is one of the oldest principles by which people try to hang on to their wealth, however little they might have. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket, it goes. Diversification is not designed to […]

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The Dollar Shortage & China’s Bond Selling Are About To Corner the Fed

The Dollar Shortage & China’s Bond Selling Are About To Corner the Fed Earlier this week – news went by relatively unnoticed by the ‘mainstream’ financial media (CNCB and such) that Beijing’s started selling their U.S. debt holdings. Putting it another way – they’re dumping U.S. bonds. . . “China’s ownership of U.S. bonds, bills and notes slipped to […]

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Albert Edwards: Why The Next Recession “Might Only Be Six Months Away”

Albert Edwards: Why The Next Recession “Might Only Be Six Months Away” SocGen’s Albert Edwards is out with a new note today – one which he says he wasn’t going to write – but felt compelled to do so anyway due to the ongoing rout in the US bond market, which has prompted the following […]

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Once the Bubbles Pop, We’re Broke

Once the Bubbles Pop, We’re Broke I hate to break it to you, but the everything bubble isn’t permanent. OK, I get it–the Bull Market in stocks is permanent. Bulls will be chortling in 2030 that skeptics have been wrong for 22 years–an entire generation. Bonds will also be higher, thanks to negative interest rates, and housing will […]

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We Are All Lab Rats In The Largest-Ever Monetary Experiment In Human History

We Are All Lab Rats In The Largest-Ever Monetary Experiment In Human History And how do things usually work out for the rat? There are ample warning signs that another serious financial crisis is on the way. These warning signs are being soundly ignored by the majority, though. Perhaps understandably so. After 10 years of […]

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David Stockman: The World Economy Is At An Epochal Pivot

Shutterstock David Stockman: The World Economy Is At An Epochal Pivot A ‘Great Reset’ approaches David Stockman warns that the global economy has reached an “epochal pivot”, a moment when the false prosperity created from $trillions in printed money by the world’s central banks lurches violently into reverse. There are few people alive who understand […]

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Weekly Commentary: Intimidate Nobody

Weekly Commentary: Intimidate Nobody Strangely perhaps, but late in the week my thoughts returned to James Carville’s 1992 comment: “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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