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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Will the Fed Have to Save Emerging Markets with QE4?

Will the Fed Have to Save Emerging Markets with QE4? The risk-off tide is rising, and sand castles of QE will only hold the tide back for a brief period of apparent calm. A funny thing happened on the way to permanently expanding global markets: unintended consequences. Borrowing cheap, abundant U.S. dollars seemed like a good […]

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Will China’s Currency Peg Be the Next to Fall?

Will China’s Currency Peg Be the Next to Fall? I suspect China’s leadership is wary of unpegging the RMB for one reason: the FX market is too large to manipulate for long. What is China’s currency the renminbi (RMB, a.k.a. yuan) really worth? Nobody knows, because price discovery has been thwarted by the RMB’s peg to the […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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