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Tag Archives: stagflation
The Threat Board is Looking Busy
The Threat Board is Looking Busy Markets are never as bad as you fear, but never as good as you hope. The Threat Board has seldom looked so complex: we can try to predict outcomes, but its notoriously difficult. The list of potential ignition points seems to be expanding exponentially: Energy Prices, Oil, Inflation, Stagflation, […]
The Looming Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images The Looming Stagflationary Debt Crisis Years of ultra-loose fiscal and monetary policies have put the global economy on track for a slow-motion train wreck in the coming years. When the crash comes, the stagflation of the 1970s will be combined with the spiraling debt crises of the post-2008 era, leaving […]
“This Is All About Stagflation… The U.S. Is Walking Into The Early Stages Of The Fourth Turning”
“This Is All About Stagflation… The U.S. Is Walking Into The Early Stages Of The Fourth Turning” We believe the U.S. is walking into the early stages of the Fourth Turning, a subject entertained below. In this note we break down the ideal 2020-2030 portfolio and why it is so different from the 2010-2020 vintage. […]
Crisis of the 70s Compared to the 20s
Crisis of the 70s Compared to the 20s COMMENT: Hi Marty, Your post today on inflation(when people see it coming) reminds me how things have changed from the 1970s. Then, the inflation we saw came from oil rising(Opec raising prices), unions demanding wage increases, and currencies untethered to the abandoned Bretton Woods agreement. Governments then seemed […]
Stagflation Subterfuge: The Real Disaster Hidden By The Pandemic
Stagflation Subterfuge: The Real Disaster Hidden By The Pandemic In recent economic news, headlines are being dominated by concerns over rising bond yields. Increased bond yields are a sign of a possible spike in inflation and, logically, they call for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in order to prevent that inflation. Higher bond yields […]
The Battle of the ‘Flations has Begun
The Battle of the ‘Flations has Begun Inflation? Deflation? Stagflation? Consecutively? Concurrently?… or from a great height (apologies to Tom Stoppard). We’ve reached a pivotal moment where all of the narratives of what is actually happening have come together. And it feels confusing. But it really isn’t. The central banks have run out of room […]
The Coming Inflation Threat
The Coming Inflation Threat Falling asset inflation plus rising cost inflation equals stagflation. Inflation is a funny thing: we feel it virtually every day, but we’re told it doesn’t exist—the official inflation rate is around 2.5% over the past few years, a little higher when energy prices are going up and a little lower when […]
“Shocking” Turkish Inflation Hits 15 Year High, Unleashing Stagflationary Shockwave; Lira Plunges
“Shocking” Turkish Inflation Hits 15 Year High, Unleashing Stagflationary Shockwave; Lira Plunges A few days ago we discussed how soaring oil prices have been a stagflationary double whammy to emerging markets, which have been hit not only by a surging dollar, resulting in a collapse in local currencies and spiking import costs, but a spike […]
Watching America’s Collapse
Watching America’s Collapse Existence is running out for America In the 1950s and 1960s the United States was a vibrant society. Upward mobility was strong, and the middle class expanded. During the 1970s the internal contradiction in Keynesian demand management resulted in stagflation. Reagan’s supply-side economic policy cured that. With a sound economy under him, […]
A Hard Rain’s a-Gonna Fall
A Hard Rain’s a-Gonna Fall The prospects for the rest of the year are awful Après moi, le déluge ~ King Louis XV of France A hard rain’s a-gonna fall ~ Bob Dylan (the first) As the Federal Reserve kicked off its second round of quantitative easing in the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis, hedge fund […]
A Summer Of Disappointments Will Lead To An Extended Economic Crash
A Summer Of Disappointments Will Lead To An Extended Economic Crash The summer season is often about renewed hope and revelry in comfort, and this goes for economic comfort as much as anything else. In parallel to the old tale of The Ant And The Grasshopper, we are all tempted to act like the grasshopper, […]
Stagflationary Crisis: Understanding The Cause Of America’s Ongoing Collapse
Stagflationary Crisis: Understanding The Cause Of America’s Ongoing Collapse It is at times frustrating, but also interesting, to witness the progression of the mainstream’s awareness of economic crisis within the U.S. over the years. As an alternative economist, I have had the “privilege” of perching outside the financial narrative and observing our economy from a […]
Velocity of Money Picks Up: Inflation Coming? Stagflation? How About Deflation?
Velocity of Money Picks Up: Inflation Coming? Stagflation? How About Deflation? The velocity of money is picking up. What does it mean? Velocity of money is defined as (prices * transactions) / (money supply). Economists substitute GDP for (prices * transactions). This tweet caught my eye today. Velocity of Money has increased for third quarter […]
