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“Markets Have No Purpose Any More” Mark Spitznagel Warns “Biggest Collapse In History” Is Inevitable
“Markets Have No Purpose Any More” Mark Spitznagel Warns “Biggest Collapse In History” Is Inevitable After making over $1 billion in one day last August, and warning that “the markets are overvalued to the tune of 50%,” Mark Spitznagel knows a thing or two about managing tail risk. The outspoken practitioner of Austrian economic philosophy tells The […]
Why the fight for GMO labeling is (possibly) over
Why the fight for GMO labeling is (possibly) over Ever since it became clear that Vermont’s law for mandatory labeling of foods containing genetically engineered ingredients would actually go into force this summer, the big question has been how many food companies would choose to label their products and how many would choose simply not to […]
Who’s Anti-American?
Who’s Anti-American? Maryland! The Old Line bugle, fife, and drum, Maryland! She is not dead, nor deaf, nor dumb. Huzza! She spurns the Northern scum! She breathes! She burns! She’ll come! She’ll come! Maryland! My Maryland! – Maryland’s State Song J’accuse… Illustration by James Montgomery Flagg Guilty as Charged BALTIMORE – Yesterday, one dear reader […]
Economics Is Like A Religion – Just Faith In Theory
Economics Is Like A Religion – Just Faith In Theory Everyone is missing the serious problem that ultra-low interest rates have created for retirees. Pension funds are still assuming that future returns will be in the 7½–8% range. And as people get older and have no practical way to go back to work, pension funds […]
Antifragile Food Systems
Antifragile Food Systems ‘The alpha person at a gathering of “high status” persons is usually the waiter.’ In the film, No Escape, Owen Wilson and Lake Bell’s characters play a stereotypical USAnian couple, Jack and Annie Dwyer, cast abroad like fishes out of water. He is a corporate engineer in charge of putting a water plant into […]
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the Real Financial Risks of 2016
PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the Real Financial Risks of 2016 Worry less about the banking system, but commodities, epidemics and climate volatility could be trouble How should we think about financial risks in 2016? First, worry less about the banking system. Financial institutions today are less fragile than they were a few […]
Market risk; model smash
Market risk; model smash Seeing the market crash from a few weeks ago, it is clear how quickly the markets can ferociously thrust past one’s risk models. Risk models that failed to safeguard against risk when it absolutely mattered the most. Models that left many large hedge funds hemorrhaging – top funds which by definition were supposed to protect their investors […]
Progress in an Uncertain World
Progress in an Uncertain World Strong Towns is often accused of offering doom-and-gloom diagnoses of problems but being light on solutions. “You don’t tell us what we can actually DO to fix our insolvent cities,” goes the response. “You’re just so negative all the time.” This is not true, but I also don’t think it’s […]
Risk Experts Who Predicted 2008 Financial Crash: GMOs Riskier than 2008 Crash … “The G.M.O. Experiment, Carried Out In Real Time and with Our Entire Food and Ecological System As Its Laboratory, Is Perhaps the Greatest Case of Human Hubris Ever”
Risk Experts Who Predicted 2008 Financial Crash: GMOs Riskier than 2008 Crash … “The G.M.O. Experiment, Carried Out In Real Time and with Our Entire Food and Ecological System As Its Laboratory, Is Perhaps the Greatest Case of Human Hubris Ever” Risk analyst Nassim Nicholas Taleb predicted the 2008 financial crisis, by pointing out that commonly-used risk […]
When a Black Swan Flies Over Wall Street’s House of Cards
When a Black Swan Flies Over Wall Street’s House of Cards A black swan is Wall Street lexicon for an unpredicted event. The author of that concept, Nassim Taleb, opines that most of the major moves in stock market history originated as black swan events coming out of nowhere, with a random, stochastic disorderliness that […]
