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Brace for impact

Brace for impact What a week we just had in the precious metals market. From a huge drop last Friday–which in the past would have presaged further declines the following week–to a significant rebound in the gold price, coupled this time with a major drop in the US dollar–which I will argue may be the […]

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Funding Freeze Getting Worse: Dealers Demand Record $216BN In Liquidity From Fed Repo

Funding Freeze Getting Worse: Dealers Demand Record $216BN In Liquidity From Fed Repo Yesterday, when showing the sudden spike in the FRA/OIS spread – a key gauge of banking-sector risk which measures dollar shortages – we warned that liquidity in the market is virtually nil quoting a host of traders who confirmed that it was next to […]

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China Bans Selling, Plans Massive Liquidity Injection To Prevent Market Crash

China Bans Selling, Plans Massive Liquidity Injection To Prevent Market Crash Judging by the collapse in Chinese futures and the Offshore Yuan over the past week, China’s key cash equity index – The Shanghai Composite – is set to plunge around 6-8% as the market re-opens for the first time since Lunar New Year (and the coronavorus […]

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The Cannibalization Of The Financial System Will Force Investors Into Silver

The Cannibalization Of The Financial System Will Force Investors Into Silver Day in and day out, the global financial system continues to cannibalize itself.  Clear evidence of this points to the massive “Artificial” liquidity and asset purchase policy instituted by the Federal Reserve.  While financial analysts provided several theories why the Fed was forced to […]

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The Bank of England’s Governor Fears a Liquidity Trap

The Bank of England’s Governor Fears a Liquidity Trap The global economy is heading towards a “liquidity trap” that could undermine central banks’ efforts to avoid a future recession according to Mark Carney, governor of the Bank of England. In a wide-ranging interview with the Financial Times (January 8, 2020), the outgoing governor warned that central banks […]

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Understanding The Keys To Power

Understanding The Keys To Power Will be a survival requirement for the coming decade The past decade was undoubtedly shaped by the policy adopted by the global central banking cartel to flood the world with massive amounts of liquidity (over $15 trillion) to “rescue” markets following the Great Financial Crisis. It’s becoming increasingly clear who […]

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Global Financial System Is A Big Rube Goldberg Machine

Global Financial System Is A Big Rube Goldberg Machine While pondering the current economy that is becoming more of a conundrum every day, I stumbled upon an analogy I would like to share. The global economy is like a giant “Rube Goldberg” machine. It is a ridiculously complicated contraption built to perform what should normally be a […]

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Prelude to Crisis

Prelude to Crisis Simple ConceitRadical ActionsBallooning Balance SheetMerry Christmas and the Happiest New Year Ignoring problems rarely solves them. You need to deal with them—not just the effects, but the underlying causes, or else they usually get worse. The older you get, the more you know that is true in almost every area of life. […]

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Guggenheim’s Minerd Warns Of A Nearing ‘Minsky Moment’ That Could “Reset” Asset Prices

Guggenheim’s Minerd Warns Of A Nearing ‘Minsky Moment’ That Could “Reset” Asset Prices Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd warned in a new market outlook titled “From the Desk of the Global CIO: Risk and Reward of Successful ‘Mid-Cycle’ Rate Cuts” that recent 75bps rate cuts by the Jerome Powell–run Federal Reserve had created a similar environment today to 1998 when central […]

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Rabobank: “We’re Toast”

Rabobank: “We’re Toast” I have made this reference before, but looking at euphoric markets I am again reminded of comedian Caroline Aherne as fake TV chat-show host Mrs Merton asking glamorous blonde Debbie McGee of her very short, plain, hair-piece wearing husband: “So what attracted you to the millionaire Paul Daniels?”  Indeed, “So what attracted you to […]

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Fed’s Third “Year-End” Repo Oversubscribed Again Amid Liquiduity Scramble As Dec 16 Tax Day Looms

Fed’s Third “Year-End” Repo Oversubscribed Again Amid Liquiduity Scramble As Dec 16 Tax Day Looms One week after the Fed’s second 42-day term repo which allowed dealers to lock in funding into the new year and which was again oversubscribed, confirming a growing scramble for year-end funding, traders were looking ahead to the result from […]

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Intervention

Intervention The Fed has gone into full intervention mode. Not only into full intervention mode, but accelerated intervention mode. Not just a little “mid cycle adjustment” but full bore daily interventions to the tune of dozens of billions of dollars every single day. What’s the crisis? After all we live in the age of trillion […]

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Fed’s Fourth Bill POMO Is Most Oversubscribed Yet Amid Liquidity Scramble

Fed’s Fourth Bill POMO Is Most Oversubscribed Yet Amid Liquidity Scramble One day after the Fed unexpectedly saw a surge in demand for its term-repo operation, which was oversubscribed for the first time since the mid-September repo crisis erupted, the liquidity shortage in the funding market appears to be getting worse by the day, and in […]

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Dollar Liquidity Turmoil Returns With First Oversubscribed Term Repo In A Month, $99.9 Billion Liquidity Injection

Dollar Liquidity Turmoil Returns With First Oversubscribed Term Repo In A Month, $99.9 Billion Liquidity Injection This was not supposed to happen. After the Fed rolled out the big artillery in response to the sharp, sudden mid-September funding squeeze (which we now know had virtually nothing to do with last month’s tax payments or other one-time events […]

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The Repo Market Incident May Be The Tip Of The Iceberg The Federal Reserve has injected $278 billion into the securities repurchase market for the first time. Numerous justifications have been provided to explain why this has happened and, more importantly, why it lasted for various days. The first explanation was quite simplistic: an unexpected tax […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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