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Risks to the Global Economy in 2019
Adam Gault/Getty Image Risks to the Global Economy in 2019 Over the course of this year and next, the biggest economic risks will emerge in those areas where investors think recent patterns are unlikely to change. They will include a growth recession in China, a rise in global long-term real interest rates, and a crescendo […]
Darkening Outlook For Global Economy Threatens Crude
Darkening Outlook For Global Economy Threatens Crude “The outlook for the global economy in 2019 has darkened.” That conclusion came from a new report from the World Bank, citing a variety of data, including softening international trade and investment, ongoing trade tensions, and financial turmoil in emerging markets over the past year. “Storm clouds are […]
Is This Downturn A Repeat of 2008?
Getty images Is This Downturn A Repeat of 2008? Crashes differ, so be cautious about your assumptions Even people who don’t follow the stock market closely are aware that the global economy is weakening and appears to be heading into recession. For those who track the stock market, the signs are ominous: the U.S. was […]
“The Outlook For The Global Economy Has Deteriorated”: Oil, Copper And Lumber Are All Telling Us The Next Economic Downturn Is Here
“The Outlook For The Global Economy Has Deteriorated”: Oil, Copper And Lumber Are All Telling Us The Next Economic Downturn Is Here Oil, copper and lumber are all telling us the exact same thing, and it isn’t good news for the global economy. When economic activity is booming, demand for commodities such as oil, copper […]
The Global Economy and Political Murder: Why Trudeau Won’t Stop Arms Sales to Saudis
The Global Economy and Political Murder: Why Trudeau Won’t Stop Arms Sales to Saudis Photo Source 2017 Canada Summer Games | CC BY 2.0 Almost 5,000 miles from the city in which his corpse was secretly buried – in one piece or in bits – by his Saudi killers, Jamal Khashoggi’s murder now rattles the […]
Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007
Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007 In what was incredibly appropriate timing given the ‘shocktober’ market blowup, Bloomberg News invited “Black Swan” author Nassim Taleb to its set on Halloween for a discussion about the increasingly fragile market ecosystem in which we all reside, and the mounting […]
Oil Prices Plunge As Storm Clouds Gather Over Global Economy
Oil Prices Plunge As Storm Clouds Gather Over Global Economy Oil declined more than 3% on Thursday, and extended those losses Friday, with ICE West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures probing lows not seen since April, due to weakening global demand at a time when the output from the Organization of the […]
The World’s Fragile Economic Condition – Part 1
The World’s Fragile Economic Condition – Part 1 Where is the world economy heading? In my opinion, a large portion of the story that we usually hear about how the world economy operates and the role energy plays is not really correct. In this post (to be continued in Part 2 in the near future), I […]
Oil Prices Have Been Rising And $4 A Gallon Gasoline Would Put Enormous Stress On The U.S. Economy
Oil Prices Have Been Rising And $4 A Gallon Gasoline Would Put Enormous Stress On The U.S. Economy Thanks to increasing demand and upcoming U.S. sanctions against Iran, oil prices have been rising and some analysts are forecasting that they will surge even higher in the months ahead. Unfortunately, that would be very bad news […]
Oil Prices At Risk Of Economic Downturn
Oil Prices At Risk Of Economic Downturn Oil prices have retreated as disrupted supply from Libya has started to come back online, threatening the recent gains in oil prices. But a bigger threat to crude over the second half of 2018 and into 2019 is a slowdown in the global economy. The International Monetary Fund […]
“Will The Real Global Economy Please Stand Up”
“Will The Real Global Economy Please Stand Up” To say I’ve become skeptical of “markets” and their movements is probably an understatement. However, rather than waste more time trying to make sense of these skewed markets, I believe real economic activity is more accurately represented by changing populations and their energy consumption. So today, we’ll play a little […]
The Global Economy’s Wile E. Coyote Moment
The Global Economy’s Wile E. Coyote Moment Economies and markets may already be plunging off a cliff. Always behind. Photographer: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Our prediction last year of a global growth downturn was based on our 20-Country Long Leading Index, which, in 2016, foresaw the synchronized global growth upturn that the consensus only started to […]
The Global Economy in 2018
Getty Images The Global Economy in 2018 The global economy will confront serious challenges in the months and years ahead, and looming in the background is a mountain of debt that makes markets nervous – and that thus increases the system’s vulnerability to destabilizing shocks. Yet the baseline scenario seems to be one of […]
What Does It Mean to Live in the Age of the Anthropocene?
What Does It Mean to Live in the Age of the Anthropocene? Photo by possan | CC BY 2.0 It’s another day in the age of the Anthropocene where a global game of musical chairs continues to play out. As humans continue to plunder and pillage the earth in a global economy that thrives on […]
The Real Risk to the Global Economy
THE REAL RISK TO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY WASHINGTON, DC – One of the great mysteries of today’s global markets is their irrepressible enthusiasm, even as the world around them appears on the verge of chaos or collapse. And yet, investors may be more rational than they appear when it comes to pricing in political risks. […]
