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The Ugly Truth
The Ugly Truth For years critics of central bank policy have been dismissed as negative nellies, but the ugly truth is staring us all in the face: Market advances remain a game of artificial liquidity and central bank jawboning and not organic growth and now the jig is up. As I’ve been saying for a […]
Gold – A Perfect Storm For 2019
Gold – A Perfect Storm For 2019 This article is an overview of the principal factors likely to drive the gold price in 2019. It looks at the global factors that have developed in 2018 for both gold and the dollar, how geopolitics are likely to evolve, the economic outlook and how it is worsened […]
Every Bubble Is In Search Of A Pin
Every Bubble Is In Search Of A Pin The ‘Everything Bubble’ has popped Now that the world’s central banking cartel is taking a long-overdue pause from printing money and handing it to the wealthy elite, the collection of asset price bubbles nested within the Everything Bubble are starting to burst. The cartel (especially the ECB […]
Steen Jakobsen: The Four Horsemen Portend A Painful Reckoning
Steen Jakobsen: The Four Horsemen Portend A Painful Reckoning Even the US is now ‘swimming naked’ Steen Jacobsen, Chief Economist and Chief Investment Officer of Saxo Bank sees economic slowdown ahead. Specifically, his “Four Horseman” indicators: the drivers of economic growth, are all flashing red. Jacobsen believes that the central banks will continue their liquidity […]
For The First Time Ever, Bank Of Japan Total Assets Surpass Japan’s GDP
For The First Time Ever, Bank Of Japan Total Assets Surpass Japan’s GDP For the first time in history, a central bank has managed to print enough money to buy enough assets to surpass the nation’s annual GDP. Under the watchful eye of Kuroda, and the overseeing (but independent) hand of Abe, The Bank of […]
“Peak QE”: This Is What Share Of The Market Central Banks Now Own
“Peak QE”: This Is What Share Of The Market Central Banks Now Own After a decade of unprecedented liquidity injections by central banks to preserve the western financial system, global QE has peaked. First, the aggregate balance sheet of major central banks started to shrink earlier in the year, a reversal that took investors many […]
World Finance Leaders Scramble For A Solution To Escalating Trade War, Rising Rates
World Finance Leaders Scramble For A Solution To Escalating Trade War, Rising Rates The main takeaway from the IMF and World Bank Group annual meeting in Bali, which hosted financial ministers and central bank governors from around the world this weekend, was that global trade tensions were having a profound effect on global growth and […]
QE Party Is Drying Up, Even at the Bank of Japan
QE Party Is Drying Up, Even at the Bank of Japan Despite repeated speeches to the contrary. As of September 30, total assets on the Bank of Japan’s elephantine balance sheet dropped by ¥5.4 trillion ($33 billion) from a month earlier, to ¥537 trillion ($4.87 trillion). It was the fourth month-over-month decline in a series […]
Stocks Drop As Trade War Returns; Japanese Bond Rout Leads To Emergency Margin Call
Stocks Drop As Trade War Returns; Japanese Bond Rout Leads To Emergency Margin Call The latest trade war truce lasted less than a day, and after stocks jumped yesterday following an early report that Mnuchin had resumed trade talks with his Chinese counterpart, a late Tuesday report that the Trump admin is planning to increase […]
BOJ Intervenes For Third Time In A Week: Offers To Buy Unlimited Bonds To Stabilize Markets
BOJ Intervenes For Third Time In A Week: Offers To Buy Unlimited Bonds To Stabilize Markets Ahead of the potentially dramatic BOJ decision tonight, the Japanese bond market is becoming increasingly jittery. After 10Y JGBs sold off early in the session, with yields rising as high as 0.11% – the highest level in almost a […]
China Launches Quasi QE To Support Banks And Sliding Bond Market
China Launches Quasi QE To Support Banks And Sliding Bond Market With the ECB’s QE coming to an end at the end of the year (absent some shock to the market or economy), some traders have already been voicing concerns which central bank will step in and provide a backstop to the global fixed income […]
Watch Live: The World’s Top 3 Central Bankers Discuss What’s Next
Watch Live: The World’s Top 3 Central Bankers Discuss What’s Next Update: Powell has maintained his hawkish tone from last week’s press conference with his comments in Sintra on the labor market and monetary policy. He expressed confidence in the US economy and said “the case for continued gradual rate hikes is strong.” According to […]
Weekly Commentary: The Great Fallacy
Weekly Commentary: The Great Fallacy A big week in the world of monetary management: The Federal Reserve raised rates 25 bps, the ECB announced plans to wind down its historic QE program, and the Bank of Japan clung to its “powerful monetary easing” inflationist scheme. A tense People’s Bank of China left rate policy unchanged, […]
The Relevance of Hayek’s Triangle Today
THE RELEVANCE OF HAYEK’S TRIANGLE TODAY Most of us are aware of the inflationary pressures in the major economies, that so far are proving somewhat latent in the non-financial sector. But some central banks are on the alert as well, notably the Federal Reserve Board, which has taken the lead in trying to normalise interest […]
