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Tag Archives: gdp
Appropriate Scarcity
Appropriate Scarcity … appealing to people to restrain themselves [by] self-enforced abstinence alone is a waste of time. By and large, we consume as much as our incomes allow…. changes… cannot take place without constraints that apply to everyone rather than everyone else. Manmade global warming cannot be restrained unless we persuade the government […]
Red Swan Descending
Red Swan Descending The proverbial peddlers of Florida swampland can now move over. They can’t hold a candle to the red suzerains of Beijing. The latter had drawn a line in the sand at 7.0% GDP growth. Conveniently enough, the “consensus” estimate of so-called street economists was pegged at 6.8% for Q3, thereby giving authorities one thin decimal point through which to thread a “beat” at 6.9%. By golly they did it! Even […]
Global Trade Is Collapsing As The Worldwide Economic Recession Deepens
Global Trade Is Collapsing As The Worldwide Economic Recession Deepens When the global economy is doing well, the amount of stuff that is imported and exported around the world goes up, and when the global economy is in recession, the amount of stuff that is imported and exported around the world goes down. It is […]
Ignore the Media Bullsh*t–Retail Implosion Proves We Are In Recession
Ignore the Media Bullsh*t–Retail Implosion Proves We Are In Recession Here we go again. The dying legacy media will continue to support the status quo, who provide their dwindling advertising revenue, by papering over the truth with platitudes, lies, and misinformation. I have been detailing the long slow death of retail in America for the […]
The Numbers Say That A Major Global Recession Has Already Begun
The Numbers Say That A Major Global Recession Has Already Begun The biggest bank in the western world has just come out and declared that the global economy is “already in a recession”. According to British banking giant HSBC, global trade is down 8.4 percent so far this year, and global GDP expressed in U.S. dollars is […]
The decoupling debate: can economic growth really continue without emission increases?
The decoupling debate: can economic growth really continue without emission increases? Most ecological economists argue that continued economic growth is incompatible with ecological safety. That is to say continued increases in Gross Domestic Product, (GDP and also Gross Value Added, GVA) cannot happen while reducing ecological impacts in general, and climate change-causing greenhouse gas (GHG) […]
Richard Heinberg: After the Burn
Richard Heinberg: After the Burn Podcast: Play in new window | Download Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS After a two-century-long burning bender, the globe is in for a heck of a hangover. Our guest this week on Sea Change Radio is Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow at the Post-Carbon Institute, and author of a dozen books about growth, peak oil, and energy issues. His latest […]
A Hapless Brazil Incurs Massive Losses On FX Swaps Amid Currency Carnage
A Hapless Brazil Incurs Massive Losses On FX Swaps Amid Currency Carnage As we’ve documented extensively of late, a host of idiosyncratic political factors have served to exacerbate what was already a very, very bad situation for emerging markets. This dynamic is most readily apparent in Brazil and Turkey, and although Ankara probably has a […]
When The Advanced Keynesian Disease Afflicts A Nation—–Japan’s Abe Goes Full Fantasy-tard With 3 New ‘Arrows’
When The Advanced Keynesian Disease Afflicts A Nation—–Japan’s Abe Goes Full Fantasy-tard With 3 New ‘Arrows’ Having completed his militarist plans, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe appears to have gone full fantasy-tard with his latest “plans” for the demographically-dead and debt-destroyed nation. “Creating a strong economy will continue to be my top priority,” Abe said, a goal […]
China’s “Credit Mystery” Deepens, As Moody’s Warns On Shadow Financing
China’s “Credit Mystery” Deepens, As Moody’s Warns On Shadow Financing Last month, we took a detailed look at what we said could be a multi-trillion yuan black swan. In short, one of China’s many spinning plates is the country’s vast shadow banking complex which allowed local governments to skirt borrowing restrictions leading directly to the accumulation of […]
Sustainable Development: Something New or More of the Same?
Sustainable Development: Something New or More of the Same? Two years ago when he was 14, my son Matthew grew six inches. Last year he only grew two inches, and this year he has only grown half an inch. Should I be worried? Of course not. At a certain stage of maturity, quantifiable physical growth […]
Time for the Nuclear Option: Raining Money on Main Street
Time for the Nuclear Option: Raining Money on Main Street Predictions are that we will soon be seeing the “nuclear option” — central bank-created money injected directly into the real economy. All other options having failed, governments will be reduced to issuing money outright to cover budget deficits. So warns a September 18 article on ZeroHedge […]
How our energy problem leads to a debt collapse problem
How our energy problem leads to a debt collapse problem Usually, we don’t stop to think about how the whole economy works together. A major reason is that we have been lacking data to see long-term relationships. In this post, I show some longer-term time series relating to energy growth, GDP growth, and debt growth–going back […]
A Major Bank Just Made Global Financial “Meltdown” Its Base Case: “The Worst The World Has Ever Seen”
A Major Bank Just Made Global Financial “Meltdown” Its Base Case: “The Worst The World Has Ever Seen” When it comes to the epic bubble in China’s economy, it really boils down to one – or rather two – things: a vast debt build up (by now everybody should be familiar with McKinsey’s chart showing China’s […]
