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This Week In Energy: Oil Prices Hinge On Two Financial Crises
This Week In Energy: Oil Prices Hinge On Two Financial Crises It has been an eventful week. Two major financial crises are destroying the bullish case for oil. The Greek crisis continues, although there are signs that some semblance of a solution is at hand. Europe had demanded a new proposal and set this Sunday […]
German Establishment View On Tsipras/Troika Showdown
German Establishment View On Tsipras/Troika Showdown Der Spiegel has a long analysis today on the fate of Greece and the Tsipras/EU pas de deux. The tone toward Tsipras seemed secretly admiring while outwardly scornful and hostile. He comes off ultimately as the bad guy who is completely and solely to blame for the worsening crisis, with Merkel and […]
Why Greece Is The Precursor To The Next Global Debt Crisis
Why Greece Is The Precursor To The Next Global Debt Crisis The Eurozone fantasy will be one of the early casualties The one undeniable truth about the debt drama in Greece is that each of the conventional narratives—financial, political and historical—has some claim of legitimacy. For example, spendthrift Greeks shunned fiscal discipline: here’s an account […]
China Is Just Another Front in the Zombie War
China Is Just Another Front in the Zombie War LONDON – This morning, a desperate message from our analyst in Beijing puts us in a lighthearted mood: I’m sure you must have heard about the recent disaster in the Chinese stock market. It’s my first time experiencing something like this. And it shocked me. It’s […]
The Kicking of the Can
The Kicking of the Can Hello, Mr. Tusk … New Orders Yesterday it emerged that the normally hardline European Council president Donald Tusk (the former prime minister of Poland), suddenly felt “debt relief” for Greece was needed after all. While he is undoubtedly correct, it seems to us that he likely received a stern phone call from […]
Greek Businesses Accept Lira, Lev As Grexit Looms
Greek Businesses Accept Lira, Lev As Grexit Looms With the Greek drama headed into its final act and Alexis Tsipras stuck between an obstinate Germany and a recalcitrant Left Platform, many wonder if the introduction of an alternative currency in Greece is now a foregone conclusion. Even if Athens and Brussels manage to strike a […]
Varoufakis’ Stunning Accusation: Schauble Wants A Grexit “To Put The Fear Of God” Into The French
Varoufakis’ Stunning Accusation: Schauble Wants A Grexit “To Put The Fear Of God” Into The French Earlier we reported that Yanis Varoufakis, seemingly detained by “family reasons” would be unable to join his fellow parliamentarians and personally vote in what is likely the most important vote of Syriza’s administration: the one in which he and his party […]
Mapping The World’s “Grey Swans”
Mapping The World’s “Grey Swans” As H2 2015 begins, Goldman looks at so-called “grey swans” – known market risks that could prove particularly disruptive. From China credit risks to Russia and from rate volatility to Russia with Middle East tensions, cyber threats, and illiquidity-induced ‘flash-crashes’, the known-but-not-priced-in risks are rising… because – simply put – central bank omnipotence […]
We Are All (or Should Be) Greeks Now
We Are All (or Should Be) Greeks Now Their ‘No’ vote splashes a spotlight on ugly austerity, and its powerful puppeteers. The temple of neo-liberalism and its ideology of social suicide in the interests of the banks has been breached. The hysteria in European capitals (particularly Germany) after the resounding “No” vote by the people […]
Greece Diary
Greece Diary I was in Greece from June 23 through July 5, and, while I had no meetings with government officials that might give me insider information on how events there are likely to unfold, nevertheless the experience was both enlightening and disturbing, and is worth relating. Travel to Greece came at the invitation of […]
Maintaining the Illusion of Stability Now Requires Ever-Greater Extremes
Maintaining the Illusion of Stability Now Requires Ever-Greater Extremes This much-needed re-set to an economy that serves the many rather than the few is what the Powers That Be are so fearful of. On the surface, everything still looks remarkably stable in the core industrial economies. The stock markets in Japan, Germany and the U.S. are […]
Someone Pull The Plug or This Will End in War
Someone Pull The Plug or This Will End in War I was going to write up on the uselessness of Angela Merkel, given that she said on this week that “giving in to Greece could ‘blow apart’ the euro”, and it’s the 180º other way around; it’s the consistent refusal to allow any leniency towards […]
European Leaders Promise The Greek Debt Crisis Will Be Resolved One Way Or Another On Sunday
European Leaders Promise The Greek Debt Crisis Will Be Resolved One Way Or Another On Sunday The wait will soon be over. Greece submitted a final compromise plan to its eurozone creditors on Thursday, European finance ministers will meet on Saturday to discuss the proposal, and an emergency summit of all 28 EU nations on […]
Gold and the “Grexit” Threat
Gold and the “Grexit” Threat The Everything is Fine Meme Initially, we were also a bit surprised that the gold price didn’t rise when the threat of a Greek exit from the euro area became more palpable following the breakdown in negotiations and the outcome of the Greek referendum. After all, it was to be […]
Losing Control
Losing Control Markets are beginning to signal that policy makers are losing control. Many second-order-effects of the unprecedented and experimental global actions taken since the 2008 crisis are beginning to manifest. There are always causes and effects that develop; but they do so at different speeds. Many actions in recent years have prioritized ‘benefits today’ […]
