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Tag Archives: gdp
$10 Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC
$10 Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note […]
Why the oil price slump hasn’t kickstarted the global economy
Why the oil price slump hasn’t kickstarted the global economy There has only been a modest boost to global growth despite the oil price plummeting to as low as $35 a barrel. But as prices fall so the risks to producers rise An oil pump at sunset in the desert oilfields of Sakhir, Bahrain. As […]
Japan still leads the way towards our endgame
Japan still leads the way towards our endgame Successful investors live by a golden rule: what the mainstream financial media talks about is not important. They focus on what they don’t hear instead. So forget about Yellen for a second. Let go of Draghi, oil, the South African rand and Syria. That’s all in the now. But investing […]
“It’s Hot Out There” – Here’s Why In One Visualization
“It’s Hot Out There” – Here’s Why In One Visualization It’s not just warm, but very warm,” exclaims one east coast ski resort owner, adding “I can’t remember it ever being like this here.” But why? As WSJ reports, two weather occurrences – the Arctic Oscillation and El Niño – are combining to shake up temperatures from coast to coast in […]
Look Out Below: the Real Economy Just Hit Stall Speed
Look Out Below: the Real Economy Just Hit Stall Speed Look out below, for even with bloated federal spending, the real economy has hit stall speed. What do we mean when we say the U.S. economy is at stall speed? Stall speedrefers to the air speed and angle of the wing (called the angle of attack) needed to […]
Wall Street Remains Clueless—–Even As The Brown Stuff Heads Straight Into The Fan
Wall Street Remains Clueless—–Even As The Brown Stuff Heads Straight Into The Fan The Dow should have been down 500 points Tuesday. And that’s to say nothing of the fact that the market’s current lofty valuation makes no sense in the first place. The fact is, the brown stuff is now heading straight for the fan. Didn’t the odds of a […]
Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016
Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016 If you’re the type who likes black swans this has been the month for you. On the political front, Portugal’s Socialists, led by Antonio Costa, formed an alliance with the Left Bloc and the Communists on the way to overthrowing the Passos Coelho government and presaging a repudiation of Berlin’s brand […]
A Hard Look at a Soft Global Economy
A Hard Look at a Soft Global Economy MILAN – The global economy is settling into a slow-growth rut, steered there by policymakers’ inability or unwillingness to address major impediments at a global level. Indeed, even the current anemic pace of growth is probably unsustainable. The question is whether an honest assessment of the impediments […]
Riyadh Feels the Pinch: The True Cost of Saudi Subsidies
Riyadh Feels the Pinch: The True Cost of Saudi Subsidies In downtown Riyadh, SUV-populated intersections and lushly landscaped parks leave little indication that Saudi Arabia is rapidly depleting its oil and water resources. The Saudi predilection for gas-guzzling vehicles and water-intensive leisure spaces is hardly surprising- governmental subsidies have long obscured the true cost of […]
The Fed Induced Farce
The Fed Induced Farce The minutes from the last Fed meeting were released on Wednesday afternoon. The minutes, along with a squadron of jabbering Fed heads lying about the economy doing great, pretty much locked in the most talked about .25% interest rate increase in world history. Evidently the Wall Street titans of greed have […]
What is Degrowth? Envisioning a Prosperous Descent
What is Degrowth? Envisioning a Prosperous Descent This is a transcript of my keynote address presented at the ‘Local Lives, Global Matters’ conference in Castlemaine, Victoria, 16-18 October 2015. Other keynote speakers included Rob Hopkins, David Holmgren, and Helena Norberg-Hodge. INTRODUCTION Thank you for that introduction, Jacinta, good morning everyone. I would like to begin […]
The Yield Curve and GDP – a causal relationship?
The Yield Curve and GDP – a causal relationship? One of the most reliable indicators of an imminent recession through recent history has been the yield curve. Whenever longer dated rates falls below shorter dated ones, a recession is not far off. Some would even say that yield curve inversion, or backwardation, help cause the economic contraction. […]
China’s Economy Even Worse than Suspected?
China’s Economy Even Worse than Suspected? It’s always good to have a plan. So China has a new five-year plan, its 13th. And the plan is to dial down China’s formerly white-hot economy to a target of “medium-high economic growth” for the five years starting in 2016. “The country will promote greater sophistication in its […]
Schäuble’s Gathering Storm
Schäuble’s Gathering Storm Europe’s crisis is poised to enter its most dangerous phase. After forcing Greece to accept another “extend-and-pretend” bailout agreement, fresh battle lines are being drawn. And, with the refugee influx exposing the damage caused by divergent economic prospects and sky-high youth unemployment in Europe’s periphery, the ramifications are ominous, as recent statements […]
