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US Credit Growth – the First Cracks?

US Credit Growth – the First Cracks? Inflationary Bank Lending and Money Supply Growth Given that there is currently no “QE” program underway – with the exception of the reinvestment scheme designed to prevent the Fed’s balance sheet from shrinking (if it were to shrink, the money supply would decline as well) – money supply […]

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Fed’s “Doom Loop” Locks Us On Course for Another Crisis

Fed’s “Doom Loop” Locks Us On Course for Another Crisis Too Much of a Good Thing PARIS – We’ve seen at least three articles explaining why the Fed failed to increase interest rates last Thursday. One says Goldman Sachs is calling the shots now. Another says China has the Fed under its thumb. Still another […]

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Confusion in Fantasy Land

Confusion in Fantasy Land Triangle Breakout Failure? The stock market’s initial reaction to the FOMC announcement was interesting, to say the least. After receiving the umpteenth excuse as to why rates can still not be raised, coupled with a promise that they eventually will be, the market initially rallied on Thursday. And why wouldn’t it? […]

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Demographics and Major Financial and Economic Trends

Demographics and Major Financial and Economic Trends Demographics Driving Declines in Oil Consumption, Mounting Debt, & Central Bank Mismanagement Sometimes, the simplest answer really is best.  I contend the primary and simplest factor that need be watched to gauge present and future economic activity are the changes in core populations (15-64 year old segment of the larger population) for any nation or grouping. […]

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War is the Health of the State

War is the Health of the State The Misfortune of Being Born Into a State In an essay titled “The State”, Randolph Bourne, an American writer, made a distinction between a country and a state that I find crucial. He described one’s country as “an inescapable group into which we are born”. In his view, […]

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Crude Oil – a “Ray of Hope”

Crude Oil – a “Ray of Hope” Why Technical Developments Shouldn’t be Ignored This is a little addendum to our recent comments on the crude oil market (which you can see here, here andhere, in chronological order). Apparently Goldman Sachs just published a research report calling for $20 oil – which strikes us as a bookend to their infamous $200 […]

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It Wasn’t a Crash – But it Could Become One

It Wasn’t a Crash – But it Could Become One A Reminder by John Hussman In light of the Nikkei Index soaring by more than 1,300 points (!) overnight – a single day gain of 7.7% – it is time to briefly review the current market situation. As to the Nikkei, we would note two […]

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Institutional Aggression, Superfluous Planners and Predictions

Institutional Aggression, Superfluous Planners and Predictions Pretense of Knowledge Wall Street breathlessly awaits the newest payrolls report, which is widely held to contain the information needed for the FOMC to decide whether or not it should raise the overnight interbank lending rate from zilch to zilch plus a few basis points later this month. photo […]

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Ayn Rand & Murray Rothbard: Diverse Champions of Liberty

Ayn Rand & Murray Rothbard: Diverse Champions of Liberty Differences and Similarities No one should attempt to treat Ayn Rand and Murray N. Rothbard as uncomplicated and rather similar defenders of the free society although they have more in common than many believe.  As just one example, neither was a hawk when it comes to deploying […]

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The Most Astounding Credit Binge in History

The Most Astounding Credit Binge in History Stripped Gears DELRAY BEACH, Florida – “The Donald” breathed a sigh of relief yesterday. He and other rich people got a break from the beating they’ve been taking: Stocks bounced, with the Dow ending yesterday’s session up more than 600 points. The gears have been stripped, and they […]

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Real Wealth and Phantom Wealth – Secular Boom and Bust

Real Wealth and Phantom Wealth – Secular Boom and Bust The Things that Produce Real Wealth vs. Phantom Wealth Our friend Michael Pollaro, the keeper of long-term data on the true money supply and author at Forbes as well as occasionally a guest author on this site, recently sent us the following chart of a […]

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The Stock Market’s Panic Potential

The Stock Market’s Panic Potential The Odds Favor a “Warning Shot” Scenario – but there is a “But” As regular readers have probably noticed, we have upped the frequency of our “caution is advised” posts on the stock market in recent weeks in light of the market’s increasingly deteriorating internals. Although one never knows when […]

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Brain-Drained

Brain-Drained Venezuela: Real Wages Collapse amid Continuing Crack-Up Boom While the crack-up boom in Venezuela continues, real wages in the country have have utterly collapsed. The bolivar is still trading close to 700 to the US dollar on the black market, and the Caracas stock index keeps making new all time highs in nominal terms […]

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Gold and the Grave Dancers

Gold and the Grave Dancers The Asset They Love to Hate … Back in the 1960s, Alan Greenspan wrote a well-known essay that to this day is an essential read for anyone who wants to understand the present-day monetary and economic system (which is a kind of “fascism lite” type of statism, masquerading as capitalism) […]

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Cronies, Polluters and Funny Money

Cronies, Polluters and Funny Money What’s Really Killing Capitalism VANCOUVER, Canada – Hillary is taking the bull by the horns… and putting the knife between her teeth. She is a “take-charge” candidate and aims to let us know. Yes, earlier his week, she promised to improve capitalism. Now, it’s the climate of planet Earth that […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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