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Tag Archives: peak oil
A Personal Appreciation of M. King Hubbert
A Personal Appreciation of M. King Hubbert A recent vacation afforded me the opportunity to read The Oracle of Oil, Mason Inman’s excellent new biography of Marion King Hubbert. I strongly recommend it. But, rather than writing a standard book review (which might cover much of the same ground as this one by Frank Kaminski), I’m inspired instead […]
Peak Oil: Time To Get Serious Pt 1
Peak Oil: Time To Get Serious Pt 1 The truths, unpleasant though they may be, are the truths: inexpensive, readily available oil is slowly but surely becoming less readily available, more expensive, and harder to come by. Current conditions [ultra-low prices; curtailed/canceled oil production and exploration projects; over-supply; declining investments; high debt] only highlight that […]
Peak Oil: We All Do This, But…. Pt 2
Peak Oil: We All Do This, But…. Pt 2 I ended last week’s post on the topic of Confirmation Bias* with these questions: After all, who among us wants to be wrong about important matters on which we’ve staked no small amount of credibility? But what if being wrong about those important matters winds up being the least […]
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Pt 1
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Pt 1 I’ll confess that I hesitated before starting this series. It was too easy to again just dive into mockery and sarcasm over pieces written several weeks ago by those who refuse to give credence to the concept of peak oil and/or its implications. [It’s also the gateway […]
US shale oil peak in 2015
US shale oil peak in 2015 The recent EIA drilling productivity reports show a peaking of shale oil production in the main production regions. https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/drilling/ Fig 1: Bakken production change from old/new wells The 1st panel shows that the number of drilling rigs has dropped sharply but the initial well production per rig has increased from […]
Peak Oil: We All Do This, But…. Pt 1
Peak Oil: We All Do This, But…. Pt 1 Confirmation bias is the tendency of individuals to pay attention to or believe information that confirms the personal values and beliefs they already hold, rather than allowing their beliefs to be changed by new information. It’s a powerful force that many researchers have suggested plays a […]
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Intro
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Intro One-sided stories or news features serve many purposes. Unfortunately for the public, serving their interests is rarely if ever one of the objectives … or outcomes. Who among us doesn’t want an endless parade of good news about issues great, inconsequential, and all in between? For […]
Peak Oil: Choosing Chaos … or Not
Peak Oil: Choosing Chaos … or Not If/when a petroleum shortage impacts it will concentrate minds wonderfully. But when it comes the window of opportunity could be brief and risky. If things deteriorate too far too fast there could easily be too much chaos for sense to prevail and for us to organize cooperative local alternative systems. […]
Peak Oil: Simplicity Has Its Disadvantages
Peak Oil: Simplicity Has Its Disadvantages Few of us appreciate just how much we rely upon inexpensive, readily-available supplies of energy to live our lives. [W]hat future awaits us if we cannot be courageous and honest enough to plan for that future with the full range and understanding of all the facts now at our […]
Energy Wars of Attrition: The Irony of Oil Abundance
Energy Wars of Attrition: The Irony of Oil Abundance Three and a half years ago, the International Energy Agency (IEA) triggered headlines around the world by predicting that the United States would overtake Saudi Arabia to become the world’s leading oil producer by 2020 and, together with Canada, would become a net exporter of oil around 2030. Overnight, […]
Peak Oil: The Underlying Reality
Peak Oil: The Underlying Reality Sir, Martin Wolf, in ‘Cheap oil puts humanity on a slippery slope’ (December 2) states: ‘The emergence of shale oil underlines what was already fairly clear, namely, that the global supply capacity is not only enormous but expanding. Forget peak oil.’ He is mistaken. Even the International Energy Agency acknowledges […]
Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 1)
Peak oil in the South China Sea (part 1) The recent deployment of missile launchers and jet fighters on Woody Island of the Paracel islands have put the spotlight on the South China Sea (SCS). Fig 1: The 200 mile Economic Exclusion Zone claimed by China around Woody Island and the overlapping 108 nm range of the HQ-9 SAM […]
Peak Oil: Just A Distraction Pt 3
Peak Oil: Just A Distraction Pt 3 … [T]here is no intellectually honest way to believe that the world can continue its near-total reliance on fossil fuels for much more than another decade — a paltry window of opportunity. We also know that we cannot wait until they go into decline before reaching for renewables […]
