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Switzerland’s Referendum on Fractional Reserve Banking

Switzerland’s Referendum on Fractional Reserve Banking  A Warmed-Up “Chicago Plan” Many of our readers may be aware by now that a Swiss initiative against fractional reserve banking has gathered the required 100,000 signatures to force a referendum on the matter. Is is called the “Vollgeld Initiative”, whereby “Vollgeld” could be loosely translated as “fully covered […]

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Stock Market Suffers Worst Start to the Year Ever – What Does it Mean?

Stock Market Suffers Worst Start to the Year Ever – What Does it Mean?  A Dismal Beginning From December 30 to the end of the first week trading week of January, the DJIA has declined by roughly 7.7% (approx. 1,370 points) and the SPX by roughly 7.6% (approx. 160 points). This was nothing compared to […]

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The EU Bail-In Directive: Dark Clouds are Gathering

The EU Bail-In Directive: Dark Clouds are Gathering  Portugal’s Rickety Banking System After the unseemly bankruptcy of the Espirito Santo Group and the associated bank, then Portugal’s second biggest (likely a result of not praying enough, see: “Big Portuguese Bank Gets Into Trouble” and “Fears Over Banco Espirito Santo Escalate” for the gory details), Portugal’s […]

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How Big is the Bust in Commodities Really?

How Big is the Bust in Commodities Really?  Have all the “Supercycle” Gains been Wiped Out? We have frequently come across articles lately that are purporting to show that commodity prices have in the meantime declined below the lows that obtained at the start of the last bull market. Yesterday Zerohedge e.g. posted a chart from Sean […]

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US Economy – on the Verge of Recession?

US Economy – on the Verge of Recession?  US Manufacturing Sector Weakens Further – Alea Iacta Est? On the first trading day of the year, China’s stock market crumbled, seemingly waylaid by yet another weak manufacturing PMI report and a further slide in the yuan. On the same day, a few Fed members came out affirming […]

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Our “Storm Warning” for the Year Ahead …

Our “Storm Warning” for the Year Ahead …  Our “Storm Warning” for the Year Ahead … Ils viennent jusque dans vos bras / They’re coming right into your arms Égorger vos fils, vos compagnes! / To cut the throats of your sons, your women! Aux armes, citoyens / To arms, citizens Formez vos bataillons / […]

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Money Market Distortions at Year-End

Money Market Distortions at Year-End  Major Window Dressing Exercises and a Dead Federal Funds Market Many of our readers are probably aware of the quarterly spike in reverse repos, which has previously been amply documented and discussed elsewhere. The Fed has introduced these overnight reverse repos two years ago, and has made them accessible to […]

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Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers

Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers  Oil Prices To the dismay of U.S. shale producers, oil prices continue their long slow slide into the abyss.  Perhaps the current price of $35 per barrel – an 11 year low – is the final destination.  More than likely, however, it’s a brief reprieve before the […]

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Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers

Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers  Lower Oil Prices To the dismay of U.S. shale producers, oil prices continue their long slow slide into the abyss.  Perhaps the current price of $35 per barrel – an 11 year low – is the final destination.  More than likely, however, it’s a brief reprieve before […]

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Professor Fekete About Gold And The Debt Society

Professor Fekete About Gold And The Debt Society  Claudio Grass interviews Professor Antal E. Fekete GLOBAL GOLD: “Prof. Fekete, it is a pleasure to have this opportunity to talk to you. You are a fierce critic of the current monetary system and a strong proponent of the gold standard, particularly the variety that combines with the […]

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The FOMC Decision, US Money Supply and the Economy

The FOMC Decision, US Money Supply and the Economy  Giving the Kremlinologists Something to Do As is well known by now, on Wednesday the US central monetary planning bureau finally went through with its threat to hike the target range for overnight bank lending rates from nothing to almost nothing. Photo credit: Luca Brenta The very […]

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The Statist Mindset

The Statist Mindset  The Key Logical Fallacy of Statism I just read an article in Bloomberg View yesterday by Cass Sunstein, who is a law professor at Harvard.  It was a roundup of a number of books published last year on “behavioral economics”.  For those who don’t know it, behavioral economics typically focuses on the biases and systematic errors […]

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The Trouble with the Future

The Trouble with the Future  Feeeeeelings PARIS – Yesterday, we got so much mail on our recent issue on Donald Trump we couldn’t read it all. Pro… con… off the wall – readers’ sentiments were all over the place. But a clever reader mercifully brought the discussion to an end with this quote from fellow Baltimorean H.L. Mencken: “As […]

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The Poison of Central Planning

The Poison of Central Planning As is well known, central banks around the world have deployed a range of “unconventional policies” in recent years, ranging from imposing zero to negative interest rates, to outright money printing (QE). Photo via americanpatriotdaily.com We have seen a number of people argue that “QE” does not really involve “money […]

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US Stock Market – An Accident Waiting to Happen

US Stock Market – An Accident Waiting to Happen  Monetary Inflation Becomes Less Supportive of Asset Prices We have recently discussed the sorry state of the junk bond market, as well as the noteworthy decline in the annual growth rate of US money supply aggregates. The latter has finally manifested itself not only in terms of narrow monetary […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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