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Tag Archives: trade
Prepare for a Chinese Maxi-devaluation
Prepare for a Chinese Maxi-devaluation The news is being dominated by breathless headlines about the new trade war between the U.S. and China. But this trade war has been brewing for years and came as no surprise to readers of my newsletter, Project Prophesy. In fact, the new trade war is simply a continuation of […]
The Economy is Cracking Up. Are You?
The Economy is Cracking Up. Are You? Economic cracks big enough to drive a car industry into are opening up all over the globe. Trade gaps are opening up between major allies. Widening spreads between the dollar and other currencies are shredding emerging markets. As we start into summer, these cracks and several others described […]
Are You Prepared for the End of Fake Money?
Are You Prepared for the End of Fake Money? What Is Money? Today we begin with a fundamental question: What is money? This, no doubt, is an important question. And we ask it with clear intent and purpose. Namely, we want to better understand how it’s possible for America to rack up such a massive […]
Ignore Tariffs, According To Goldman This Is The Biggest Risk From A Global Trade War
Ignore Tariffs, According To Goldman This Is The Biggest Risk From A Global Trade War One month ago, when previewing the potential fallout from an “all out” global trade war, which for simplicity’s sake many have equated with an across-the-board 10% tariff on all US imports and exports, we presented an analysis from Barclays, according […]
Trump Threatens to Place Tariffs on All $500B China Imports, Blasts Fed Again
Trump Threatens to Place Tariffs on All $500B China Imports, Blasts Fed Again Trump blasted the Fed, the EU, China today with threats to put tariffs on everything. China and the EU are manipulators. ✔ ….The United States should not be penalized because we are doing so well. Tightening now hurts all that we […]
Trump Tariffs Could Delay Permian Relief
Trump Tariffs Could Delay Permian Relief The oil and gas industry hoped they would be spared from Donald Trump’s trade war, but the Permian basin was just hit with some bad news. The Permian basin has run up against a bottleneck for pipeline capacity. Gushing oil from West Texas will surpass the available space on […]
Trump’s Trade War May Spark a Chinese Debt Crisis
Trump’s Trade War May Spark a Chinese Debt Crisis (Bloomberg Opinion) — There’s no chance China will cut its trade surplus with the U.S. in response to President Donald Trump’s tariff threats. For starters, Washington has made no specific demand to which Beijing can respond. But its efforts may have an unexpected side effect: a debt crisis […]
Trade War With China Morphs Into Currency War: Biggest Loser is the EU
Trade War With China Morphs Into Currency War: Biggest Loser is the EU Those who think “trade wars are good and easy to win” need to stop and reflect on currency wars. Trade Wars Easy to Win ✔ When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it […]
Canary in the Coal-MIne–Emerging Market Contagion
CANARY IN THE COAL-MINE – EMERGING MARKET CONTAGION Emerging market currencies, bonds and stocks have weakened Fears about the impact of US tariffs have been felt here most clearly The risk to Europe and Japan is significant Turkey may be the key market to watch As US interest rates continue to normalise and US tariffs […]
World Trade War Has Begun
World Trade War Has Begun “By imposing tariffs of 25% on hundreds of products imported from China worth US$34 billion a year on Friday, July 6, the United States has violated the rules of the World Trade Organization and launched the largest trade war in the world’s economic history,” a statement by China’s Commerce Ministry declarae. […]
Record Deficits, Stronger Dollar Equals Record China Trade Deficit
Record Deficits, Stronger Dollar Equals Record China Trade Deficit Sometimes math is a real bitch. Donald Trump is a smart guy. I know he knows math. Too bad he’s ignoring it. Here’s the gig. The title says it all. Government spending is rising rapidly. More actual money is flowing into the US economy. Where is that […]
World’s Largest Shipping Company Collapses As Trade War Reality Strikes
World’s Largest Shipping Company Collapses As Trade War Reality Strikes While US equity markets (well a few mega-cap tech stocks anyway) have remained resilient in the context of rising protectionist fears, theworld’s largest shipping company is seeing its stock eviscerated as investor anxiety over trade wars finds an outlet that makes rational sense. A.P. Moeller-Maersk […]
The Market Gods Are Laughing
The Market Gods Are Laughing POITOU, FRANCE – President Trump escalated the trade war yesterday, making a kamikaze attack on a vast armada of Chinese imports – $200 billion in total – headed for California. The Chinese say they will retaliate. Phony Wars Last month, we opined that the trade war wouldn’t go any better […]
The U.S. Energy Industry Can’t Afford A Trade War
The U.S. Energy Industry Can’t Afford A Trade War As the U.S.-China trade spat turns into a full-blown war with tariffs and retaliatory tariffs and threats of further tariffs, U.S. energy exports to China may suffer if Beijing follows through with its threat to slap tariffs on U.S. oil and oil product imports. China has, […]
Bank of Canada Hikes Rates By 25bps, Loonie Rises On Hawkish Take
Bank of Canada Hikes Rates By 25bps, Loonie Rises On Hawkish Take The Bank of Canada raised the overnight rate by 25bps to 1.5%, in line with consensus estimates. In justifying the move, the Bank said it expects the global economy to grow by about 3.75% in 2018 and 3.5% in 2019, adding that the […]
