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NY Fed President Dudley Complains Unemployment is Too Low, Rate Hikes Needed

NY Fed President Dudley Complains Unemployment is Too Low, Rate Hikes Needed NY Fed President William Dudley is worried about the low unemployment rate. He thinks the Fed needs to be above neutral. New York Fed President William Dudley will retire Monday. Current San Francisco Fed chief John Williams will take over. He departs with […]

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Free Money Calculation: Fed Will Give $36.93 Billion of Taxpayer Money to Banks

Free Money Calculation: Fed Will Give $36.93 Billion of Taxpayer Money to Banks The Fed upped the interest it pays on excess reserves to 1.95% today. This is free money (taxpayer funded) to banks. The Fed bumped up the interest it pays on excess reserves today to 1.95%. Currently, excess reserves sit at $1.894 trillion. […]

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Europe’s Nationalism and Trump’s Trade Policies Look Like WWI Prelude

Europe’s Nationalism and Trump’s Trade Policies Look Like WWI Prelude In conversations with friends, one thought the current political scene was like the prelude to WWII. Another said WWI. ​Tuesday evening I struck up a conversation with “Max”, a friend that I frequently see at a Tuesday karaoke bar. Max is not a reader of […]

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Brazil Steps Up Intervention to Support the Real: Reflections on Currency Wars

Brazil Steps Up Intervention to Support the Real: Reflections on Currency Wars Winning currency wars is easy. As with trade wars, one may not care for the end result. Bloomberg reports Brazil Steps Up Intervention as the Real Crashes Toward Two-Year Low. Brazil’s central bank bolstered efforts to shore up the currency after it tumbled […]

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Liquidity Crisis Coming: Here, There, Everywhere

Liquidity Crisis Coming: Here, There, Everywhere Jim Puplava thinks a liquidity crisis is on the horizon. I agree, adding that the problem is global. Please pay attention to Jim Puplava at Financial Sense. He says a Liquidity Crisis Looming. In total, index funds represent $7 trillion of U.S. stock funds that have no active manager. […]

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Fed’s Dilemma: Debt-to-GDP Ratios Dramatically Understate the Debt Problem

Fed’s Dilemma: Debt-to-GDP Ratios Dramatically Understate the Debt Problem Reader Lars writes Debt-to-GDP ratios understate the true nature of the problem. He uses Greece as an example. Reader Lars from Oslo, the capital of Norway, and a long-time reader of this blog, questions the widespread use of debt-to-GDP as the true measure of the debt […]

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Germany Accuses Italy of “Debt Blackmail”: Hello EU, Time for Reform Expired

Germany Accuses Italy of “Debt Blackmail”: Hello EU, Time for Reform Expired For 10 years, the EU and EMU promised reform. None was delivered. Time is Up. Populists have taken control of Italy. Merkel’s CDU/CSU coalition is in a state of panic regarding Italy. The German parties went on the attack accusing Italy of “debt […]

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Reflections on Late-Stage Inflation

Reflections on Late-Stage Inflation Without a doubt, we are in a period of late-stage inflation. But how long can it last? A few days ago I noted that “inflation expectations” were the same or nearly the same for every period from seven years through thirty. Actually, the thirty-year expectation was slightly less than the 10-year […]

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It’s Now Clear: Five Star Lega Deal is a Commitment to Leave the Eurozone

It’s Now Clear: Five Star Lega Deal is a Commitment to Leave the Eurozone There was some confusion Tuesday over the exact wording of an Italian coalition agreement. The agreement is now clear. Italy Coalition Agrees to Leave the Eurozone I typically do not agree with Eurointelligence regarding views on what “should” happen. However, I […]

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Argentina Seeks IMF Financing Following Yesterday’s Hike in Rates to 40%.

Argentina Seeks IMF Financing Following Yesterday’s Hike in Rates to 40%. Argentina once again seeks help from the IMF following yesterday’s 40% interest rate hike. Last year, Argentina was a favorite destination for investors. This year, Argentina is facing yet another currency crisis. A run on the Peso started last month as investors soured on […]

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Australians Face Huge Spike in Repayments as Interest-Only Home Loans Expire

Australians Face Huge Spike in Repayments as Interest-Only Home Loans Expire   Day of Reckoning: Hundreds of thousands of interest-only loan terms expire each year for the next few years. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Australia’s central bank, warns of a $7000 Spike in Loan Repayments as interest-only term periods expire. Every year for […]

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Wave of Corporate Bankruptcies Coming: GE Warns About its Subprime Mortgage Unit

Wave of Corporate Bankruptcies Coming: GE Warns About its Subprime Mortgage Unit Earlier today I commented to a friend about corporate bankruptcies. A few hours later, another friend Emailed about GE. Earlier today a friend pinged me with this story: U.S.Personal Spending Outpaces Income Growth For 26th Straight Month. He commented: “Hey, a lot of […]

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Velocity of Money Picks Up: Inflation Coming? Stagflation? How About Deflation?

Velocity of Money Picks Up: Inflation Coming? Stagflation? How About Deflation? The velocity of money is picking up. What does it mean? Velocity of money is defined as (prices * transactions) / (money supply). Economists substitute GDP for (prices * transactions). This tweet caught my eye today. Velocity of Money has increased for third quarter […]

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Global Pension Gap Expected to Hit $400 Trillion: US Leads the Way

Global Pension Gap Expected to Hit $400 Trillion: US Leads the Way The global pension gap of 8 nations is $70 trillion. The US alone is $38 trillion. By 2050 the total gap will hit $400T. The Visual Capitalist reports The Pension Time Bomb: $400 Trillion by 2050. The above image is a small section […]

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Japan Expects to Hit 2% Inflation in 5 Years, Aggressive Easing Will Continue

Japan Expects to Hit 2% Inflation in 5 Years, Aggressive Easing Will Continue The BOJ thinks Japan may hit its 2% inflation target in 5 years. Kuroda says risks are to the downside. It may take Japan five more years to reach its 2% inflation targetaccording to BOJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda. “Sometime within the next […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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