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“Economics Works In Mysterious Ways”: Is China’s Wealth Effect Being Substituted?
“Economics Works In Mysterious Ways”: Is China’s Wealth Effect Being Substituted? Is the wealth effect being substituted? Summary China’s real estate market suffered heavy losses early this year while stock market investors continue to face huge uncertainty. This will add to the deterioration of household balances and as such could influence private domestic (consumer) demand. […]
My “Wealth Effect Monitor” & “Wealth Disparity Monitor” for the Fed’s Money-Printer Economy: December Update
My “Wealth Effect Monitor” & “Wealth Disparity Monitor” for the Fed’s Money-Printer Economy: December Update Billionaires got more billions, bottom half of Americans got peanuts and inflation. My “Wealth Effect Monitor” uses the data that the Fed releases quarterly about the wealth of households. The Fed, after having released the overall data for the third […]
My “Wealth Effect Monitor” for the Money-Printer Economy: Holy Moly, October Update
My “Wealth Effect Monitor” for the Money-Printer Economy: Holy Moly, October Update The bottom 50% need not apply. They just get to eat the soaring costs of housing. How the Fed totally blew out the already gigantic wealth disparity during the pandemic. On Friday, the Fed released the detailed data about the wealth of households […]
I Now Track the Most Important Measure of the Fed’s Economy: the “Wealth Effect” and How it Impacts Americans Individually
I Now Track the Most Important Measure of the Fed’s Economy: the “Wealth Effect” and How it Impacts Americans Individually The Fed provides the data quarterly, I dissect it at the stunning per-capita level. The Federal Reserve is pursuing monetary policies that are explicitly designed to inflate asset prices. The rationalization is that ballooning asset […]
Unstoppable: The Greatest Depression and the Reverse Wealth Effect
Unstoppable: The Greatest Depression and the Reverse Wealth Effect We are entering The Greatest Depression because there is no exit. I’ve endeavored to explain why The Greatest Depression is unstoppable in recent posts: The Covid-19 Dominoes Fall: The World Is Insolvent March 16, 2020 Pandemic Pandemonium: The Tides of Globalization and Financialization Reverse March 31, 2020 Here’s […]
This Isn’t Just Another Crash
This Isn’t Just Another Crash Like addicts who cannot control their cravings, financial analysts cannot stop themselves from seeking some analog situation in the past which will clarify the swirling chaos in their crystal balls. So we’ve been swamped with charts overlaying recent stock market action over 1929, 1987,2000 and 2008 — though the closest […]
The “Nightmare Scenario” For Beijing: 50 Million Chinese Apartments Are Empty
The “Nightmare Scenario” For Beijing: 50 Million Chinese Apartments Are Empty Back in 2017, we explained why the “fate of the world economy is in the hands of China’s housing bubble.” The answer was simple: for the Chinese population, and growing middle class, to keep spending vibrant and borrowing elevated, it had to feel comfortable […]
Hilarious How Wall-Street Crybabies Whine about the Fed’s QE Unwind after a Decade of “Wealth Effect”
Hilarious How Wall-Street Crybabies Whine about the Fed’s QE Unwind after a Decade of “Wealth Effect” Their “Everything Bubble” is being pricked “gradually,” and they don’t like it. Wall Street has been moaning, groaning, and crying out loud about the Fed’s current monetary policies – raising rates and unwinding QE. They fear that these policies […]
Global Housing Bubble Is Popping. Here Comes The “Reverse Wealth Effect”
Global Housing Bubble Is Popping. Here Comes The “Reverse Wealth Effect” Just a few months ago, real estate was on fire. Prices were blowing past records set during the previous decade’s housing bubble as desperate buyers bought whatever was available at above the asking price while homeowners, confident that prices would keep rising, held out […]
Taking the Pulse of a Weakening Economy
Taking the Pulse of a Weakening Economy Corporate buybacks provide the key analogy for the economy as a whole. Central banks have been running a grand experiment for 9 years, and now we’re about to find out if it succeeds or fails. For 9 unprecedented years, central banks have pushed the pedal of monetary stimulus […]
Goldman Shows What A Market Crash Will Do To The Economy
Goldman Shows What A Market Crash Will Do To The Economy There is a simple reason why for the past decade, despite all the rhetoric central bankers have been focusing on just one thing – reflating risk assets in general and the stock market in particular – because if you get stocks higher, everything else […]
“Wealth Effect” = Widening Wealth Inequality
“Wealth Effect” = Widening Wealth Inequality Note that widening wealth and income inequality is a non-partisan trend. One of the core goals of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies of the past 9 years is to generate the “wealth effect”: by pushing the valuations of stocks and bonds higher, American households will feel wealthier, and hence […]
Yelling ‘Stay’ In A Burning Theater—–Yellen Ignites Another Robo-Trader Spasm
Yelling ‘Stay’ In A Burning Theater—–Yellen Ignites Another Robo-Trader Spasm Simple Janet has attained a new milestone as a public menace with her speech to the Economic Club of New York. It amounted to yelling “stay” in a burning theater! The stock market has been desperately trying to correct for months now because even the casino regulars can read the tea […]
