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The Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
ittybiz.com The Weighted Average Cost Of Capital When it goes up, prices go down. It’s going up… This is a revisitation of a report I wrote back in late 2016, predicting the imminent end of zero-bound interest rates and warning of the downward pressure that rising rates, mathematically, must place on today’s elevated asset prices. […]
Does Subjective Valuation Mean Arbitrary Valuation?
DOES SUBJECTIVE VALUATION MEAN ARBITRARY VALUATION? Why do individuals pay much higher prices for some goods versus other goods? The common reply to this is the law of supply and demand. However, what is behind this law? To provide an answer to this question economists refer to the law of diminishing marginal utility. Mainstream economics […]
Playing for All the Marbles
Playing for All the Marbles Global Plunge Protection Teams must be ordering take-out food; every night is a long one now. The current stocks/bonds game is for all the marbles, by which I mean the status quo now depends on valuations and interest rates remaining near their current levels for the system to function. If […]
THE U.S. STOCK MARKET: Highly Inflated Bubble To Super-Charged Tulip
THE U.S. STOCK MARKET: Highly Inflated Bubble To Super-Charged Tulip Mania Investors need to be concerned that the U.S. Stock Market is well beyond bubble territory as it has now entered into the final stage of a Super-Charged Tulip Mania. Not only are stock prices inflated well above anything we have ever seen before, but […]
Why the next stock market crash will be faster and bigger than ever before
Why the next stock market crash will be faster and bigger than ever before US stock markets hit another all-time high on Friday. The S&P 500 is nearing 2,600 and the Dow is over 23,300. In fact, US stocks have only been more expensive two times since 1881. According to Yale economist Robert Shiller’s Cyclically […]
The Curious Case of Missing the Market Boom
The Curious Case of Missing the Market Boom Rembrandt Old man with a beard 1630“The Cost of Missing the Market Boom is Skyrocketing”, says a Bloomberg headline today. That must be the scariest headline I’ve seen in quite a while. For starters, it’s misleading, because people who ‘missed’ the boom haven’t lost anything other than […]
Its 1929 In China—-Here’s The Chapter And Verse
Its 1929 In China—-Here’s The Chapter And Verse I’ve mentioned the Chinese stock market mania here briefly in recent weeks. I’ve now compiled a fair amount of data along with some interesting anecdotes that show just how crazy it’s gotten so I thought I’d spend this week’s market comment laying it all out for you. […]
How Much More Extreme Can Markets Get?
How Much More Extreme Can Markets Get? These charts help us understand that a top is not just price, but a reversal in extremes of margin debt, valuation and sentiment. In blow-off tops, extremes of valuation, complacency and margin debt can always shoot beyond previous extremes to new extremes. This is why guessing when the blow-off […]
