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Have We Already Passed World Peak Oil and World Peak Coal?

Have We Already Passed World Peak Oil and World Peak Coal? Most people expect that our signal of an impending reduction in world oil or coal production will be high prices. Looking at historical data (for example, this post and this post), this is precisely the opposite of the correct price signal. Oil and coal supplies decline because prices fall […]

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China: Is peak coal part of its problem?

China: Is peak coal part of its problem? The world’s coal resources are clearly huge. How could China, or the world in total, reach peak coal in a timeframe that makes a difference? If we look at China’s coal production and consumption in BP’s 2016 Statistical Review of World Energy (SRWE), this is what we see: Figure 1. China’s […]

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Coal Shock Model

Coal Shock Model The eventual peak in World fossil fuel output is a potentially serious problem for human civilization. Many people have studied this problem, including Jean Laherrere, Steve Mohr, Paul Pukite (aka Webhubbletelescope), and David Rutledge. I have found Steve Mohr’s work the most comprehensive as he covered coal, oil, and natural gas from both the supply and demand […]

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IEA: China might have passed ‘peak coal’ in 2013

IEA: China might have passed ‘peak coal’ in 2013 China possibly saw its coal consumption peak in 2013, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The seismic shifts underway in China have global implications for both coal use and emissions. Global coal use fell by 0.9% in 2014, the first fall this century, says the IEA’s […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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