Home » Posts tagged 'modelling'

Tag Archives: modelling

Olduvai
Click on image to purchase

Content

Olduvai III: Catacylsm
Click on image to purchase

Post categories

Post Archives by Category

The Bulletin: April 10-16, 2025

April 16, 2025

The Bulletin: April 10-16, 2025 This past week’s articles of interest… Living Without Fossil Fuels: How Living Energy Farm Created a Comfortable Off-Grid Lifestyle German Journalist David Bendels Sentenced for Satirical Post Targeting Interior Minister Nancy Faeser The Economics Of A Dying Empire The Sharp Turn: Global Collapse Picks Up Speed Uruguay – by Matt […]

Continue Reading →

Predicting the Future: How Good is the “Earth4All” Model?

April 17, 2024

Predicting the Future: How Good is the “Earth4All” Model? Jorgen Randers, one of the original authors of the first report to the Club of Rome, “The Limits to Growth,” of 1972. Now, he is one of the main authors of the new report to the Club, “Earth for All” This post is not meant to […]

Continue Reading →

Models Hide the Shortcomings of Wind and Solar

June 2, 2023

Models Hide the Shortcomings of Wind and Solar A major reason for the growth in the use of renewable energy is the fact that if a person looks at them narrowly enough–such as by using a model–wind and solar look to be useful. They don’t burn fossil fuels, so it appears that they might be […]

Continue Reading →

Why Economic Models Neglect Energy, and Why That’s a Problem 

November 30, 2022

Why Economic Models Neglect Energy, and Why That’s a Problem  As the Fed raises interest rates to fight inflation, the economic models they use include energy as a small part of the overall picture. Is that model flawed? Jed Dorsheimer, head of Group Head of Energy & Sustainability at William Blair and former advisor on […]

Continue Reading →

The Empire of Uncertainty

October 2, 2020

The Empire of Uncertainty Anyone claiming they can project the trajectory of the U.S. and global economy is deluding themselves. Normalcy depends entirely on everyday life being predictable. To be predictable, life must be stable, which means that there is a high level of certainty in every aspect of life. The world has entered an era […]

Continue Reading →

Do we Still have a Chance? The Challenge of Emergency Measures for the Survival of Humankind

October 1, 2020

Do we Still have a Chance? The Challenge of Emergency Measures for the Survival of Humankind   The epidemic of COVID-19 seems to have snuffed out all other subjects of debate. But there remain problems that we could define as a little more worrisome than the COVID pandemic, for instance, the possibility of the extinction […]

Continue Reading →

Bankers and Investors Finding Fracking Industry’s Underlying Models Prove Overly Optimistic

July 18, 2020

Bankers and Investors Finding Fracking Industry’s Underlying Models Prove Overly Optimistic Warren Buffet has a famous quote about investing: “Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.”  When it comes to his $10 billion investment in Occidental Petroleum, Buffett will need to take that one to heart now that other investors have sued Occidental for the merger financed […]

Continue Reading →

The End of an Age: The Failure of Catastrophism

July 17, 2020

The End of an Age: The Failure of Catastrophism The considerations below originate from a post by Michael Krieger where he describes how he is so dismayed by the reaction of the public to the current epidemic that he is closing his blog to rethink the whole matter over. You can read of similar feelings in a […]

Continue Reading →

Too Much Faith in Models

July 16, 2020

Too Much Faith in Models Source: AP Photo/Jae C. Hong  Between 2 million and 3 million Americans will die! That was the prediction from “experts” at London’s Imperial College when COVID-19 began. They did also say if there was “social distancing of the whole population,” the death toll could be cut in half, but 1.1 million to 1.46 million […]

Continue Reading →

Disease modelers gaze into their computers to see the future of Covid-19, and it isn’t good

February 17, 2020

Disease modelers gaze into their computers to see the future of Covid-19, and it isn’t good At least 550,000 cases. Maybe 4.4 million. Or something in between. Like weather forecasters, researchers who use mathematical equations to project how bad a disease outbreak might become are used to uncertainties and incomplete data, and Covid-19, the disease caused […]

Continue Reading →

An Empirical Model For Oil Prices and Some Implications

March 21, 2016

An Empirical Model For Oil Prices and Some Implications Introduction This work is preliminary. It is a preview of part of a paper I am writing with Aude Illig. There are three main reasons I am making this post. The first is as a public service. There are many people reading this blog who are […]

Continue Reading →

Olduvai IV: Courage
Click on image to read excerpts

Olduvai II: Exodus
Click on image to purchase

Click on image to purchase @ FriesenPress