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Most People Have No Idea How Much Stocks are Likely to Crash
Most People Have No Idea How Much Stocks are Likely to Crash Let’s discuss value investor Jeremy Grantham’s thesis on “super bubbles” and his target for the S&P 500. S&P 500 chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com, annotations by Mish with thanks to Jeremy Grantham. Fourth Super Bubble For almost a half-century, value-investing icon Jeremy Grantham […]
Lance Roberts: GMO’s Jeremy Grantham Is Correct, There’s An ‘Epic Bubble In Stocks’
Lance Roberts: GMO’s Jeremy Grantham Is Correct, There’s An ‘Epic Bubble In Stocks’ Following GMO’s co-founder Jeremy Grantham’s renewed warning about extreme overvaluations, RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts chimed in on the conversation Thursday morning. In “Three Minutes on Markets & Money,” Roberts agress with Grantham, saying, “the stock market is in a bubble.” To refresh readers on […]
Waiting For the Last Dance
WAITING FOR THE LAST DANCE The Hazards of Asset Allocation in a Late-stage Major Bubble Executive Summary The long, long bull market since 2009 has finally matured into a fully-fledged epic bubble. Featuring extreme overvaluation, explosive price increases, frenzied issuance, and hysterically speculative investor behavior, I believe this event will be recorded as one of […]
UNIDOS HACIA EL FUTURO
UNIDOS HACIA EL FUTURO “The markets are the product of 1999 & 2007 hooking up for a one night stand.” Tweet by Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth), 25th August 2020. “In the middle of the journey of our life, I came to / Myself in a dark wood, for the straight way was lost.” Dante, Inferno. “Zoom is […]
Weekly Commentary: Moral Hazard Quagmire
Weekly Commentary: Moral Hazard Quagmire The Nasdaq100 jumped another 3.5% this week, increasing 2020 gains to 32.3%. Amazon gained 4.3% during the week, boosting y-t-d gains to 77.8% – and market capitalization to $1.626 TN. Apple surged 8.2% this week, increasing 2020 gains to 69.4%. Apple’s market capitalization ended the week at a world-beating $2.127 […]
Peter Schiff: We’re Heading for Recession No Matter What the Fed Does With Rates
Peter Schiff: We’re Heading for Recession No Matter What the Fed Does With Rates Jerome Powell took center stage last week and the Federal Reserve chair didn’t do anything to dampen expectations of a rate cut. His comments sent both stocks and gold higher. Peter Schiff recently appeared on RT Boom Bust with University of Amherst economics […]
Did The Nasdaq Bubble Just Burst?
Did The Nasdaq Bubble Just Burst? Regular readers will recall when back in March, Bank of America cautioned that after the tech bubble in 2000, the housing bubble in 2006, we were witnessing the third biggest bubble of all time: the e-Commerce bubble. Well, after several weeks of sharp volatility which has hammered tech stocks, […]
The Myth Of The Eternal Market Bubble And Why It Is Dead Wrong
The Myth Of The Eternal Market Bubble And Why It Is Dead Wrong Economic collapse is not an event — it is a process. I’ve been saying this since the initial 2008 crash, and I suppose I will keep saying it until it burns into people’s minds because I don’t think that it is a […]
When The US’s Stock Market Bubble Bursts, Inevitable Disaster Will Follow
When The US’s Stock Market Bubble Bursts, Inevitable Disaster Will Follow Complete and utter disaster will be inevitable and unavoidable when the United States’ stock market bubble bursts. Unfortunately, too many think the high stock market is evidence of a stable economy, but it’s actually an artificial bubble that will end in a disastrous crisis. This unusual […]
Here We Go Again: Our Double-Bubble Economy
Here We Go Again: Our Double-Bubble Economy The bubbles in assets are supported by the invisible bubble in greed, euphoria and credulity. Well, folks, here we go again: we have a double-bubble economy in housing and stocks, and a third difficult-to-chart bubble in greed, euphoria and credulity. Feast your eyes on Housing Bubble #2, a.k.a. […]
Morgan Stanley: The Tech Bubble “Can Burst At Any Moment, Without Warning”
Morgan Stanley: The Tech Bubble “Can Burst At Any Moment, Without Warning” Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs, whose market-timing calls leave much to be desired, declared that tech stocks are “not a bubble”, and went so far as to predict that the secular increase in tech names could continue for decades, spawning vivid memories of […]
Trump Trade Wars A Perfect Smokescreen For A Market Crash
Trump Trade Wars A Perfect Smokescreen For A Market Crash First, I would like to say that the timing of Donald Trump’s announcement on expansive trade tariffs is unusual if not impeccable. I say this only IF Trump’s plan was to benefit establishment globalists by giving them perfect cover for their continued demolition of the […]
It’s Looking A Lot Like 2008 Now…
It’s Looking A Lot Like 2008 Now… Did today’s market plunge mark the start of the next crash? Economic and market conditions are eerily like they were in late 2007/early 2008. Remember back then? Everything was going great. Home prices were soaring. Jobs were plentiful. The great cultural marketing machine was busy proclaiming that a […]
The Bubble That Could Break the World
The Bubble That Could Break the World The key to bubble analysis is to look at what’s causing the bubble. If you get the hidden dynamics right, your ability to collect huge profits or avoid losses is greatly improved. Based on data going back to the 1929 crash, this current bubble looks like a particular […]
The Fascinating Psychology of Blowoff Tops
The Fascinating Psychology of Blowoff Tops Central banks have guaranteed a bubble collapse is the only possible output of the system they’ve created. The psychology of blowoff tops in asset bubbles is fascinating: let’s start with the first requirement of a move qualifying as a blowoff top, which is the vast majority of participants deny […]