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Corona Virus? The Chinese Central Bank Has a “Solution”
Corona Virus? The Chinese Central Bank Has a “Solution” In response to the economic paralysis brought about by the coronavirus, the Chinese central bank has pumped $243 billion into financial markets. On Monday February 3 2020, China’s equity market shed $393 billion of its value. Most experts are of the view that in order to counter the […]
The Bank of England’s Governor Fears a Liquidity Trap
The Bank of England’s Governor Fears a Liquidity Trap The global economy is heading towards a “liquidity trap” that could undermine central banks’ efforts to avoid a future recession according to Mark Carney, governor of the Bank of England. In a wide-ranging interview with the Financial Times (January 8, 2020), the outgoing governor warned that central banks […]
More Money Pumping Won’t Make Us Richer
More Money Pumping Won’t Make Us Richer Whenever a central bank introduces easy monetary policy, as a rule this leads to an economic boom — or economic prosperity. At least this is what most commentators hold. If this is however the case then it means that an easy monetary policy can grow an economy. But […]
The Pseudo-Psychology Behind Monetary Policy
The Pseudo-Psychology Behind Monetary Policy In his various writings, the champion of the monetarist school, Milton Friedman, argued that there is a variable time lag between changes in money supply and its effect on real output and prices. Friedman holds that in the short run changes in money supply will be followed by changes in […]
Blame the Fed — Not Investors — For Asset Bubbles
Blame the Fed — Not Investors — For Asset Bubbles In his speech on April 7 2010 at the Economic Club of New York the President of the New York Fed, William Dudley argued that asset bubbles pose a serious threat to real economic activity. The New York Fed chief is of the view that […]
Is Funding About Money?
IS FUNDING ABOUT MONEY? A key factor that constrains people’s ability to generate goods and services is the scarcity of funding. Contrary to popular thinking, funding is not about money as such but about real savings. Note that various tools and machinery or the infrastructure that people have created is for only one purpose and […]
What Should Be the Criteria for Model Selection?
WHAT SHOULD BE THE CRITERIA FOR MODEL SELECTION? In order to make the data “talk,” economists utilize a range of statistical methods that vary from highly complex models to a simple display of historical data. It is generally held that by means of statistical correlations one can organize historical data into a useful body of […]
Fed Confused About What Drives Inflation
FED CONFUSED ABOUT WHAT DRIVES INFLATION On October 4 2017, the former governor of the Federal Reserve Daniel Tarullo in a speech at the Brookings think-tank in Washington said Fed policy makers do not have a reliable theory of what drives inflation. According to Tarullo, central bankers should pay less attention to theoretical models and […]
Why US Price Inflation Remains Relatively Subdued?
WHY US PRICE INFLATION REMAINS RELATIVELY SUBDUED? The yearly growth rate of the US consumer price index stood at 1.9% in August against 1.7% in July, while the growth rate of the price index less food and energy stood at 1.7% in August against a similar figure in July and 2.3% in August last year. […]
Does the Central Bank Determine Interest Rates?
DOES THE CENTRAL BANK DETERMINE INTEREST RATES? According to mainstream thinking, the central bank is the key factor in determining interest rates. By setting short-term interest rates, the central bank, it is argued, through expectations about the future course of its interest rate policy can influence the entire interest rate structure. Thus according to the […]
Does Government Spending Create More Economic Growth?
Does Government Spending Create More Economic Growth? After the 2007-2009 global financial crisis, fears of ballooning public debt and worries about the drag on economic growth pushed authorities in some countries to lower government spending, a tactic that economists now think may have slowed recovery. Note that in the United States the total debt to […]
What Is the Liquidity Trap?
What Is the Liquidity Trap? Some economists such as a Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman are of the view that if the US were to fall into liquidity trap the US central bank should aggressively pump money and aggressively lower interest rates in order to lift the rate of inflation. This Krugman holds will pull the […]
Saving and Money–What is the Relationship?
SAVING AND MONEY – WHAT IS THE RELATIONSHIP? Conventional wisdom says that savings is the amount of money left after monetary income was used for consumer outlays, implying that saving is synonymous with money. Hence, for a given consumer outlays an increase in money income implies more saving and thus more funding for investment. This […]
Central Banks’ Obsession with Price Stability Leads to Economic Instability
Central Banks’ Obsession with Price Stability Leads to Economic Instability For most economists the key factor that sets the foundation for healthy economic fundamentals is a stable price level as depicted by the consumer price index. According to this way of thinking, a stable price level doesn’t obscure the visibility of the relative changes in […]