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Will solar panels and Tesla Powerwalls meet your home’s energy needs?

Will solar panels and Tesla Powerwalls meet your home’s energy needs?

Tesla is now marketing its Powerwall2 storage battery for domestic applications, claiming among other things that it can make your home self-powered and blackout-proof. Here I review Tesla’s claims using an existing rooftop PV array in the Arizona desert as a real-life example. Will a few Powerwalls allow the homeowner to go off-grid? Not a chance. Will they make the home blackout-proof? Maybe, maybe not. Will they save the homeowner money on his electricity bills? Not that I can see.

The example rooftop array is in Tucson, Arizona. I selected Tucson because if a solar-Powerwall2 combination won’t work there it won’t work anywhere in the US. Except for the area around Death Valley to the northwest the solar resource is about as good as it gets, the low (about 30%) seasonal solar range means that there is no large seasonal storage requirement and seasonal generation is not in antiphase to demand, as it is in some areas farther north:

Figure 1: US solar irradiance. Image from Arizona Solar Center

The real-life example I use is the array of panels on the roof of the residence of a Mr. Gary Bynum. Their listed capacity is 8.28 kW(p). Figure 2 shows the installation:

Figure 2: Mr Gary Bynum’s rooftop solar panels. Image from Sunny Portal

In the year I selected for review (2013) the panels generated 15,500 kWh (capacity factor 21.6%), and I assume here that this would have been sufficient to cover all household consumption durng the year had it been possible to store the surpluses for re-use. How many Powerwalls would have been needed to do this? According to the Tesla website
two Powerwalls would be needed to back up 15,500 kWh/year of consumption (42.5 kWh/day).

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Can we afford the energy demands of “the fourth industrial revolution”? Don’t ask.

Can we afford the energy demands of “the fourth industrial revolution”? Don’t ask.

Klaus Schwab, founder and executive chairman of the World Economic Forum, released his Kindle book The Fourth Industrial Revolution just a few days ago, providing a free copy to Davos attendees. (That way they needn’t stretch their expense accounts to cover the $9.91 Kindle fee that the rest of us must pay.)

Schwab has doctorates in economics and engineering, plus a master’s in public administration from Harvard. And he says that The Fourth Industrial Revolution is “a crowd-sourced book, the product of the collective enlightened wisdom of the Forum’s communities.” If credentials alone would create a good book, this would be a humdinger.

Schwab book cover 400What is the Fourth Industrial Revolution? In Schwab’s words,

today we are at the beginning of a fourth industrial revolution. It began at the turn of this century and builds on the digital revolution. It is characterized by a much more ubiquitous and mobile internet, by smaller and more powerful sensors that have become cheaper, and by artificial intelligence and machine learning.

Elsewhere he also throws genetic engineering and the editing of genomes into the mix.

While noting that billions of people have yet to “fully experience” the second and third industrial revolutions, Schwab believes that “the fourth industrial revolution will be every bit as powerful, impactful and historically important as the previous three.” In his view it’s not just likely but inevitable that “major technological innovations are on the brink of fuelling momentous change throughout the world.”

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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