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What Happens When The Pandemic Ends?

April 14, 2020

What Happens When The Pandemic Ends? Let’s assume that by the end of this year a combination of social distancing and some new and effective treatments convert covid-19 from existential threat to chronic nuisance and the economy starts to assume an air of normalcy. Which is to say that people go back to traveling and […]

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The Fed’s “Insurance” Rate Cuts Didn’t Work. Now For The Emergency Cuts

October 3, 2019

The Fed’s “Insurance” Rate Cuts Didn’t Work. Now For The Emergency Cuts Pity the guys now running the Fed. They’ve inherited an economy that requires ever-bigger infusions of new credit and ever-lower interest rates to avoid financial cardiac arrest. But with interest rates already perilously close to zero the usual leeway is no longer there. […]

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The Yield Curve Flattens And Bank Stocks Plunge. Here’s The Connection – And The Prediction

December 20, 2018

The Yield Curve Flattens And Bank Stocks Plunge. Here’s The Connection – And The Prediction Despite all the ominous press being devoted to the soon-to-be-inverted yield curve, it’s not always clear why such a thing matters. In other words, how, exactly does a line on a graph slipping below zero translate into a recession and […]

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Silver Looks Way Better Than Gold Right Now

March 4, 2018

Silver Looks Way Better Than Gold Right Now Normally the action in the gold and silver futures markets tends to be pretty similar, since the same general forces affect both precious metals. When inflation or some other source of anxiety is ascendant, both metals rise, and vice versa. But lately – perhaps in a sign […]

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Soaring Global Debt Sets Stage For “Unprecedented Private Deleveraging”

April 7, 2017

Soaring Global Debt Sets Stage For “Unprecedented Private Deleveraging” The UK’s Telegraph just published an analysis of global debt that pretty much sums up the coming crisis. Here’s an excerpt with a couple of the more hair-raising charts: Global debt explodes at ‘eye-watering’ pace to hit £170 trillion Global debt has climbed at an “eye-watering” […]

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What Form Will The Great Confiscation Take — And How Can We Prepare?

February 11, 2017

What Form Will The Great Confiscation Take — And How Can We Prepare? For what seems like decades, people have been warning that the next time some over-leveraged corner of the financial system implodes, bank and brokerage accounts will be either confiscated by desperate governments or lost during the resulting chaos. Here, from 2012, is […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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