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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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An Excellent Seasonal Buying Opportunity in Silver Lies Directly Ahead

An Excellent Seasonal Buying Opportunity in Silver Lies Directly Ahead Gold’s Little Brother Today I want to put a popular precious metal under the magnifying glass for you: silver. Silver, often referred to as the “little brother” of gold, has a particularly interesting seasonal pattern I would like to share with you. Shiny large good delivery […]

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Revisiting the Halloween Effect

Revisiting the Halloween Effect From Crash Danger to End-of-the-Year Ramp Knock, knock… it’s Jack, from Wall Street   After the last day of October, the month that has investors in fear of the next big stock market crash follows Halloween  – and while this is a spooky day, it actually marks the start of a […]

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How Dangerous is the Month of October?

How Dangerous is the Month of October? A Month with a Bad Reputation A certain degree of nervousness tends to suffuse global financial markets when the month of October approaches. The memories of sharp slumps that happened in this month in the past – often wiping out the profits of an entire year in a […]

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US Stock Market: Conspicuous Similarities with 1929, 1987 and Japan in 1990

US Stock Market: Conspicuous Similarities with 1929, 1987 and Japan in 1990 Stretched to the Limit There are good reasons to suspect that the bull market in US equities has been stretched to the limit. These include inter alia: high fundamental valuation levels, as e.g. illustrated by the Shiller P/E ratio (a.k.a. “CAPE”/ cyclically adjusted […]

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1987, 1997, 2007… Just How Crash-Prone are Years Ending in 7?

1987, 1997, 2007… Just How Crash-Prone are Years Ending in 7? Bad Reputation Years ending in 7, such as the current year 2017, have a bad reputation among stock market participants. Large price declines tend to occur quite frequently in these years. Sliding down the steep slope of the cursed year. [PT] Just think of […]

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The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend to Happen in October

The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend to Happen in October October is the Most Dangerous Month The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect. Bad juju month: Statistically, October is actually not the worst month on average – but it is […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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