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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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The End of an Age: The Failure of Catastrophism

The End of an Age: The Failure of Catastrophism The considerations below originate from a post by Michael Krieger where he describes how he is so dismayed by the reaction of the public to the current epidemic that he is closing his blog to rethink the whole matter over. You can read of similar feelings in a […]

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Peak Oil, 20 Years Later: Failed Prediction or Useful Insight?

Peak Oil, 20 Years Later: Failed Prediction or Useful Insight? 20 years ago, Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrere published an article on “Scientific American” that was to start the second cycle of interest on oil depletion (the first had been started by Hubbert in the 1950s). Their prediction turned out to be too pessimistic, at […]

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Peak oil by any other name is still peak oil

Peak oil by any other name is still peak oil One of the most compelling charts I have ever seen is the “Growing Gap” chart that used to appear in every ASPO Newsletter. This is the one from the last ASPO Newsletter, written by Colin Campbell and published in April 2009. Since then, more than seven years have passed, […]

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An Updated Version of the “Peak Oil” Story

An Updated Version of the “Peak Oil” Story The Peak Oil story got some things right. Back in 1998, Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrère wrote an article published in Scientific American called, “The End of Cheap Oil.” In it they said: Our analysis of the discovery and production of oil fields around the world suggests that within the […]

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RESOURCE CRISIS: Peak Oil: the elephant in the room

RESOURCE CRISIS: Peak Oil: the elephant in the room. In 2003, I invited Colin Campbell, the founder of the association for the study of peak oil (ASPO), to give a talk in Florence. After the talk, a small group of conspirators (1) collected in my office. We drank together something curiously looking like petroleum in […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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